3 KEY ON-CHAIN METRICS SUGGEST ETHEREUM PRICE IS IN A 2017-STYLE BULL RUN

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 22:15 | Written by: Brad Garlinghouse

3 Key On-Chain Metrics Suggest Ethereum Price Is In A 2017-Style Bull Run
3 Key On-Chain Metrics Suggest Ethereum Price Is In A 2017-Style Bull Run

Is Ethereum gearing up for a massive bull run reminiscent of the explosive growth seen in 2017?Numerous on-chain indicators are hinting at a potential surge, sparking excitement among investors. This article explores 10 vital on-chain indicators that signal a market bottom, and help strategic investors time the next crypto bull run. In April 2025, the global crypto market cap surpassedAfter a period of consolidation and uncertainty, the price of Ether (ETH) is showing signs of life, prompting analysts to examine the underlying metrics that could fuel the next upward trajectory. Numerous on-chain indicators suggest Ethereum price is on the verge of another style bull run. The Ether (ETH) price is currently ranging between $440 and $470, similar to itsWhile comparisons to past bull runs should always be taken with a grain of salt, the current confluence of factors suggests that Ethereum's market cycle may be about to enter a new, highly bullish phase.We'll delve deep into the crucial on-chain indicators, scrutinize the technical signals, and analyze the market sentiment to provide a comprehensive overview of where Ethereum's price might be headed. Ethereum s Market Cycle Over. Even though Ethereum has not reached a new all-time high in the current market cycle, the RPLR and NUPL indicators suggest it is already over. Once the Ethereum price fell, the on-chain indicators failed to maintain their bullish thresholds, which previously marked the beginning of the bear market.Is a dramatic rally on the horizon, or are there hidden headwinds that could temper the enthusiasm? Analysts predict the price will $6,200 over the next three months. ETH crossed the psychological $4,000 barrier on Dec. 7, soaring 46% over the past month. Ethereum s so-called secondary bull run or a resurgence of some sort is now in full swing, with analysts targeting a price of $6,200 during the first three months of 2025.Understanding these metrics is crucial for navigating the volatile crypto landscape and making informed investment decisions. Recent metrics and price action suggest Ethereum could be on the cusp of a significant move upward, potentially pushing toward $2,800. With major ETH movements out of exchanges, on-chain metrics, and rising market interest, analysts are eyeing a notable rally. Ethereum Exchange Reserves Drop by $3.5 BillionLet's explore the key factors driving the potential for an Ethereum bull run.

Deciphering On-Chain Signals: Is Ethereum Primed for Growth?

The power of on-chain analysis lies in its ability to provide insights into the actual activity occurring on the Ethereum blockchain.By examining metrics such as transaction volume, exchange reserves, and staking rates, investors can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and potential price movements. In fact, the readings resemble those of 2025, right before the price started a massive bull run. The MVRV pricing band shows a similar fractal of consolidation that previously led to a rapid increase.While technical analysis focuses on price charts and trading patterns, on-chain analysis delves into the fundamental usage and health of the network. Bitcoin.com News Research lead David Sencil on the overreaction to tariffs, the end of American exceptionalism narrative, and whether the Bitcoin bottomThis combination can offer a more holistic view of Ethereum's prospects.

Ethereum's Daily Transactions: A Gauge of Network Activity

One of the primary indicators of a healthy and growing blockchain network is the volume of daily transactions. With the crypto market cap reaching $3.3 trillion and the altcoin season index rising every day, some cryptocurrencies are showing huge potential. As the overall sentiment turns bullish, investors are eyeing Nexchain, Solana, and Ethereum as the top picks for the 2025 bull run.A sustained increase in transaction activity suggests growing adoption and utility of the network. 3 key on-chain metrics suggest Ethereum price is in a style bull runWhen daily transactions are subdued, it can signal a lack of organic demand and potential stagnation. Ether (ETH), the cryptocurrency that powers the smart-contract-enabled Ethereum blockchain, has enjoyed an excellent start to 2025, rallying in tandem with the broader cryptocurrency market. At current levels close to $1,650, Ether is close to 40% higher on the year.While it would be foolish to excHowever, it's important to consider the context. Ether s price has been dealing with some strong headwinds, and on Sept. 11, the price of the altcoin endured a critical test when it plunged to the $1,530 support level. In the days thatAre transactions moving to Layer-2 solutions? Ethereum is trading above $2,500, showing a 40% increase over the month, driven by strong performance in decentralized finance and memecoins. Despite bullish sentiment, Ethereum faces challengesAre there specific events driving transaction spikes?Examining these factors provides a more nuanced understanding of the significance of daily transaction data.

It's worth noting that during periods of intense market activity, transaction fees can surge, potentially deterring smaller transactions. Diversi indicatori on-chain suggeriscono che il prezzo di Ether sull orlo di un'altra bull run, simile a quella del 2025 Analisi mercati Il prezzo di Ether ( ETH ) oscilla attualmente tra i 440$ e i 470$, una price action simile a quella osservata a dicembre 2025 .Monitoring the average transaction fee alongside the transaction volume can provide additional context. Ethereum Bulls Beware These 3 Key On-chain Metrics Suggest ETH Price Upside May Be Hard to Sustain ETHUSDT ETHUSD ETHEUR ETHEUR Ether (ETH), the cryptocurrency that powers the smart-contract-enabled Ethereum blockchain, has enjoyed an excellent start to 2025, rallying in tandem with the broader cryptocurrency market.Are fees high despite low transaction volume, suggesting congestion issues?Or are fees low and transaction volume increasing, indicating organic growth?

Ethereum Exchange Reserves: A Supply-Side Indicator

The amount of Ether held on cryptocurrency exchanges is a crucial indicator of potential selling pressure.A decrease in exchange reserves suggests that investors are withdrawing their ETH from exchanges, presumably to hold it for the long term or stake it.This reduces the available supply on exchanges, potentially driving up the price if demand remains constant or increases. On-chain data shows the MVRV Long/Short Difference has risen to -20.74%, suggesting ETH may have bottomed. The 4-hour chart also shows a bull flag, with support above $2,321, reinforcing the idea that a deep drop is unlikely. Ethereum s (ETH) price has dropped below the $2,500 mark once more, marking its lowest point in the last three months.Conversely, an increase in exchange reserves can signal an intention to sell, potentially leading to downward price pressure. Social sentiment data, strengthening fundamentals and on-chain analysis suggest Bitcoin is on the verge of a style bull run. Total views 64 Total sharesRecent data shows a significant drop in Ethereum exchange reserves, with one report indicating a decrease of $3.5 billion.

Analyzing the flow of ETH into and out of exchanges provides valuable insights into market sentiment.Are whales (large ETH holders) moving their holdings off exchanges, signaling long-term confidence? Numerosos indicadores on-chain sugieren que el precio de Ethereum est a punto de experimentar una corrida alcista al estilo del 2025. An lisis de Mercado El precio de Ether (ETH) actualmente oscila entre USD 440 y USD 470, que es similar a la acci n del precio vista en diciembre de 2025. En esaAre smaller investors following suit, or are they primarily holding their ETH on exchanges for trading purposes? Ethereum (ETH) is showing price patterns similar to 20 bull runs, suggesting a potential trend reversal; ETH has fallen below $2,000 since March 11, with technical indicators like Stochastic RSI showing oversold conditions; Multiple analysts point to historical fractals and a 5-year trendline support suggesting an imminent reboundThese factors can help to gauge the overall level of conviction in Ethereum's future price.

Ethereum Staking Rate: A Vote of Confidence

The Ethereum staking rate represents the percentage of the total ETH supply that is locked up in staking contracts. Numerous on-chain indicators suggest Ethereum price is on the verge of another style bull run. Ether price is currently ranging between $440 and $470, which is similar to the price action seen in December 2025. Back then, the scenario ended up being incredibly bullish, and the altcoin quickly rocketed toward $1,400.Staking involves locking up ETH to participate in the network's consensus mechanism and earn rewards.A higher staking rate indicates greater confidence in the long-term value of Ethereum and reduces the circulating supply, potentially driving up the price. On-Chain Indicators Suggest Ethereum is UndervaluedRecent data indicates an increase in the Ethereum staking rate, reaching 15% of the total supply.This signifies a growing commitment from ETH holders and reinforces the bullish sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency.

The incentive to stake ETH is driven by the rewards earned. 3. ColinTalksCrypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index (CBBI) Zhao also highlighted ColinTalksCrypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index (CBBI) in his research post on evaluating crypto bull run. The CBBI is a Bitcoin index that utilizes advanced, real-time analysis of 9 metrics to help us understand what stage of the Bitcoin bull run and bear market cycles we are in.Monitoring the staking yield and comparing it to other investment opportunities can help to assess the attractiveness of staking. Recent data from CryptoQuant has revealed that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a significant recovery, supported by key on-chain metrics. Particularly, according to a CryptoQuant analyst under the pseudonym Darkfost, several indicators are reaching crucial support levels, signaling a potential long-term bullish shift.A consistently high staking yield can incentivize more ETH holders to participate, further reducing the circulating supply and potentially boosting the price.

Technical Analysis: Unveiling Potential Price Movements

While on-chain metrics provide insights into the fundamentals of the Ethereum network, technical analysis focuses on identifying patterns in price charts and using technical indicators to predict future price movements.Combining both on-chain and technical analysis can provide a more comprehensive understanding of Ethereum's potential.

Support and Resistance Levels: Key Price Boundaries

Support and resistance levels are crucial zones that traders watch closely.Support levels represent price points where buying pressure is expected to emerge, preventing further price declines. Ethereum s mining wallet supply has turned out to be one of the highly leading on-chain metrics when it comes to market sentiment. According to Santiment s tweet, Ethereum mining wallets have dipped 4.5% of ETH reserves since their peak on the 10th of June.Resistance levels, on the other hand, represent price points where selling pressure is expected to intensify, hindering further price increases.Identifying these levels can help traders anticipate potential price movements and make informed trading decisions. Ethereum's key benefit is that it enables programmers to create and implement decentralized applications. Developers can design different apps on Ethereum. Ethereum currently uses a proof-of-work consensus mechanism. This means that anyone who wants to add new blocks to the chain must solve a difficult puzzle that requires a lot of computing power.Some reports suggest the closest support zones for Ethereum are around $3,200 and between $2,850 and $2,930.

It's important to remember that support and resistance levels are not absolute guarantees.Prices can break through these levels, especially during periods of high volatility.However, these levels serve as important reference points for traders and can influence their trading strategies.

Technical Indicators: Signals of Trend Reversal

Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on price and volume data that are used to identify potential trading opportunities.One such indicator is the Stochastic RSI, which measures the momentum of an asset's price.An oversold Stochastic RSI reading suggests that the asset may be undervalued and poised for a rebound.Multiple analysts have pointed to oversold conditions on the Stochastic RSI for Ethereum, suggesting a potential trend reversal.The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is another key indicator. Ethereum Flashes Warning Signs. On the daily chart, ETH s price has formed a bull flag. Not long ago, this bull flag was accompanied by positive readings from several indicators. However, that is not the case today as key technical signals seem to support a bearish move.When the MVRV Long/Short Difference is significantly negative, it suggests that ETH may have bottomed.

It's crucial to use technical indicators in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as on-chain metrics and fundamental analysis.Relying solely on technical indicators can be risky, as they can sometimes generate false signals.

Bull Flags and Pennants: Continuation Patterns

A bull flag is a chart pattern that suggests a continuation of an uptrend. The Ethereum staking rate also increased by 2% to 15% of the total supply, reflecting a growing confidence in the long-term value of the cryptocurrency (Staking Rewards, Ap, 2:00 PM UTC). The combination of these technical indicators and on-chain metrics paints a compelling picture of a strong bull run for Ethereum in 2025.It is characterized by a sharp price increase followed by a period of consolidation in a flag-like shape. On-chain metrics reveal key support between $3,700 and $3,810 for Ethereum price, where 3 million wallets purchased 4.6 million ETH. Ethereum's on-chain activity shows promising signs, including a 4.24% increase in active addresses. The ETH/BTC chart set up in 8 months following Bitcoin halvingA breakout above the upper trendline of the flag typically signals a continuation of the uptrend.Similarly, a bullish pennant forms after a strong uptrend, consolidating into a symmetrical triangle before breaking out upwards. Three key Ethereum price metrics are in and onchain signals once seen in the early stages of its 2025 bull run, preceded its historic 25,000% rally during the 2025 bull cycle.Ethereum has formed bull flags on the daily and 4-hour charts, reinforcing the idea that a deep drop is unlikely and a bullish move is probable.

Identifying and trading bull flags requires careful observation and confirmation. Ethereum Faces Bearish Pressure. Recently, CCN observed how ETH had formed a bull flag, indicating that the cryptocurrency could climb to $3,000. However, that prediction might have been delayed according to the current Ethereum price action. Ethereum s price has been consolidating between $2,474 and $2,688 within the last few days.It's important to wait for a clear breakout above the upper trendline before entering a long position.Setting stop-loss orders can help to limit potential losses if the breakout fails.

Ethereum's Historical Performance: Echoes of the Past

Analyzing Ethereum's historical price action can provide valuable insights into potential future price movements.While past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, identifying patterns and trends can help to inform investment decisions.

Drawing Parallels to the 2017 Bull Run

Many analysts are drawing comparisons between the current market conditions and those seen in 2017, prior to Ethereum's explosive bull run.In 2017, Ethereum experienced a period of consolidation followed by a dramatic price surge. According to a CryptoQuant analyst under the pseudonym Darkfost, key on-chain metrics suggest a move toward a bullish phase, with signs that market sentiment is turning positive. Key On-ChainSome on-chain metrics are currently exhibiting similar patterns, suggesting that Ethereum may be on the verge of another significant rally.For example, the Ether price currently ranging between $440 and $470 mirrors the price action seen in December 2025 (likely a typo and should be 2017). If sustained, then another Ethereum bull run might be off the cards unless something changes. ETH Price Faces Resistance Ahead. Beyond this, the Global In/Out of Money (GIOM) shows that Ethereum s price will likely encounter resistance above the $2,000 mark.Back then, the scenario ended up being incredibly bullish, and the altcoin quickly rocketed toward $1,400.

It's important to acknowledge that the cryptocurrency market has evolved significantly since 2017.The emergence of decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and institutional investors has fundamentally altered the market landscape.Therefore, while historical comparisons can be informative, they should be viewed with caution.

Fractal Patterns and Trendline Support

Some analysts point to historical fractals (self-repeating patterns) and a 5-year trendline support as evidence of an imminent rebound for Ethereum. That s because three key on-chain metrics that typically all shoot higher during an aggressive bull market all remain very subdued. Until they do turn higher, bulls would do well to temper their optimism. Metric 1 Daily Transactions Still SubduedFractals suggest that price patterns tend to repeat themselves over time, while trendlines represent areas of support or resistance. These metrics collectively paint a picture of positive momentum, giving us a hint that Ethereum s price might keep climbing. Support and resistance levels are crucial zones that traders watch closely. The closest support zones fall at $3,200 and between $2,850 and $2,930.A combination of fractal patterns and trendline support can provide strong confluence for a potential price reversal.

Identifying and interpreting fractals requires a keen eye and a deep understanding of technical analysis. Ethereum s next big move? 5 key metrics suggest ETH may follow Bitcoin's record-breaking rally soon! 5 key metrics hint at Ethereum's next big bull run Ethereum s price could surge as 5 key metrics show increased network activity, whale confidence, and accumulation trends.It's important to use multiple timeframes and indicators to confirm the validity of fractal patterns.

Challenges and Considerations: Tempering Expectations

While the bullish signals surrounding Ethereum are compelling, it's essential to acknowledge the potential challenges and headwinds that could temper expectations.The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can have a significant impact on prices.

Bearish Pressure and Resistance Ahead

Despite the positive sentiment, Ethereum faces bearish pressure and resistance ahead.The Global In/Out of Money (GIOM) metric suggests that Ethereum's price will likely encounter resistance above the $2,000 mark.This means that a significant number of ETH holders purchased their coins at prices above $2,000, and they may be inclined to sell when the price reaches those levels. Key Insights: TOTAL2 chart signals start of major altseason, mirroring 20 setups. Ethereum breaks out of bullish pennant, may lead to broader altcoin rally. Analysts project up to 150x returns on select low caps before mid-2025. Altcoins showed strong bullish signals as analysts identified patterns resembling those from previous bullThis selling pressure could hinder further price increases.

It's important to monitor the GIOM metric and other indicators of potential resistance.If Ethereum struggles to break through the $2,000 level, it could signal a period of consolidation or even a correction.

Market Sentiment and External Factors

Market sentiment plays a crucial role in driving cryptocurrency prices.Positive news and widespread adoption can fuel bullish sentiment, while negative news and regulatory concerns can trigger bearish sentiment.External factors such as macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical events, and technological developments can also influence Ethereum's price.For example, recently CCN observed how ETH had formed a bull flag, indicating that the cryptocurrency could climb to $3,000.However, that prediction might have been delayed according to the current Ethereum price action.

Staying informed about market news and external factors is essential for navigating the cryptocurrency market.Being aware of potential risks and opportunities can help to make more informed investment decisions.

Conclusion: Navigating the Potential Ethereum Bull Run

The confluence of on-chain metrics, technical signals, and historical patterns suggests that Ethereum may indeed be on the cusp of a significant bull run.The decreasing exchange reserves, increasing staking rate, and potential for a trend reversal based on oversold indicators paint a promising picture.However, it's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can always occur.As mentioned, three key on-chain metrics suggest Ethereum price is in a style bull run, but these are only indicators, not guarantees.Staying informed, managing risk, and diversifying investments are crucial for navigating the potential Ethereum bull run successfully.Consider the challenges, set realistic expectations, and always do your own research before making any investment decisions.The potential is there, but informed participation is key.

Key Takeaways:

  • On-chain metrics like exchange reserves and staking rate point to potential bullish momentum.
  • Technical analysis identifies key support and resistance levels, along with potential trend reversals.
  • Historical patterns suggest parallels to the 2017 bull run, but the market has evolved since then.
  • Challenges and headwinds exist, including bearish pressure and resistance levels.
  • Staying informed, managing risk, and diversifying investments are crucial for navigating the potential Ethereum bull run.

What are your thoughts on Ethereum's future price?Let us know in the comments below!

Brad Garlinghouse can be reached at [email protected].

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