NO SIGNS BITCOIN HAS BOTTOMED AS DATA WARNS BTC PRICE DOWNTREND CONTINUING

Is the Bitcoin rollercoaster about to plunge again?Pinpointing the absolute bottom of a Bitcoin (BTC) price dip is notoriously difficult, often compared to searching for a needle in a cryptocurrency haystack. 67 subscribers in the cryptosis community. Your Crypto Search Engine - News About Crypto SphereAfter reaching a high of nearly $69,000 back in November 2025, which many saw as the climax of a significant bull run, Bitcoin's price has been on a generally downward trend. Trend Precognition shows no signs that BTC has bottomed. Expecting to range as the downtrend continues, it commented on Twitter. Such a perspective ties in with those who believe that a lower low is necessary for Bitcoin to put in a convincing floor and begin to tackle resistance.While recent weeks have offered glimmers of hope, with prices briefly flirting with the $38,000 mark after bouncing from a low around $37,000, a closer look at on-chain data and market indicators suggests that the bear market might not be over just yet. Bitcoin price is showing signs of weakening, as technical patterns and market data point to a possible sharp downturn. As of J, BTC s price has dropped by over 6% since May 23 and is trading above $104,000. Momentum indicators, volatility data, and futures positioning suggest bearish pressure is building across multiple timeframes.Several analysts are advising caution, pointing to technical patterns, volatility data, and futures positioning that hint at continuing bearish pressure.This article delves into the latest research and market analysis to explore why many experts believe ""no signs Bitcoin has bottomed"" are present, and what factors could influence the future trajectory of the world's leading cryptocurrency.We'll examine on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and technical analysis to provide a comprehensive overview of the current state of Bitcoin and what investors should be aware of.

Analyzing On-Chain Indicators: Are We There Yet?

One of the most popular methods for attempting to determine where Bitcoin is in its market cycle is by analyzing on-chain indicators. Bitcoin (BTC) topped out at nearly $69,000 in November 2025, setting off the last display of fireworks for the bull market. Since then, bitcoin s price has trended downwardThese metrics provide insights into the behavior of Bitcoin holders, miners, and network activity, offering potential clues about future price movements.

The Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI)

Recent research from CryptoQuant highlights the Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI) as a potential warning sign.According to their analysis, the IBCI suggests that the Bitcoin bull market might be nearing its end. 2.8K subscribers in the cryptopricesalerts community. Our trackers will post any relevant info about cryptos. Wanna see more? See you onThis doesn't necessarily mean an immediate crash, but rather that the period of rapid price appreciation could be over, paving the way for a prolonged period of consolidation or decline.

It's crucial to understand that the IBCI is just one tool in a larger toolbox.It should be used in conjunction with other indicators and analysis techniques to form a well-rounded perspective.

Spotting Potential Reversal Signals

While overall sentiment might lean bearish, identifying potential reversal signals is crucial for savvy investors.Some analysts suggest looking for specific on-chain patterns that have historically preceded Bitcoin bottoming events.This could include:

• Increased accumulation by long-term holders: When wallets that have held Bitcoin for extended periods start accumulating more coins, it can indicate a belief that the price is undervalued.
• Decreasing exchange reserves: A decrease in the amount of Bitcoin held on cryptocurrency exchanges can suggest that selling pressure is diminishing.
• Revival of network activity: An uptick in transaction volume and active addresses could signal renewed interest in Bitcoin.

However, it's important to remember that these are just potential indicators, not guarantees. Recent price action suggests that bitcoin (BTC) may have found its bottom just above $76,000 on March 10. This move has formed a pattern reminiscent of previous bottoming events in recent historyMarket conditions can change rapidly, and any investment decision should be based on thorough research and risk assessment.

Technical Analysis and Price Action: Decoding the Charts

Beyond on-chain data, technical analysis plays a significant role in understanding Bitcoin's price trends.Examining price charts, patterns, and technical indicators can offer valuable insights into potential future movements.

The $38,000 Hurdle: A Critical Resistance Level

As highlighted in the initial reports, Bitcoin has been struggling to convincingly break above the $38,000 level.Despite several attempts, the price has consistently faced resistance in this area, suggesting significant selling pressure. Bitcoin recibi un bienvenido impulso en la apertura de Wall Street el 31 de enero, ya que una nueva investigaci n pint un panorama sombr o para la acci n del precio a corto plazo. Gr fico de velas de 1 mes del par BTC/USD (Bitstamp). Fuente: TradingView Un trader no interesado en contratos largos por debajo de USD 38,500A sustained break above $38,000 would be a positive sign, but until then, the downtrend remains a concern.

One trader mentioned being uninterested in long contracts below $38,500, emphasizing the importance of this level as a potential trigger for further upward movement.

Trend Precognition: No Signs of a Bottom

Material Indicators, an analytics suite, utilizes its ""Trend Precognition"" set of indicators to gauge market sentiment. 'No signs Bitcoin has bottomed' as data warns BTC price downtrend continuingAccording to their findings, there are currently ""no signs Bitcoin has bottomed."" This suggests that the factors that contributed to Bitcoin's decline in November are still in play, and a further price drop is possible.

This perspective aligns with the belief that Bitcoin may need to reach a lower low to establish a solid foundation and begin to overcome resistance levels effectively.

Examining Momentum Indicators and Volatility

Key technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, and Fibonacci retracement levels can provide additional insights into Bitcoin's price action.

• Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the RSI and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) help gauge the strength of a trend. 06/01 update: The bitcoin price has now plummeted by almost 10% from its all-time high of $112,000 per bitcoin, falling to just over $103,000 and fast approaching the closely-watched $100,000 level.Weakening momentum could signal a potential reversal, while strong momentum suggests the trend is likely to continue.
• Volatility Data: Bitcoin is known for its high volatility.Increased volatility often accompanies periods of uncertainty and can precede significant price swings.Monitoring volatility indicators like the Average True Range (ATR) can help assess the risk associated with trading Bitcoin.
• Futures Positioning: Analyzing the positioning of traders in Bitcoin futures markets can reveal whether sentiment is predominantly bullish or bearish.A large net short position, for example, could indicate a bearish outlook.

The Role of Social Sentiment: What Are People Saying?

Social sentiment, or the overall feeling towards Bitcoin expressed on social media and online forums, can sometimes act as a leading indicator of price movements. Little genuine relief is on the horizon if the latest data is any guide, says Material Indicators, as Bitcoin meanders around $37,000.However, it's crucial to approach social sentiment with caution, as it can be easily influenced by hype and misinformation.

Gauging the ""Fear and Greed"" Index

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a popular tool for measuring market sentiment.It ranges from 0 to 100, with 0 representing extreme fear and 100 representing extreme greed. 2 likes, 0 comments - mrs_lisa_lucas on Ap: 'No signs Bitcoin has bottomed' as data warns BTC price downtrend continuing Bitcoin (BTC) receiv MRS LaiSA LUCA'S on Instagram: 'No signs Bitcoin has bottomed' as data warns BTC price downtrend continuing Bitcoin (BTC) received a welcome boost at the Wall Street open on Jan. 31 asHistorically, periods of extreme fear have often coincided with Bitcoin bottoms, while periods of extreme greed have preceded market tops.

Monitoring the Fear & Greed Index can provide a general sense of market sentiment, but it should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.

Filtering Out the Noise

With countless opinions and predictions circulating online, it's essential to filter out the noise and focus on credible sources of information.Look for analysts with a proven track record and a data-driven approach.Be wary of individuals who make overly optimistic or pessimistic predictions without providing supporting evidence.

Considering External Factors: Macroeconomics and Geopolitics

Bitcoin's price is not solely determined by internal factors. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD climbing toward $38,000 on Monday, reversing a correction that had set in immediately after Jan. 30 s weekly close. With stocks giving some relief to bulls, many analysts remained hands-off on Bitcoin while higher levels nearer $40,000 remained unchallenged.External forces, such as macroeconomic trends and geopolitical events, can also have a significant impact.

The Impact of Interest Rates and Inflation

Changes in interest rates and inflation can affect the attractiveness of Bitcoin as an investment.Rising interest rates can make traditional investments, like bonds, more appealing, potentially reducing demand for Bitcoin. Bitcoin (BTC) received a welcome boost at the Wall Street open on Jan. 31 as fresh research painted a gloomy picture for near-term price action. BTC/USD 1-monthSimilarly, high inflation can lead investors to seek alternative stores of value, such as Bitcoin.

Keeping abreast of macroeconomic developments and understanding their potential impact on Bitcoin is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

Geopolitical Uncertainty and Bitcoin

Geopolitical events, such as wars, political instability, and regulatory changes, can also influence Bitcoin's price. Bitcoin fiyatı 38.000 dolar civarında dolanırken Material Indicators verileri, hen z rahatlama d nemine girilmediğini s yl yor. Bitcoin fiyatında dibin g r ld ğ ne dair hi bir işaret yok AnalizDuring times of uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a safe haven asset, while others may reduce their exposure to risky assets altogether.

What Does This Mean for Investors?Navigating the Uncertainty

Given the current market conditions and the prevailing sentiment that ""no signs Bitcoin has bottomed"" are evident, what should investors do?

Risk Management is Key

In times of uncertainty, risk management becomes paramount.Here are some tips for managing risk when investing in Bitcoin:

• Diversify your portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket.Diversify your investments across different asset classes to reduce your overall risk.
• Set stop-loss orders: A stop-loss order is an instruction to sell your Bitcoin if the price falls below a certain level.This can help limit your potential losses.
• Only invest what you can afford to lose: Bitcoin is a volatile asset, and there is always a risk of losing money.Only invest an amount that you can comfortably afford to lose without impacting your financial well-being.
• Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Instead of trying to time the market, consider using a dollar-cost averaging strategy.This involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.DCA can help smooth out your returns and reduce the risk of buying at a market top.

Staying Informed and Adapting to Change

The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving. No signs Bitcoin has bottomed as data warns BTC price downtrend continuingStaying informed about the latest developments, analyzing data, and adapting your investment strategy as needed are crucial for long-term success.Subscribe to reputable news sources, follow credible analysts, and engage in online communities to stay up-to-date.

Patience and Long-Term Perspective

Bitcoin is a long-term investment. Related: Bitcoin price down 20% so far in 2025 after worst January since 2025. Highlighting signs from its Trend Precognition set of on and off-chain indicators, analytics suite Material Indicators revealed that no significant change of tact had occurred versus the start of Bitcoin s decline in November.It's important to have a long-term perspective and not get caught up in short-term price fluctuations.Focus on the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin and its potential for future growth.

Looking Ahead: Potential Catalysts for a Bitcoin Bottom

While the current outlook might appear bearish, there are potential catalysts that could trigger a Bitcoin bottom and initiate a new bull run.

Regulatory Clarity

Clear and consistent regulations could attract more institutional investors and legitimize the cryptocurrency industry, leading to increased adoption and higher prices.

Mainstream Adoption

Increased adoption of Bitcoin by mainstream businesses and consumers could drive demand and push prices higher. Analysts highlight 4 on-chain indicators to determine Bitcoin s price bottom. Social sentiment analysis suggests belief in a potential Bitcoin price bottom. In the crypto ecosystem, pinpointing the exact moment Bitcoin (BTC) prices bottom out is akin to finding a needle in a haystack.This could include widespread acceptance of Bitcoin as a form of payment, integration into traditional financial systems, and increased use cases beyond speculative investment.

Technological Advancements

Technological advancements, such as improvements to the Bitcoin network's scalability and security, could enhance its appeal and attract more users.

Conclusion: Navigating the Bitcoin Landscape

The analysis presented suggests that, as of now, the data does not overwhelmingly support the conclusion that Bitcoin has bottomed out.Several indicators, including the Index of Bitcoin Cycle Indicators and Trend Precognition metrics, point towards the continuation of a downtrend.However, the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden shifts in sentiment or external factors can dramatically alter the trajectory of Bitcoin's price.Prudent investors should prioritize risk management, remain informed about market developments, and maintain a long-term perspective. New post added at Tabarau Gazette - 'No signs Bitcoin has bottomed' as data warns BTC price downtrend continuingAnalyzing on-chain data, understanding technical indicators, and monitoring social sentiment can provide valuable insights into potential buying opportunities, but should never replace thorough research and due diligence.While the search for the elusive Bitcoin bottom continues, a balanced and informed approach is the best strategy for navigating the ever-evolving crypto landscape.

Key Takeaways:

• Current data suggests that ""no signs Bitcoin has bottomed"" are present.
• The $38,000 level remains a crucial resistance point.
• Risk management is essential during periods of market uncertainty.
• Stay informed and adapt your investment strategy as needed.
• Focus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin and avoid short-term speculation.

Ready to learn more? After hitting a low of nearly $76,000 on March 10, Bitcoin (BTC) has finally broken its daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) downtrend, now trading in the high $80,000s at the time of writing. However, crypto analyst Ali Martinez warns that strong resistance may lie ahead.Bitcoin Finally Breaks DailContinue your research and stay vigilant to changes in the market to make the most informed decisions.Consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Good luck!