3 REASONS WHY THE BITCOIN PRICE BOTTOM IS NOT IN

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 22:29 | Written by: Anthony Di Iorio

3 Reasons Why The Bitcoin Price Bottom Is Not In
3 Reasons Why The Bitcoin Price Bottom Is Not In

Is the Bitcoin bear market finally over?That's the question on every crypto investor's mind. Menu. Home; Bitcoin Chart; Cryptocurrency News; Cryptocurrency Software; Privacy PolicyWhile some indicators may suggest a potential bottom, a closer look reveals a more nuanced picture.The allure of buying the dip is strong, especially after significant price corrections. Bear market fractals, weak technicals and macro risks continue to signal more pain for Bitcoin ahead. Bitcoin (BTC) recovered modestly on Aug. 20 but remained on course to log its worst weekly performance in the last two months. Bitcoin hash ribbons flash bottom signal On the daily chart, BTC s price climbed 2.58% to $21,372 per token but was still down by nearly 14.5% week-to-date, itsHowever, jumping the gun can be a costly mistake.Before you allocate more capital to Bitcoin, it's crucial to analyze the current market dynamics and recognize the factors that suggest further downside potential.This isn't about spreading fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD); it's about making informed decisions based on technical analysis, market sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Here are three reasons why Bitcoin s market bottom may not be in yet. BTC price rising wedge breaks down. Bitcoin's price decline this week has triggered a rising wedge breakdown, suggestingWe'll delve into three compelling reasons why the Bitcoin price bottom might not be in, exploring technical breakdowns, persistent bearish fractals, and the ever-present macro risks that continue to loom over the crypto market.Understanding these potential pitfalls can help you navigate the volatile crypto landscape and protect your investment.

1.The Rising Wedge Breakdown and Technical Weakness

One of the most concerning signals for Bitcoin bulls is the breakdown of a rising wedge pattern. 3 reasons why the Bitcoin price bottom is not in⁣ bitcoinprice reasons bitcoinpricesA rising wedge is a technical formation that typically signals a bearish reversal. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 6.7% between Oct. 31 and Nov. 4, breaking below the $67,500 mark for the first time in eight days. This decline led to the liquidation of over $190 million in leveraged longIt's characterized by a price consolidation where the price makes higher highs and higher lows, forming a wedge shape.However, this pattern often precedes a sharp decline as the buying pressure weakens and sellers take control. Bitcoin price is showing signs of weakening, as technical patterns and market data point to a possible sharp downturn. As of J, BTC s price has dropped by over 6% since May 23 and is trading above $104,000. Momentum indicators, volatility data, and futures positioning suggest bearish pressure is building across multiple timeframes.The recent price action of Bitcoin has triggered such a breakdown, suggesting further downside movement is likely.

Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern

Let's break down the rising wedge and why its breakdown is significant:

  • Formation: The pattern forms as the price consolidates within converging trendlines, with both the support and resistance lines sloping upwards.
  • Psychology: The pattern often occurs after a period of upward price movement, leading traders to believe the uptrend will continue. There are a number of reasons, though, why the cryptocurrency might be soon reaching a bottom. 1: Bitcoin s Selling Pressure Has Subsided. Bitcoin may be nearing a local bottom because a number of indicators suggest that the selling volume that brought the coin lower has started to subside. One crypto trader shared the chart below of BTC sHowever, the narrowing range indicates decreasing buying pressure.
  • Breakdown: A confirmed breakdown occurs when the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge, signaling a potential trend reversal.

In the case of Bitcoin, the price fell 6.7% between October 31st and November 4th, breaking below a key support level of $67,500. Bitcoin fell 6.7% between Oct. 31 and Nov. 4, breaking below the $67,500 mark for the first time in eight days. This decline led to the liquidation of over $190 million in leveraged long positionsThis breach not only invalidated the immediate bullish outlook but also triggered a cascade of liquidations, further accelerating the downward pressure.The rising wedge breakdown highlights that despite attempts to rally, Bitcoin's price has consistently faced strong selling pressure, making a sustained recovery challenging.

Liquidation Cascade and Market Sentiment

The rising wedge breakdown triggered the liquidation of over $190 million in leveraged long positions.This event underscores the fragility of the market and how easily bullish sentiment can turn into panic selling.High leverage amplifies price swings, making the market more susceptible to sharp corrections.When a significant number of leveraged positions are liquidated, it creates a domino effect, further driving down the price.

Furthermore, a broader analysis of technical indicators reveals a weakening of Bitcoin's price. Bitcoin s (BTC) price is down 6.5% over the last seven days and is currently trading 10% below its all-time high of $73,835 reached on March 14. BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView DespiteMomentum indicators, volatility data, and futures positioning all point to increasing bearish pressure across multiple timeframes. Bitcoin (BTC) recovered modestly on Aug. 20 but remained on course to log its worst weekly performance in the last two months. Bitcoin hash ribbons flash bottom signal. On the daily chart, BTC s price climbed 2.58% to $21,372 per token but was still down by nearly 14.5% week-to-date, its worst weekly returns since mid August.This suggests that the rising wedge breakdown is not an isolated event but part of a larger trend of declining market strength.

2.Bear Market Fractals and Historical Patterns

History often rhymes, and in the world of finance, historical patterns – or bear market fractals – can provide valuable insights into potential future price movements. Bear market fractals, weak technicals and macro risks continue to signal more pain for Bitcoin ahead. Bitcoin (BTC) recovered modestly 3 reasons why the Bitcoin price bottom is not in - XBT.MarketAnalyzing previous Bitcoin bear markets can help us understand the characteristics of bottom formation and identify whether the current market conditions align with those patterns. 3 reasons why the Bitcoin price bottom is not in. Bitcoin (BTC) recovered modestly on Aug. 20 but remained on course to log its worst weekly performance in the last two months. On the daily chartMany analysts believe that the current market cycle shares similarities with past bear markets, suggesting that the bottom may not be in yet.

Examining Past Bitcoin Bear Markets

Here are some key observations from previous Bitcoin bear markets:

  1. Prolonged Downtrends: Bitcoin bear markets are rarely short-lived. Here are three reasons why Bitcoin s market bottom may not be in yet. BTC price rising wedge breaks down Bitcoin s price decline this week has triggered a rising wedge breakdown, suggesting more losses for the crypto in the coming weeks.They typically involve a sustained period of price decline, lasting several months to over a year.
  2. Significant Drawdowns: Corrections of 70-80% from all-time highs are not uncommon during bear markets.
  3. Multiple Relief Rallies: Bear markets are often punctuated by temporary relief rallies, which can give false hope to investors. 3 reasons why the Bitcoin price bottom is not in. AugThese rallies are usually followed by further price declines.
  4. Capitulation Events: The final stage of a bear market often involves a capitulation event, where the price experiences a sharp and sudden drop as remaining investors throw in the towel.

Comparing the current market conditions to past bear market cycles, it's evident that several factors suggest the potential for further downside. Bitcoin recovered modestly on Aug. 20 but remained on course to log its worst weekly performance in the last two months.Bitcoin hash ribbons flash bottom signal. On the daily chart, BTC s price climbed 2.58% to $21,372 per token but was still down by nearly 14.5% week-to-date, its worst weekly returns since mid August.The recent price decline, while significant, may not represent the ultimate capitulation event.Moreover, the duration of the current bear market is still relatively short compared to historical averages, leaving room for further price declines.

The Psychology of Bear Markets

Bear markets are characterized by a pervasive sense of fear and uncertainty.Investors become increasingly risk-averse, leading to a decline in trading volume and a reluctance to buy the dip.This negative sentiment can become self-fulfilling, as the lack of buying pressure reinforces the downward trend.The psychological toll of a bear market can be significant, leading many investors to make emotionally driven decisions, such as selling at a loss near the bottom.

It's crucial to remain objective and avoid succumbing to fear during bear markets.Focus on fundamental analysis, technical indicators, and long-term investment strategies.Avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term price fluctuations.

3.Macro Risks and Economic Uncertainty

The price of Bitcoin, like any asset, is heavily influenced by the broader macroeconomic environment.Factors such as interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes can all have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market.The current macroeconomic landscape is characterized by a high degree of uncertainty, which presents significant risks for Bitcoin.Lingering inflation, potential recession fears, and tightening monetary policies are all contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin.

The Impact of Inflation and Interest Rates

Central banks around the world have been aggressively raising interest rates to combat inflation.Higher interest rates can have several negative consequences for Bitcoin:

  • Reduced Liquidity: Higher interest rates make it more expensive to borrow money, reducing the amount of liquidity available in the market.This can lead to a decrease in investment in riskier assets like Bitcoin.
  • Increased Opportunity Cost: Higher interest rates increase the return on safer investments, such as government bonds.This makes Bitcoin less attractive to investors seeking yield.
  • Stronger Dollar: Rising interest rates often lead to a stronger US dollar, which can negatively impact Bitcoin's price, as it is often priced in USD.

Moreover, persistent inflation can erode the purchasing power of fiat currencies, leading investors to seek alternative stores of value.While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as an inflation hedge, its volatile price history makes it a less reliable option compared to traditional assets like gold.

Geopolitical Risks and Regulatory Uncertainty

Geopolitical tensions and regulatory uncertainty add another layer of complexity to the macroeconomic environment.Events such as wars, trade disputes, and political instability can create significant market volatility, impacting Bitcoin's price.Regulatory uncertainty, particularly concerning taxation and anti-money laundering regulations, also poses a risk to the cryptocurrency market.Clear and consistent regulations are needed to foster institutional adoption and provide a stable framework for the industry.

For instance, increased regulatory scrutiny from the SEC in the United States or crackdowns on crypto mining in certain countries can significantly impact market sentiment and price.Investors should closely monitor these developments and assess their potential impact on Bitcoin.

Actionable Advice for Navigating the Current Market

Given the potential for further downside, here are some actionable strategies for navigating the current Bitcoin market:

  • Manage Risk: Avoid using excessive leverage and only invest what you can afford to lose.
  • Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket.Diversify your investments across different asset classes to reduce risk.
  • Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Invest a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This strategy can help smooth out volatility and reduce the risk of buying at the top.
  • Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date on the latest market news, technical analysis, and macroeconomic developments.
  • Have a Plan: Develop a clear investment strategy and stick to it.Avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term price fluctuations.
  • Consider Staking: If you plan to hold your Bitcoin long-term, consider staking it to earn passive income.
  • Use Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your investments by setting stop-loss orders.These orders automatically sell your Bitcoin if the price falls below a certain level, limiting your potential losses.

Addressing Common Questions and Concerns

Here are some frequently asked questions about the Bitcoin price and the potential for a bottom:

Will Bitcoin ever reach its previous all-time high?

It's impossible to say for certain whether Bitcoin will reach its previous all-time high.However, Bitcoin has historically recovered from bear markets and reached new highs in subsequent bull cycles.Whether it will happen again depends on various factors, including adoption rates, technological advancements, and macroeconomic conditions.

Is Bitcoin a good investment right now?

Whether Bitcoin is a good investment right now depends on your individual circumstances, risk tolerance, and investment goals.Bitcoin is a volatile asset, and its price can fluctuate significantly.If you're a risk-averse investor, Bitcoin may not be suitable for you.However, if you're comfortable with risk and believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, it could be a worthwhile investment.

What are the key indicators to watch for a Bitcoin bottom?

Several indicators can signal a potential Bitcoin bottom, including:

  • Capitulation Volume: A spike in trading volume during a sharp price decline can indicate that remaining sellers are giving up, potentially marking a bottom.
  • Technical Reversal Patterns: Bullish reversal patterns on the price chart, such as double bottoms or inverse head and shoulders, can suggest a trend reversal.
  • Improving Market Sentiment: A shift in market sentiment from fear to optimism can signal a potential bottom.
  • Hash Ribbons: The hash ribbons indicator can provide signals regarding miner capitulation, which can be a sign of a bottom.
  • Stablecoin Flows: Increased inflows of stablecoins onto exchanges can indicate that buyers are preparing to enter the market.

The Importance of Due Diligence

Investing in Bitcoin, or any cryptocurrency, requires thorough research and due diligence.Don't rely solely on the opinions of others.Take the time to understand the technology, the market dynamics, and the risks involved.Read whitepapers, follow reputable analysts, and stay informed about regulatory developments.Remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and there are no guarantees in the cryptocurrency market.

Conclusion: Proceed with Caution

While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains promising, it's essential to acknowledge the potential for further downside in the short to medium term.The rising wedge breakdown, persistent bear market fractals, and uncertain macroeconomic environment all suggest that the Bitcoin price bottom may not be in yet.By understanding these risks and implementing sound risk management strategies, you can navigate the volatile crypto market and protect your investments.Remember to stay informed, be patient, and avoid making impulsive decisions based on fear or greed.The key takeaways are to manage risk effectively, diversify your portfolio, and remain adaptable to changing market conditions.Consider dollar-cost averaging as a strategy to mitigate volatility and build your position over time.Before making any investment decisions, consult with a qualified financial advisor.Good luck, and stay safe out there in the wild world of crypto!

Anthony Di Iorio can be reached at [email protected].

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