3 REASONS WHY BITCOIN WONT BE BORING IN SEPTEMBER

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 21:45 | Written by: Anthony Pompliano

Is Bitcoin about to become a snoozefest as September rolls around?Absolutely not! BTCUSD Bitcoin 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September. While Bitcoin failed to close above the $60K psychological level on the weekly chart, the long-term holders (LTHsWhile some might think the crypto king is losing its luster, a deeper dive reveals that Bitcoin is poised for anything but a boring September. Bitcoin long-term holder realized cap hits $3 billion. BTC price has closed below the 200-day EMA only three times in 2025. As the chart below shows, July 4 marked the first bearish close under the 200-day EMA. The BTC/USD pair reclaimed a position above the EMA in less than ten days.In fact, several key indicators suggest that the upcoming month could be filled with interesting price action and exciting developments.Despite facing historical headwinds and even failing to maintain above certain psychological price levels recently, Bitcoin is far from losing its grip on the crypto world. It took less than ten days for the Bitcoin/USD pair to regain its position above the moving average. This time, it took less than 24 hours for the asset to return above the indicator, confirming that bullish momentum is slowly picking up this week.We're going to explore why the naysayers are wrong and unpack the compelling reasons why September will be another pivotal month for Bitcoin enthusiasts.From long-term holder confidence to shifts in market dynamics, this article will dissect the factors contributing to a potentially volatile and rewarding September for Bitcoin.Whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious about the future of crypto, prepare to have your expectations challenged and your understanding of Bitcoin deepened.

1. 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in SeptemberWhile Bitcoin failed to close above the $60K psychological level on the weekly chart, the long-term holdeLong-Term Holders Signaling Strength and Confidence

One of the most compelling reasons to believe that Bitcoin won't be boring in September lies in the unwavering conviction of its long-term holders (LTHs).These aren't your average day traders; LTHs are investors who hold Bitcoin for extended periods, often years, weathering market fluctuations and accumulating more coins along the way.Their behavior offers a valuable insight into the overall sentiment surrounding Bitcoin's future.

Long-Term Holder Accumulation

Despite recent price volatility, LTHs have continued to accumulate Bitcoin, signaling a strong belief in its long-term value. In September, This can result in a market signal called ChoCH or Change of Character a sign of trend reversals. You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses.This accumulation trend acts as a buffer against potential sell-offs and suggests that a significant portion of the Bitcoin supply is held by individuals who are less likely to panic sell during market downturns.This creates a more stable foundation for price recovery and future growth.

Realized Cap Increase

The Bitcoin long-term holder realized cap has hit significant milestones, indicating substantial commitment.This metric represents the average price at which LTHs acquired their Bitcoin, providing insight into their collective profitability.An increase in the realized cap suggests that LTHs are adding to their positions at higher prices, further reinforcing their bullish outlook.

What Does This Mean for September?

The sustained confidence and accumulation by long-term holders suggest that any dips in Bitcoin's price during September could be viewed as buying opportunities. 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September dfmines Cryptocurrency News AugThis provides a crucial support level and reduces the likelihood of a prolonged bear market.Instead, it sets the stage for potential price rebounds and continued upward momentum.

2.Potential for ""Change of Character"" (ChoCH) Market Signals

September could be a month where we witness what traders call a ""Change of Character"" (ChoCH) in the Bitcoin market. Despite closing below the $60K mark, Bitcoin s bullish indicators, including long-term holder confidence, miner accumulation, and a stablecoin supply surge, suggest that September could be anything but boring for BTC.This technical analysis term describes a shift in market behavior, indicating a potential reversal of a prevailing trend.Several factors align to suggest that September could be the catalyst for such a shift.

Understanding Change of Character (ChoCH)

A ChoCH signal typically occurs after a period of consolidation or a downtrend. Bitcoin ETF manager Bitwise published a report this week explaining why almost every September including this one is a bad month for Bitcoin. The asset s sour performance comes down to three factors: sinking risk assets, SEC enforcement actions, and a negative feedback loop.It's characterized by a break above a significant resistance level, signaling a change in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September Cointelegraph Blog all41author Aug 0This can trigger a wave of buying pressure, leading to a more sustained upward trend.

Factors Contributing to a Potential ChoCH in September

Oversold Conditions: If Bitcoin experiences a price dip leading into September, it could create oversold conditions, making it ripe for a rebound.
Positive News Catalysts: Any positive news regarding regulatory clarity, institutional adoption, or technological advancements could trigger a ChoCH signal.
Technical Indicators: Monitoring key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can help identify potential ChoCH signals in real-time.

The 200-Day EMA as a Key Indicator

The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a widely used technical indicator that acts as a gauge of the long-term trend.Bitcoin's price interactions with the 200-day EMA can provide valuable insights into potential trend reversals.It's worth noting the Bitcoin (BTC) price has closed below the 200-day EMA only a few times in 2025. While Bitcoin failed to close above the $60K psychological level on the weekly chart, the long-term holders (LTHs) continue to adopt a bullish strategy in 2025. 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September - CryptoonderzoekerThe BTC/USD pair reclaimed a position above the EMA quickly after the previous instances, confirming strength.

For example, earlier in the year, Bitcoin's price closed below its 200-day EMA for a short period but swiftly rebounded, demonstrating the underlying bullish momentum.This resilience suggests that any similar dips in September could be short-lived and followed by a strong recovery, potentially triggering a ChoCH signal.

How to Prepare for a Potential ChoCH

If you are a trader looking to capitalize on a potential ChoCH, you should:

Monitor price charts closely.
Watch for breaks above key resistance levels.
Confirm the breakout with increased trading volume.
Set stop-loss orders to manage risk.

3. While Bitcoin failed to close above the $60K psychological level on the weekly chart, the long-term holders (LTHs) continue to adopt a bullish strategy in 2025.The Bitcoin Halving Cycle and its Lingering Effects

The Bitcoin halving, an event that occurs approximately every four years, has historically played a significant role in shaping Bitcoin's price trajectory. 3 reasons why Bitcoin(BTC) won t be boring in September . CryptoNews bitcoin bitdenextoken bitdenex BTC bitcointrading crypto cryptocurrencyWhile the immediate impact of the halving might be less pronounced in September, the ripple effects continue to influence market dynamics and contribute to a potentially exciting month.

Understanding the Bitcoin Halving

The halving reduces the reward miners receive for verifying transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain, effectively slowing down the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. Every four years, the reward to mine Bitcoin gets cut in half. The last halving took place last year in April when Bitcoin s rewards were slashed to 3.125 Bitcoin per block from 6.25 Bitcoin. Manic rally. Bitcoin halvings tend to spark a manic rally, with the price going vertical within a year and sizzling out within 12 to 18 months.This reduction in supply, coupled with continued demand, has historically led to significant price increases over time.

The last halving took place in April, which reduced Bitcoin's rewards to 3.125 Bitcoin per block from 6.25 Bitcoin.

The Halving's Long-Term Impact

While the most dramatic price surges often occur in the months following a halving, the underlying scarcity narrative continues to drive investor sentiment.As the supply of new Bitcoins dwindles, the perceived value of existing coins increases, attracting more investors and driving up demand.

The ""Manic Rally"" Phenomenon

Historical data suggests that Bitcoin halvings tend to spark a ""manic rally"", with the price going vertical within a year and fizzling out within 12 to 18 months after that.This pattern indicates that even several months after a halving, the market can still experience significant upward momentum.

How the Halving Cycle Could Impact September

Increased Scarcity Awareness: As the impact of the halving becomes more widely understood, investors may increasingly view Bitcoin as a scarce and valuable asset, driving up demand in September.
Potential for Institutional Adoption: The scarcity narrative could attract more institutional investors, who are increasingly interested in assets with limited supply and potential for long-term appreciation.
Positive Media Coverage: Continued media coverage of the halving and its impact on Bitcoin's supply could further boost investor sentiment and drive up prices in September.

Addressing Potential Concerns

While the factors mentioned above point to a potentially exciting September for Bitcoin, it's important to acknowledge that the market can be unpredictable. 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September Posted on Aug by RJM Bitcoin s (BTC) price closed below its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) for the second week in a row, but over the past 24 hours, it has rebounded above $60,000.Several factors could dampen the positive outlook. Bitcoin s recent price movements have been anything but dull, and as we move into September, several key factors suggest that this trend is likely to continue. 3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Won tOne of these is the historical precedent, as Bitwise published a report suggesting nearly every September is a bad month for Bitcoin.

SEC Enforcement Actions

Increased scrutiny and enforcement actions from the SEC on crypto-related businesses can lead to increased market anxiety and potentially lower prices. Related: 3 reasons why Bitcoin won t be boring in September. Hence, Bitcoin would buck the historical trend if it managed a sudden late August surge, but that s unlikely given the marketMarket uncertainty can also be caused by sinking risk assets, and a negative feedback loop.

Navigating Market Volatility

Regardless of the factors at play, it's important to remember that trading involves risk. 3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Won 39;t Be 39;Boring 39; in September! Despite Bitcoin failing to close above the $60K mark on the weekly chart, September holds promisingFollowing any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses.Diversifying your investment portfolio and only investing what you can afford to lose are crucial steps. Bitcoin long-term holder realized cap hits $3 billion. The Bitcoin (BTC) price has closed below the 200-day EMA only three times in 2025. As the chart below shows, July 4 marked the first bearish close under the 200-day EMA. The BTC/USD pair reclaimed a position above the EMA in less than 10 days.Before making any investment decisions, make sure to do your own research.

Conclusion: Prepare for an Eventful September

In conclusion, despite historical trends and recent price fluctuations, there are strong reasons to believe that Bitcoin won't be boring in September. Crypto Picks and Shovels: 3 Bitcoin Mining Stocks to Dig Into Now InvestorPlace Use your Google Account Forgot email?Not your computer? Use a private browsing window to sign in. Learn more about usingThe unwavering confidence of long-term holders, the potential for a ""Change of Character"" market signal, and the lingering effects of the Bitcoin halving cycle all point to a potentially eventful month. Bitcoin has been a hot topic in the world of finance and technology, but some skeptics believe that it may become boring in September. However, there are three key reasons why Bitcoin won't be losing its excitement any time soon.Firstly, the upcomiIt's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can always impact prices.However, by staying informed, monitoring key indicators, and managing risk effectively, investors can position themselves to potentially capitalize on opportunities that may arise in September.

Key Takeaways:

Long-term holders are accumulating Bitcoin, signaling confidence.
September could witness a ""Change of Character"" (ChoCH) market signal, indicating a trend reversal.
The Bitcoin halving continues to influence market dynamics.

Call to Action: Stay informed, do your own research, and manage your risk effectively.September could be a rewarding month for Bitcoin investors!