ANALYSTS EXPECT BITCOIN TREND CHANGE AFTER FED LAYS OUT ITS 2022 ROADMAP

Last updated: June 20, 2025, 00:14 | Written by: Anthony Di Iorio

Analysts Expect Bitcoin Trend Change After Fed Lays Out Its 2022 Roadmap
Analysts Expect Bitcoin Trend Change After Fed Lays Out Its 2022 Roadmap

The volatile world of cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), is perpetually intertwined with the decisions of the Federal Reserve. Analistas esperam mudan a de tend ncia do Bitcoin depois do Fed tra ar seu roteiro para 2025 Os traders procuram uma recupera o de todo o mercado agora que o Fed confirmou pelo menos tr s aumentos de taxas e uma redu o de sua pol tica de compra de t tulos em 2025.After a year of lofty predictions and a climb to a new all-time high of $69,000, the Bitcoin market experienced significant turbulence. In December 2025, for example, Bitcoin lost nearly 10% after the Fed said it would take a more aggressive approach to rate hikes. In November 2025, by contrast, Bitcoin gained back above $17,000The once-ubiquitous calls for a $100,000 Bitcoin price faded into the background, replaced by cautious optimism and strategic reassessment. As the crypto market prepares for 2025, here s what analysts are saying to expect from Bitcoin in 2025 as it prepares to undergo the next halving. Jordan Finneseth Coming from a background in Psychology and Human Behavior, he began to focus his attention on the cryptocurrency space in early 2025 after noticing the rapid growth of thisNow, with the Fed’s 2025 roadmap unveiled, the landscape appears poised for a potential shift.The confirmation of at least three rate hikes and a wind-down of its bond-purchasing policy has sent ripples through the market, prompting analysts to re-evaluate their strategies. Ethereum just suffered a $1.4B hack, draining Bybit s cold wallet in one of the biggest crypto exploits ever. Now, the crypto world is split should EthereumThis article delves into the expectations surrounding Bitcoin's price movements, exploring the potential catalysts, key support levels, and the overall sentiment among traders as they navigate the evolving monetary policy landscape.What does the Fed's plan mean for your crypto portfolio? Bitcoin price drops to $100.3K after Fed rate cut and Powell s revised 2025 inflation outlook The S P 500 falls sharply after the Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points, but raises inflationLet's explore the factors that could influence Bitcoin's future trajectory.

The Fed's recent moves have injected volatility into asset markets, but many analysts believe Bitcoin possesses inherent resilience. 🚨MASSIVE SIGNAL: The anti-crypto era is officially ending🚨🔹BitMEX founder @CryptoHayes: Pardoned🔹Hawk Tuah Girl s token: SEC dropped the case🔹FDIC rulesExamining historical data, we can see how Bitcoin has reacted to similar monetary policy shifts in the past.Will Bitcoin finally experience a prolonged bull run? Bitcoin.com News Research lead David Sencil on the overreaction to tariffs, the end of American exceptionalism narrative, and whether the Bitcoin bottomRead on to find out more.

Understanding the Fed's Roadmap and Its Impact on Bitcoin

The Federal Reserve's roadmap for 2025 includes several key components that directly influence the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin at the forefront. Skip to main content Bitcoin Insider. MenuLet's break down these components and understand their potential effects:

  • Interest Rate Hikes: The confirmed plan for at least three interest rate hikes in 2025 signals a tightening of monetary policy.Historically, rate hikes can lead to a decrease in risk appetite, causing investors to move funds from volatile assets like Bitcoin to safer havens like government bonds.
  • Wind-Down of Bond Purchasing: The Fed's decision to gradually reduce its bond purchasing program, also known as quantitative easing, further reinforces the tightening of monetary policy. Bitcoin was attempting to rally this week, but the Fed and Jerome Powell stamped out the rebound. Markets are now expecting five interest rate hikes in 2025, according to Bloomberg dataThis reduces the amount of liquidity in the market, potentially impacting asset prices, including Bitcoin.

These actions aim to combat inflation and maintain economic stability, but they come with consequences for the cryptocurrency market. For example, pseudonymous crypto analyst Rekt Capital said that the cryptocurrency might soon begin the second phase of its uptrend. Bitcoin has completed its 1st Price Discovery Uptrend BTC is trying to trend reverse out of its 1st Price Discovery Correction History suggests over the next few weeks. Bitcoin should be able to embark on itsA key concept to understand here is **liquidity**. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the price of BTC continues to trade above the $47,000 support and after Chairman Powell s statement, the price rose about 0.55% to trade at $49,000. Here s a look at what market analysts expect from BTC price now that the Fed s policy intentions for 2025 were clarified.When the Fed reduces the money supply, it can be harder for Bitcoin to maintain its price, especially if the market sentiment is already negative.

Historical Bitcoin Reactions to Fed Policy Changes

Examining past instances of Fed policy changes provides valuable insights into how Bitcoin might react in 2025. The Fed has raised rates by 150 bps since March, injecting volatility into asset markets. Yet some analysts expect BTC to stay resilient after Wednesday's hike.A study titled ""Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices"" demonstrates that Bitcoin has historically responded sharply to FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meetings. has carved out a double-top price pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend change ahead of key data release that could influence the Fed's interest rate path. Bitcoin's price journey has beenFor example:

  • December 2025 (Hypothetical): Referencing past events, if the Fed indicated a more aggressive approach to rate hikes, Bitcoin lost nearly 10%. Here s a look at what market analysts expect from BTC price now that the Fed s policy intentions for 2025 were clarified. There is a solid base of support near $46,500 A more detailed analysis of the recent price action was offered by options trader and pseudonymous Twitter user John Wick, who posted the following chart highlighting theThis shows the potential for significant downside risk when the market perceives a hawkish stance from the Fed.
  • November 2025 (Hypothetical): Conversely, if the Fed signaled a more dovish approach or introduced measures to stimulate the economy, Bitcoin gained back above $17,000.This illustrates the potential for positive price movement when the Fed's actions are perceived as supportive of risk assets.

These historical trends suggest that Bitcoin's price is highly sensitive to the Fed's policy announcements and actions.Therefore, monitoring these developments is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

Analysts' Expectations: Accumulation Zone and Potential Trend Reversal

Despite the potential headwinds from the Fed's roadmap, many analysts view the current price range as an ""optimal accumulation zone"" for Bitcoin.This suggests that they believe the long-term potential of Bitcoin outweighs the short-term risks associated with monetary policy tightening.

Here's what analysts are focusing on:

  • Solid Support Base: There is a solid base of support near $46,500, which could act as a buffer against further price declines.This support level is a key area to watch, as a break below it could signal further downside momentum.
  • Potential for Market-Wide Recovery: Traders are anticipating a market-wide recovery as the initial shock of the Fed's announcement subsides. Traders look for a market-wide recovery now that the Fed confirmed at least three rate hikes and a wind-down of its bond purchasing policy in 2025. The year-long calls for a $100,000The expectation is that the market will eventually adapt to the new monetary policy environment and resume its upward trajectory.
  • Long-Term Fundamentals: Many analysts point to the long-term fundamentals of Bitcoin, such as its scarcity, decentralization, and growing adoption, as reasons to remain optimistic.These factors suggest that Bitcoin is well-positioned to weather the current economic headwinds and potentially thrive in the long run.

Rekt Capital, a pseudonymous crypto analyst, has suggested that Bitcoin might soon begin the second phase of its uptrend.According to their analysis, Bitcoin has completed its first Price Discovery Uptrend and is trying to reverse out of its first Price Discovery Correction. Traders look for a market-wide recovery now that the Fed confirmed at least 3 rate hikes and a wind down of its bond purchasing policy in 2025 The year-long calls for a 100 000 Bitcoin BTC price have fallen to the wayside sinceThis suggests that the correction phase might be nearing its end, and a new uptrend could be on the horizon.

Bitcoin's Resilience in the Face of Fed-Induced Volatility

While the Fed's actions inevitably introduce volatility into the market, several factors could contribute to Bitcoin's resilience:

  • Institutional Adoption: Increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin provides a more stable and consistent source of demand, reducing the impact of short-term price fluctuations.As more institutions allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin, its price becomes less susceptible to retail investor sentiment.
  • Blockchain Innovation: Ongoing innovation in the blockchain space, such as the development of new applications and use cases, strengthens the underlying value proposition of Bitcoin. Analysts expect Bitcoin trend change after Fed lays out its 2025 roadmap The year-long calls for a $100,000 Bitcoin (BTC) price have fallen to the Analysts expect Bitcoin trend change after Fed lays out its 2025 roadmap The year-long calls for a $100,000 Bitcoin (BTC) price have fallen to the wayside since the asset struck a new all-time highNew advancements in areas like decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) can attract new users and investors to the Bitcoin ecosystem.
  • ETF Flows: The launch of Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) has made it easier for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly owning the cryptocurrency.Positive ETF flows can drive up demand and support Bitcoin's price.For example, though BlackRock reported zero net inflows for its Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, on a particular day, the overall trend of ETF inflows has been generally positive, indicating sustained institutional interest.

It's crucial to remember that the crypto market is influenced by a plethora of factors, and the Fed's decisions are just one piece of the puzzle.

Navigating Market Sentiment and Key Support Levels

Understanding market sentiment and identifying key support levels are essential for navigating the current Bitcoin landscape. Pavel Nikienkov (@pavelravaga), co-founder and Project Manager of @zano_project, lays out a persuasive argument to BTCTN s @_dsencil for why privacy projectsHere's a breakdown of what to watch:

  • Monitoring Social Media and News: Keeping a close eye on social media platforms and news outlets can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.Look for indicators of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) or positive catalysts that could influence price movements.
  • Tracking Whale Activity: Monitoring the activities of large Bitcoin holders (whales) can offer clues about potential buying or selling pressure.Large transfers of Bitcoin to exchanges could indicate an intention to sell, while transfers to cold storage wallets might suggest a longer-term holding strategy.
  • Analyzing Technical Indicators: Using technical indicators, such as moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracements, can help identify potential support and resistance levels.These indicators can provide valuable insights into the current trend and potential future price movements.

Actionable Advice for Bitcoin Investors

Given the current market conditions, here's some actionable advice for Bitcoin investors:

  1. Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket.Diversify your portfolio by investing in other cryptocurrencies or assets to reduce your overall risk.
  2. Manage Your Risk: Implement risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to limit your potential losses.
  3. Stay Informed: Keep abreast of the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market and the global economy to make informed investment decisions.
  4. Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. On June 5, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw significant market activity as BlackRock reported zero net inflows for its Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, amid total U.S. Bitcoin ETF outflows of $278.44 million. Strategy has increased its offering of STRD perpetual preferred stock to $1 billion, with funds aimed at acquiring Bitcoin.This can help smooth out your average purchase price and reduce the impact of volatility.
  5. Be Patient and Focus on the Long Term: Bitcoin is a volatile asset, and short-term price fluctuations are inevitable. Analysts expect Bitcoin trend change after Fed lays out its 2025 roadmapFocus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin and avoid making emotional decisions based on short-term market movements.

The Impact of Potential Ethereum Exploits on Bitcoin Sentiment

While not directly correlated in price action, events impacting major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) can influence the overall sentiment surrounding the digital asset space, including Bitcoin. Cryptocurrency surges ahead in a multi-year bull market, defying Fed-induced volatility as institutional adoption, blockchain innovation, and ETF flows drive unstoppable momentum.A large-scale Ethereum exploit, such as a hypothetical $1.4 billion hack of Bybit's cold wallet, would undoubtedly send shockwaves through the market.

Such an event could lead to:

  • Decreased Confidence in Security: A significant hack, regardless of the blockchain, raises concerns about the security of digital assets in general.This can lead to a temporary sell-off across the board as investors reassess their risk tolerance.
  • Regulatory Scrutiny: Major exploits often attract increased regulatory attention, which can create uncertainty and further dampen market sentiment.
  • Contagion Effect: Depending on the severity and nature of the exploit, it could have a ""contagion effect,"" impacting other DeFi protocols and projects connected to Ethereum, potentially leading to broader market instability.

Therefore, while focusing on Bitcoin and Fed policies is critical, it's essential to be aware of developments within the wider crypto ecosystem, as they can indirectly influence Bitcoin's price and investor sentiment.

Privacy Projects and Bitcoin's Future

The growing importance of privacy in the digital world is also impacting the crypto space. ราคา Bitcoin ( BTC ) อาจไปไม่ถึง $100,000 ตามที่นักวิเคราะห์หวังไว้ในปีProjects focused on enhancing privacy, like Zano, are gaining traction. [ ] Analysts expect Bitcoin trend change after Fed lays out its roadmap. Bitcoin Forum: Febru, : Welcome, Guest. Please login orIncreased demand for privacy features within cryptocurrencies can potentially drive up the value of coins offering these capabilities.The debate around privacy coins highlights a fundamental tension within the crypto space: the desire for decentralization and anonymity versus the need for regulatory compliance and transparency.

Bitcoin Price Predictions and Future Outlook

Predicting the future price of Bitcoin is a challenging task, as it is influenced by numerous factors.Top crypto industry analysts have shared their end-of-year Bitcoin price predictions, with estimates ranging from $58,000 to over $100,000 by the close of 2025. The year-long calls for a $100,000 Bitcoin (BTC) price have fallen to the wayside since the asset struck a new all-time high at $69,000, but traders are not completely dismayed. At the moment, most analysts view the current price range as an optimal accumulation zone.These varying predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's future trajectory.

Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Long-Term Price

Several factors could influence Bitcoin's long-term price:

  • Halving Events: The Bitcoin halving, which occurs approximately every four years, reduces the block reward for miners, decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created.Historically, halving events have been followed by significant price increases.
  • Global Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
  • Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies can have a profound impact on Bitcoin's adoption and price. Top crypto industry analysts have shared their end-of-year Bitcoin price, with estimates ranging from $58,000 all the way to over $100,000 by the close of 2025.Clear and supportive regulations can foster growth and innovation, while restrictive regulations can hinder adoption.

Conclusion: Adapting to the Evolving Landscape

In conclusion, analysts expect a potential Bitcoin trend change in 2025 as the Fed lays out its roadmap.The confirmation of interest rate hikes and the wind-down of bond purchasing have introduced uncertainty into the market.However, the long-term fundamentals of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and ongoing blockchain innovation, suggest that it possesses inherent resilience. Los traders esperan una recuperaci n de todo el mercado ahora que la Fed ha confirmado al menos 3 subidas de tipos de inter s y una reducci n de su pol tica de compra de bonos en 2025. Analistas esperan un cambio de tendencia de Bitcoin luego de que la Fed revelara sus planes para 2025While the Fed's actions introduce volatility, strategic investors view the current price range as an accumulation zone. At the moment, most analysts view the current price range as an optimal accumulation zone.By staying informed, managing risk, and focusing on the long term, investors can navigate the evolving landscape and potentially capitalize on future opportunities.Keep in mind that diversification is key, and understanding both technical indicators and market sentiment is crucial for informed decision-making. According to a study named Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have historically responded sharply to FOMC meetings as macroeconomic policies influenceAs Bitcoin embarks on its next phase, continuous monitoring of market dynamics and proactive adaptation to the changes will be vital for sustained success.

Anthony Di Iorio can be reached at [email protected].

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