$1.35B IN BITCOIN OPTIONS EXPIRE THIS WEEK — DO BTC BULLS OR BEARS HAVE THE UPPER HAND?

The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and this week, all eyes are on the expiration of a massive $1.35 billion in Bitcoin options.This event, a regular occurrence in the crypto derivatives market, often sparks volatility and speculation about which side, the bulls or the bears, will come out on top. With billions in BTC derivatives expiring today, crypto markets may have one final movement before the end of the year. More than 178,000 Bitcoin options contracts are set to expire on December 29, according to Deribit. This is one of the largest batches of the year, dwarfing the previous week s options expiry events. Bitcoin Options ExpiryFor seasoned traders and curious onlookers alike, understanding the dynamics of these expirations is crucial for navigating the ever-changing landscape of Bitcoin investing. $1.35B in Bitcoin options expire this week Do BTC bulls or bears have the upper hand? cointelegraph.com, UTCAre we on the verge of a significant price swing, or will the market absorb this event with minimal disruption?The answer lies in dissecting the positioning of both buyers and sellers, analyzing key metrics, and understanding the overall market sentiment.This week's expiry is particularly interesting considering Bitcoin's recent performance and the prevailing macroeconomic conditions.Is a breakout above $110,000 within reach, or will bears seize control? Bitcoin is set for its largest monthly options expiry of 2025, with a total exposure of $13.6 billion. This event provides bulls with a pivotal opportunity to push Bitcoin s (BTC) price aboveLet's delve into the details and uncover what this expiry means for the future of Bitcoin.

Understanding Bitcoin Options Expiry

Bitcoin options are contracts that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) Bitcoin at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specific date (expiry date). These contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.7 and a maximum pain point of $105,000. Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit. Similarly, Ethereum s options market is set to expire with 240,054 contracts. Today s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.63 and a maximum pain point of $2,575. Expiring Ethereum Options.When these options expire, they can significantly impact the price of Bitcoin, especially if a large number of contracts are expiring simultaneously.

What is Options Open Interest?

Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding options contracts that have not yet been exercised, expired, or been offset. The weekly BTC options expiry has $1.2 billion in open interest, but the actual figure will be lower because bulls have concentrated their bets on Bitcoin price trading above $29,000. BitcoinA high open interest indicates strong market interest in the particular option contract.

Call Options vs.Put Options

• Call Options: Give the buyer the right to buy Bitcoin at the strike price.Traders buy call options when they expect the price of Bitcoin to increase.
• Put Options: Give the buyer the right to sell Bitcoin at the strike price.Traders buy put options when they expect the price of Bitcoin to decrease.

The Put-to-Call Ratio

The put-to-call ratio is a key indicator used to gauge market sentiment.It's calculated by dividing the volume of put options by the volume of call options. Source Click to rate this post! [Total: 0 Average: 0]A ratio above 1 suggests a bearish sentiment, while a ratio below 1 suggests a bullish sentiment.

Analyzing This Week's $1.35B Expiry

This week's expiry involves a substantial $1.35 billion worth of Bitcoin options.The immediate question is: how will this impact the price of BTC?

Initial Assessment of the Landscape

According to available data, the put-to-call ratio for this expiry is 0.7.This indicates a slightly bullish sentiment among options traders, as there are more call options than put options. In addition to Bitcoin options, 1,068,519 Ethereum options contracts are set to expire today. These expiring options have a notional value of $2.135 billion, a put-to-call ratio of 0.39, and a maximum pain point of $2,400. The number of today s expiring Bitcoin and Ethereum options is significantly higher than last week.The maximum pain point is estimated at $105,000.

The Significance of the Maximum Pain Point

The maximum pain point is the price at which the most options contracts will expire worthless, causing the maximum financial loss for option buyers.Option writers (sellers) generally want the price to converge towards the maximum pain point as expiry approaches.

Bulls vs.Bears Positioning

Let's examine how the bulls and bears are positioned leading up to this significant expiry:

• Bulls: Recent reports suggest Bitcoin has climbed 25% in the past 30 days, surprising bearish traders who had built short positions. btc-0.16 %eth 0.23 % This week's Bitcoin options expiry is in total $1.35 billion, but what impact do you expect it to have on the BTC price? Source: www.ekoturk.comThe bulls are likely aiming for a price above $110,000.
• Bears: While bears might have hoped for Bitcoin to stay below $65,000 to maximize profits, there's no clear indication they placed significant bets on a price crash ahead of this expiry.

Potential Impact on Bitcoin Price

Predicting the exact impact of options expiry on Bitcoin's price is notoriously difficult, but we can analyze potential scenarios based on the current data:

Scenario 1: Bullish Momentum Continues

If Bitcoin maintains its bullish momentum and climbs toward $110,000, the bulls will likely have the upper hand.A significant portion of call options will be ""in the money,"" meaning they can be exercised for a profit. Given these favorable macroeconomic conditions, Bitcoin bulls have reason to believe the $63,000 level will hold until the Sept. 27 options expiration, and there might even be a push toward $65,000. However, to assess the likelihood of this bullish momentum, it is essential to examine how Bitcoin options traders are positioned ahead of the expiry.This could lead to further buying pressure, pushing the price even higher.The data suggests bulls have a strong incentive to defend the $63,000 level and potentially push towards $65,000.Positive macroeconomic conditions further support this scenario.

Scenario 2: Price Stalls Around the Maximum Pain Point

If the price converges towards the maximum pain point of $105,000, option writers (typically institutions) will benefit the most.This scenario suggests a period of consolidation or sideways movement as expiry approaches. Bitcoin (BTC) is about to experience its second-largest monthly options expiry of 2025, totaling $8.1 billion in aggregate exposure. The question is: will this be enough to fuel a robust rallyAchieving this point requires significant selling pressure which could suppress any rallies.

Scenario 3: Bears Attempt to Push the Price Down

While there's no strong evidence of bearish bets, bears could still attempt to push the price down to minimize losses on their short positions or to capitalize on potential ""max pain"" scenarios below current market prices. $1.35B in Bitcoin options expire this week Do BTC bulls or bears have the upper hand? cointelegraph.com 8 2 CommentsHowever, this would require significant selling pressure and would go against the recent bullish trend.

Key Factors to Watch

Several factors could influence the outcome of this week's Bitcoin options expiry:

• Spot Market Activity: The actual buying and selling pressure in the Bitcoin spot market will play a crucial role.
• News and Events: Any significant news events, such as regulatory announcements or macroeconomic data releases, could trigger unexpected price swings. This week s Bitcoin options expiry sits at $1.35 billion, but what is the expected impact on BTC price?AI crypto coin rallies, such as those anticipated ahead of NVIDIA earnings, can boost overall market sentiment.
• Derivatives Market Activity: Keep an eye on the futures market, where open interest remains high. BTC has climbed 25% in the past 30 days, surprising bearish traders who had built short positions across futures and options markets. Open interest in Bitcoin futures currently stands at $79 billion, with a large chunk tied to sell-side exposure. While bulls eye a Bitcoin price breakout above $110,000, the stakes remain high for both sidesLarge liquidations in futures contracts could exacerbate price volatility.
• ETF Flows: Monitor the inflows and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. A Bitcoin price rally to $90,000 would give bulls the advantage in this week s massive BTC options expiry. bulls and bears each have a strong incentive to influence Bitcoin s spot priceRecent data shows positive inflows, further supporting the bullish narrative.For example, on May 7th, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $132 million.Also on May 10th, nine US Bitcoin ETFs collectively increased their holdings by 714 BTC.

Impact on Ethereum Options

It's not just Bitcoin in the spotlight.Ethereum also faces a significant options expiry this week, with 240,054 contracts set to expire.Understanding how these two largest cryptocurrencies are interlinked is key.

Ethereum Options Expiry Details

This week's expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.63 and a maximum pain point of $2,575.The lower put-to-call ratio indicates a stronger bullish sentiment compared to Bitcoin. 5月10日九只美国比特币etf总计增持714枚比特币Expiring Ethereum options also carry a large notional value.

The Interplay between Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin and Ethereum often move in tandem, although Ethereum can sometimes exhibit greater volatility. O melhor cen rio para os ursos requer um pre o do Bitcoin abaixo de US$ 61.000 para garantir uma vantagem de US$ 100 milh es. N o h indica o de que os ursos do Bitcoin colocaram apostas adicionais usando op es de BTC para lucrar com uma queda de pre o antes do vencimento de 10 de maio.A positive outcome for Bitcoin's options expiry could positively influence Ethereum, and vice-versa.Traders should monitor both markets closely for signs of correlation or divergence.If one experiences a major price shift, it's likely that the other will soon follow suit.

Trading Strategies for Options Expiry Week

Navigating options expiry week requires a cautious and well-informed approach.Here are some potential trading strategies:

For Experienced Traders

• Iron Condor/Butterfly: Implement these strategies to profit from a range-bound market near the maximum pain point.
• Calendar Spreads: Capitalize on time decay by selling near-term options and buying longer-term options.
• Volatility Trading: Buy or sell options based on expectations of increased or decreased volatility.

For Novice Traders

• Avoid Overleveraging: This is especially important during periods of heightened volatility.
• Risk Management: Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
• Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with market news and analysis from reputable sources.
• Consider Sitting Out: If you're unsure, it's often best to stay on the sidelines and observe.

Example Scenario

Let's imagine you are a novice trader.Considering the data leaning slightly towards a bullish sentiment, you might be tempted to buy call options.However, the expiry is close. November's expiry is due Friday at UTC, with $9.4 billion in options expiry for bitcoin.Bitcoin's max pain price is $78,000, significantly lower than the current spot price. The majority ofA safer approach would be to wait until after the expiry to assess the market's direction before entering a new position.

Long-Term Perspective

While options expiry can cause short-term volatility, it's essential to maintain a long-term perspective on Bitcoin. $1.35B in Bitcoin options expire this week Do BTC bulls or bears have the upper hand?Despite price fluctuations, several factors point to Bitcoin's long-term success:

• Increasing Institutional Adoption: More and more institutions are entering the Bitcoin market, providing greater stability and liquidity.
• Growing Global Awareness: Bitcoin is becoming increasingly recognized as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
• Technological Advancements: Ongoing development and innovation are improving Bitcoin's scalability, security, and usability.

Common Questions about Bitcoin Options Expiry

Q: What happens when a Bitcoin option expires?

A: If the option is ""in the money"" (i.e., the market price is above the strike price for a call option, or below the strike price for a put option), the holder can exercise the option and either buy or sell Bitcoin at the strike price. 😲 $1.35 billion in Bitcoin options are set to expire this week There is no indication that Bitcoin bears placed significant bets using BTC options to profit from a price crash ahead of the May 10 expiry The open interest for call options below $63,000 is $91 million, meaning 87% of them will be worthless onIf the option is ""out of the money,"" it expires worthless.

Q: Does options expiry always cause a price swing?

A: Not always.The impact of options expiry depends on the size of the open interest, the distribution of strike prices, and overall market sentiment. Will this week s $8.1 billion Bitcoin options expiry fuel a rally to $70,000 or should traders anticipate a correction? Bitcoin is about to experience its second-largest monthly options expiry of 2025, totaling $8.1 billion in aggregate exposure.Sometimes, the market absorbs the expiry with minimal disruption.

Q: Where can I find data on Bitcoin options?

A: Several websites and platforms provide data on Bitcoin options, including Deribit, Skew, and Glassnode. $10.1 billion in Bitcoin options expire on Dec. 29. Cointelegraph examines whether bulls or bears will have the upper hand. Bitcoin bears will want BTC price under$42,000 to minimize losses.Also keep an eye on Cointelegraph or other crypto news outlets, as they often provide expiry analysis reports.Research different platforms and choose one that you find easiest to use and interpret.

Conclusion

The $1.35 billion Bitcoin options expiry this week is a significant event that could trigger short-term volatility. Shark Cat Solana Meme Coin Fight Ends Without Legal BattleWhile the put-to-call ratio suggests a slightly bullish sentiment, the outcome remains uncertain.Monitor key factors such as spot market activity, news events, and derivatives market activity to make informed trading decisions.Remember that risk management is crucial, especially during periods of heightened volatility. Will Bitcoin bulls secure $110K before BTC s $13.8B options expiry? $16.5B in Bitcoin options expire on Friday Will BTC price soar above $90K? This week s $16.5 billion BitcoinWhile short-term price swings are inevitable, maintain a long-term perspective on Bitcoin's potential.Whether bulls push past $110,000 or bears try to pull back, the expiry serves as a stress test, providing insight into the resilience and direction of the Bitcoin market. Whenever Bitcoin's BINANCE:BTCUSD price action exhibits significant corrections, analysts and traders are quick to search for a reason, often pointing fingers at derivatives markets where bears allegedly exploit futures contract liquidation levels or anticipate increased profits from weekly BTC optKeep a keen eye on how the market reacts around the $105,000 price point, and be prepared to adapt your strategy accordingly.In conclusion, While it's unclear if BTC bulls or bears have the upper hand this week, staying informed and having a plan will help you navigate the options expiry storm. AI Crypto Coins Rally Begins Ahead of NVIDIA s May 22 Earnings, This Lesser-Known Coin Poised for Biggest SurgeReady to take control of your crypto investments?