$10K BITCOIN PRICE BACK IN PLAY? KEY METRIC HINTS AT NEXT SUPERCYCLE

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 20:55 | Written by: Elizabeth Rossiello

$10K Bitcoin Price Back In Play? Key Metric Hints At Next Supercycle
$10K Bitcoin Price Back In Play? Key Metric Hints At Next Supercycle

Is the dream of accumulating more Bitcoin at a drastically reduced price about to become a reality?While the recent surge in Bitcoin's value has captivated investors worldwide, whispers of a potential retracement to the $10,000 mark are starting to surface. Bitcoin's social media sentiment turns bullish, signaling renewed trader confidence as it nears $85,000, sparking optimism for a potential $90,000 recovery. (VIE)This isn't just fear-mongering; it's a scenario being considered by some analysts, fueled by concerns over global liquidity and historical price patterns.But before you panic-sell, consider this: alongside these bearish predictions, a key metric is suggesting the possible emergence of a new Bitcoin supercycle, reminiscent of the explosive rally seen in 2025. Key Metric Hints at Next Supercycle As Bitcoin price continues to consolidate, bulls are looking to $8K as the next price target Continue reading $10K Bitcoin Price Back in Play? MonitorThis article dives deep into both sides of the argument, exploring the factors that could drive Bitcoin back down to $10K, while also examining the bullish indicators that suggest the potential for unprecedented growth. Bitcoin price targets for 2025 range from $100,000 to $200,000, but a fractal indicator warns about a 40% crash first.We'll analyze expert opinions, on-chain data, and market trends to provide a comprehensive overview of what the future might hold for the world's leading cryptocurrency. This week, Bloomberg Intelligence s senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone, casts a skeptical gaze on bitcoin.Buckle up, because the ride is about to get interesting!

The Bearish Case: Why $10K Bitcoin is Still Possible

Despite Bitcoin's impressive resilience and recent price gains, several factors are contributing to the possibility of a significant correction, potentially even a drop back to the $10,000 level.Let's examine the major headwinds that Bitcoin is currently facing:

Global Liquidity Concerns

One of the primary concerns revolves around global liquidity conditions. $10K Bitcoin Price Back in Play? Key Metric Hints at Next SupercycleSource: CointelegraphPublished onJamie Coutts, a chief crypto analyst, suggests that Bitcoin is ""on borrowed time"" as these conditions turn against crypto and risk-assets in general. $10K Bitcoin Price Back in Play? Key Metric Hints at Next Supercycle cointelegraph.com, UTCThe correlation between Bitcoin's price and overall market liquidity is undeniable.When liquidity tightens, investors tend to reduce their exposure to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies, leading to potential price declines.

Think of it this way: if there's less money flowing around in the financial system, there's less available to invest in Bitcoin.This reduced demand can put downward pressure on the price. O pre o do Bitcoin continua a crescer semana ap s semana, pois outros 9% foram adicionados ao seu valor desde o ltimo domingo.No entanto, com o corte de recompensa de blocos do halving a pouco mais de duas semanas de dist ncia, e a dificuldade de minera o deve aumentar outros 5% em pouco mais de uma semana, o mercado em alta est agora sobre n s?Conversely, when liquidity is abundant, Bitcoin tends to thrive.

Skeptical Market Sentiment

Not everyone is convinced that Bitcoin's current rally is sustainable.Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has expressed skepticism about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, even hinting at a possible crash to $10,000. Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses the current market turmoil, and a potential Bitcoin drop to $10K amid a market reset.While this is a contrarian view compared to some of the more bullish predictions, it's a perspective that needs to be considered. Further analysis produced a BTC price target of $126,000 as an average level that Bitcoin could still attain within the next two-and-a-half months. $70,000 marks a key FUD watershedThis skepticism is echoed by general concerns about the broader market's stability and the potential for unforeseen economic shocks.

Historical Price Patterns and Corrections

Bitcoin is known for its volatility. Bitcoin's price approaches $90,000 amid growing market speculation and uncertainty about sustainability. (VIE)Significant rallies are often followed by substantial corrections. Why Bitcoin's Price Is Now Likely to Pull Back . Market Analysis $10K Bitcoin Price Back in Play? Key Metric Hints at Next Supercycle . Bitcoin price has crossed the $10K mark seven timesWhile past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, it's important to acknowledge that a 40% crash or even deeper, wouldn't be entirely out of character for Bitcoin.Such corrections have historically shaken out weaker hands and allowed for a more sustainable upward trajectory in the long run.

  • Historical Volatility: Bitcoin has seen large swings in price throughout its history.
  • Correction Potential: Even in bull markets, significant corrections are common.
  • Market Reset: A deep correction can reset the market and prepare it for further growth.

The ""Trump Effect"" Counterpoint

While Van Eck predicts a potential Bitcoin price surge to $180,000 or more in the next year due to the ""Trump effect,"" this scenario is highly speculative and dependent on numerous political and economic factors. Bitcoin price metric 'bearish since October' warns analyst amid $10K dip Bitcoin versus global liquidity potentially paints a grim short-term picture for BTC price action. 8324 Total viewsIf the political landscape shifts or economic conditions falter, this predicted surge could easily be derailed, potentially leading to a price correction instead. The bitcoin price has returned to near its all-time high of almost $70,000 per bitcoin after BlackRock chief executive Larry Fink revealed his huge plan for bitcoin and crypto.Furthermore, any potential legal challenges related to regulatory uncertainty or other unforeseen issues could impact public sentiment negatively.

The Bullish Counterargument: A New Bitcoin Supercycle is Brewing

Now, let's turn our attention to the more optimistic side of the equation.While the bearish arguments carry weight, several indicators suggest that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a new supercycle, potentially dwarfing previous rallies.What are these factors and why should you pay attention?

The Fear and Greed Index Reset

One of the most compelling arguments for a continued Bitcoin bull run stems from the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index. Thielen identified the $82,000 level by analyzing an on-chain metric called the short-term holders' realized price the average price at which addresses holding coins for less than 155 daysAs observed by analysts, the metric recently reached 90%, marking the highest grade on its chart.While this might suggest an overbought condition, historical data indicates that Bitcoin often sustains its rally whenever this happens. Bitcoin price is looking like it s on the verge of a breakout according to several indicators on multiple timeframes as the MACD is about to crossIn other words, extreme greed can fuel further price increases.

Think of it like this: when everyone is bullish and eager to buy, the price tends to keep climbing.It's a self-fulfilling prophecy, at least until the sentiment eventually shifts.

Historical Parallels to the 2025 Rally

Some analysts draw parallels between the current market conditions and those preceding the significant rally in March 2025. $10K Bitcoin Price Back in Play? Key Metric Hints at Next Supercycle Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to grow week in and week out, as another 9% has been added to its value since a week ago.In March 2025, the weekly BTC candle opened at $971, ushering in a bullish supercycle that saw the price top out after an impressive 2,000% rally to $20K in just over nine months.Although a drop to $10K would require more than 80% correction from its recent highs, the idea remains in some analysts' vision as being achievable.

Strong Technical Indicators

Technical analysis provides further support for the bullish outlook. Crucially, Plessis observed a reset in the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index. He highlighted that the metric reached 90%, marking the highest grade on its chart. Although the index suggests an overbought condition for the digital asset, Plessis showed that it usually sustains a rally whenever it happens.Several indicators across multiple timeframes are suggesting that Bitcoin is on the verge of a breakout. Bitcoin took daily gains to 4.5% on Nov. 11 as an unlikely weekend of upside held firmly in place.BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView. BTC price knocks on $85,000. Data from CointelegraphHere are a few key observations:

  • Rising Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are rising, indicating a strong uptrend.The 50-day moving average, being below the current price, could act as a support level in case of a dip.
  • MACD Crossover: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is about to cross bullishly, signaling potential upward momentum.
  • Breakout Potential: Multiple indicators suggest that Bitcoin is poised for a breakout.

The Halving Event and Increased Scarcity

The upcoming block reward halving, where the rate at which new Bitcoins are created is cut in half, is a historically bullish catalyst.By reducing the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market, the halving increases scarcity, which can drive up the price.The halving occurs approximately every four years, and previous halvings have been followed by significant price increases.

It's a simple supply-and-demand equation: less supply, more demand, higher price.

Institutional Adoption and Mainstream Acceptance

The increasing acceptance of Bitcoin by institutional investors and mainstream financial institutions is a major positive development.The launch of Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) has made it easier for institutions and retail investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency. He says the Trump effect will see Bitcoin hit $180,000 or more in the next year according to Van Eck s price cycle. Sminston With, Bitcoin Research: $275,000 on Nov. 1, 2025 Predicting the price of Bitcoin is one thing, but predicting the actual date when it hits the forecasted target is another.This increased accessibility fuels demand and legitimizes Bitcoin as an asset class.

The fact that BlackRock, one of the world's largest asset managers, is heavily involved in Bitcoin is a strong signal of mainstream acceptance.

Potential Market Cap Growth

Some analysts, like former macro hedge fund manager Raoul Paul, believe that Bitcoin's market cap could reach $10 trillion in the future.While this is an ambitious prediction, it underscores the potential for significant long-term growth. Bitcoin s Market Cap Could Reach $10 Trillion, Says Former Macro Hedge Fund ManagerSuch a valuation would require substantial price appreciation, suggesting that the current bull market could have much further to run.

Navigating the Uncertainty: How to Prepare for Both Scenarios

Given the conflicting signals and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market, it's crucial to approach Bitcoin investing with a well-defined strategy.Here's how you can prepare for both the bearish and bullish scenarios:

Risk Management is Key

Never invest more than you can afford to lose.Bitcoin is a high-risk, high-reward asset. Bitcoin struggles with resistance below $88,800, raising questions about upcoming trends. (VIE)Diversify your portfolio to reduce your overall risk exposure. In March 2025, when the weekly BTC candle opened at $971, ushering in a bullish supercycle that saw the price top out after an impressive 2,000% rally to $20K in just over nine months.Don't put all your eggs in one basket.Implement stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the price declines. Bitcoin s Market Cap Could Reach $10 Trillion, Says Former Macro Hedge Fund Manager In the April 2025 issue of the Global Macro Investor (GMI) newsletter, former macro hedge fund manager Raoul Paul explains why he believes that Bitcoin, which he calls the future, could have a $10 trillion valuation in the future.This is especially important in a volatile market like Bitcoin.

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Consider using dollar-cost averaging to gradually build your Bitcoin position.DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. Bitcoin Could Crash to $10k However, one top money manager, Louis Navellier, recently made a shocking price prediction that is sending some shock waves down the spine of many crypto enthusiastsThis helps to smooth out the volatility and reduces the risk of buying at the top.

For example, instead of investing $1,000 in Bitcoin all at once, you could invest $100 per week for 10 weeks.

Stay Informed and Do Your Research

Keep up-to-date with the latest news and analysis on Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin faces key resistance at $84,000 and $96,000, with potential for all-time highs. (VIE)Follow reputable sources and be wary of hype and speculation.Don't make investment decisions based solely on social media sentiment.Conduct your own due diligence and understand the risks involved.

Consider Taking Profits

If you've made substantial profits on your Bitcoin investments, consider taking some profits off the table. 比特幣 (BTC) 的價格一周又一周繼續上漲,因為自上週日以來其價值又增加了 9%。This can help to protect your gains and reduce your risk exposure.You can always reinvest those profits later if you believe the bull market has further to run.

Long-Term Perspective

Bitcoin is a long-term investment. Bitcoin (BTC) is on borrowed time as global liquidity conditions turn against crypto and risk-assets, new analysis warns. In a thread on X on Dec. 6, Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst atDon't get caught up in short-term price fluctuations. As bitcoin's ongoing price surge gives off an aura of invincibility, one force threatens to slow the ascent above $90,000. By Omkar GodboleFocus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a store of value and a decentralized digital currency. Free Bitcoin live data charts for price prediction and forecasting. Key reversals; Bitcoin Crosby Ratio; Addresses with Balance $10k New.Ignore the noise and stay focused on your investment goals.

Expert Opinions and Price Predictions

Let's delve deeper into the opinions of various experts and their price predictions for Bitcoin.It's crucial to understand that these are just predictions, and no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty.

Bullish Predictions:

  • Raoul Paul: Bitcoin's market cap could reach $10 trillion in the future.
  • Van Eck: The ""Trump effect"" could see Bitcoin hit $180,000 or more in the next year.
  • Other Analysts: Price targets for 2025 range from $100,000 to $200,000.

Bearish Predictions:

  • Mike McGlone: Potential Bitcoin crash to $10,000 amid a market reset.
  • Jamie Coutts: Bitcoin is ""on borrowed time"" due to tightening global liquidity.

Important Considerations:

  • Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and significant price swings are common.
  • Market Sentiment: Market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's important to stay informed and adapt your strategy accordingly.
  • External Factors: External factors, such as regulatory changes and macroeconomic events, can also impact Bitcoin's price.

Common Questions About Bitcoin's Price

Here are some frequently asked questions about Bitcoin's price and potential future movements:

Will Bitcoin really crash to $10,000?

While a crash to $10,000 is possible, it's not a certainty. Bitcoin saw its first weekly close above $100,000, which was a volatile start to a new trading week.Weekly close records do not last long as analysis warns that the market should fill a $10,000Several factors would need to align for this to happen, including a significant tightening of global liquidity and a major shift in market sentiment. Bitcoin price is looking like it s on the verge of a breakout according to several indicators on multiple timeframes as the MACD is about to cross bullish Please note, this is a STATIC archive of website cointelegraph.com from, cach3.com does not collect or store any user information, there is no phishing involved.The possibility should be considered in your overall investment strategy, however.

Is it too late to buy Bitcoin?

Whether it's ""too late"" to buy Bitcoin depends on your investment goals and risk tolerance.Bitcoin has already seen significant price appreciation, but many analysts believe it still has long-term growth potential.Dollar-cost averaging can be a good strategy for entering the market gradually.

What is the impact of the Bitcoin halving?

The Bitcoin halving reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are created, increasing scarcity and potentially driving up the price. In the daily chart, Bitcoin is bullish. The 50-day moving average, currently below the price, is rising, which might support future price movements. The 200-day moving average has been rising since, showing long-term strength.Historically, halvings have been followed by significant bull markets.

How should I store my Bitcoin?

It's crucial to store your Bitcoin securely.Consider using a hardware wallet, which is a physical device that stores your private keys offline.Alternatively, you can use a reputable software wallet with strong security features.

Conclusion: Prepare, Don't Panic

The future of Bitcoin's price remains uncertain.While the possibility of a drop back to $10,000 exists, the potential for a new supercycle and significant long-term growth is also compelling.The key is to approach Bitcoin investing with a well-defined strategy, manage your risk carefully, and stay informed about market developments.Don't let fear or greed drive your decisions.Whether Bitcoin crashes, continues its bull run, or meanders sideways, having a clear plan in place will allow you to navigate the market with confidence.Here are the key takeaways:

  • A $10K Bitcoin price is possible due to global liquidity concerns and potential market corrections.
  • A new Bitcoin supercycle could be brewing, driven by the Fear and Greed Index, technical indicators, and the halving event.
  • Risk management, dollar-cost averaging, and staying informed are crucial for navigating the market.

Ultimately, investing in Bitcoin is a personal decision that should be based on your own research and understanding of the risks involved.Whether you're a seasoned crypto veteran or a curious newcomer, remember to stay informed, stay diversified, and stay patient.

Elizabeth Rossiello can be reached at [email protected].

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