100 DAYS OUT: WHAT THE BITCOIN HALVING MEANS AFTER BTC ETF APPROVALS

Last updated: June 20, 2025, 01:37 | Written by: Brian Kelly

100 Days Out: What The Bitcoin Halving Means After Btc Etf Approvals
100 Days Out: What The Bitcoin Halving Means After Btc Etf Approvals

The crypto world is abuzz. 100 days out: What the Bitcoin halving means after BTC ETF approvals . The Bitcoin halving has proven to be an important benchmark for traders trying to time the market, but how could the new spot BTC ETFs affect this trend? 1389 Total views 20 Total shares Listen to articleAfter months of anticipation, and a brief scare involving a false tweet, the U.S.Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) finally approved all 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin halving explained. Find out about Bitcoin s halving process works and what it means for Bitcoin s price and its users.The initial excitement, or perhaps ""ETF hangover"" as some call it, is now subsiding, and the community is turning its attention to the next major milestone on the horizon: the Bitcoin halving. April is a big month for the crypto world. The next Bitcoin (BTC-0.56%) halving event is happening later this month, and that could lead to a rally in the price of the world's leadingWith the halving event less than 100 days away, the big question is: how will the recent ETF approvals impact this historically significant event?Will the influx of institutional money through these ETFs amplify the traditional post-halving bull run, or will it alter the established patterns?This article will delve into the intricacies of the Bitcoin halving, explore its historical impact, and analyze how the newly approved BTC ETFs might reshape the future of Bitcoin's price dynamics.

Understanding the Bitcoin Halving

The Bitcoin halving is a programmed event that occurs approximately every four years (or every 210,000 blocks mined).Its primary purpose is to control the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market. The Bitcoin halving is the next crypto event to check, less than 100 days! Will halving 2025 respect the surge in its price action as last btc halving cycles or has the spot btc halvingIn simple terms, it reduces the reward given to Bitcoin miners for verifying transactions and adding new blocks to the blockchain by half.

The Mechanics of the Halving

When Bitcoin was first created, miners received 50 BTC for each block they successfully mined.This reward has been halved three times already:

  • First halving (2012): Reward reduced to 25 BTC
  • Second halving (2016): Reward reduced to 12.5 BTC
  • Third halving (2020): Reward reduced to 6.25 BTC

The upcoming halving, expected in April 2025, will further reduce the block reward to 3.125 BTC. See full list on investopedia.comThis process will continue until all 21 million Bitcoins are in circulation, which is estimated to happen around the year 2140.

Why Does the Halving Matter?

The halving is a critical mechanism for maintaining Bitcoin's scarcity. BCH witnessed its first halving in April 2025, cutting rewards from 12.5 to 6.25 BCH per block. Now, the Bitcoin Halving Dates mark April 2025 as the date for the next halving, potentially dropping rewards to 3.125 BCH. Now that the Bitcoin Halving 2025 is live, the question of what BCH Halving is echoes among BCH enthusiasts.By reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created, it emulates the properties of precious metals like gold, which have a limited supply.This scarcity is a key factor in Bitcoin's value proposition as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.

Historical Impact of Bitcoin Halvings

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have been associated with significant price increases.While correlation doesn't equal causation, the market's reaction to reduced supply has consistently resulted in bullish trends.

  • 2012 Halving: In the year following the first halving, Bitcoin's price surged from around $12 to over $1,000.
  • 2016 Halving: After the second halving, Bitcoin's price climbed from approximately $650 to nearly $20,000 over the next 18 months.
  • 2020 Halving: Following the third halving, Bitcoin experienced another bull run, reaching an all-time high of nearly $69,000.

These past cycles have created a strong narrative around the halving, leading many investors to anticipate similar price appreciation in the future.

The Underlying Logic

The fundamental reasoning behind the post-halving price increase is rooted in simple economics: reduced supply and consistent or increased demand.When the block reward is halved, the rate at which new Bitcoins enter the market decreases. Crypto Twitter has been immersed in the speculation and anticipation of the eventual approval of the spot Bitcoin ( BTC ) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in thIf demand remains constant or increases (as has historically been the case), the resulting scarcity can drive prices higher.

The Role of Bitcoin ETFs

The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs represents a significant shift in the cryptocurrency landscape. Learn the latest details on the Bitcoin halving countdown 2025, including definitions, dates, and how it affects BTC performance, miners and crypto ETFs.These ETFs allow institutional investors and retail investors who were previously hesitant to directly buy and hold Bitcoin to gain exposure to the asset through traditional investment vehicles.

Increased Institutional Adoption

Bitcoin ETFs open the door to a massive influx of institutional capital. July 29 marks the 100th day since the Bitcoin blockchain cut per block mining rewards to 3.125 BTC from 6.25 BTC. Data from past halvings show the bullish impact of the programmed code takesPension funds, hedge funds, and other large investors can now allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin without the complexities and security concerns associated with direct ownership. BTCUSD Bitcoin 100 days out: What the Bitcoin halving means after BTC ETF approvalsThis increased demand could potentially amplify the impact of the upcoming halving.

Price Discovery and Market Efficiency

ETFs also contribute to better price discovery and market efficiency. At present, transaction fees make up only a small proportion of a miner s revenues following the 2025 halving, miners mint around 428 BTC (about $28.3 million) a day, but earn between BTC ($3.9 million to $6.6 million) in daily transaction fees. That means transaction fees currently make up as little as 14% of a miner s revenueBy providing a regulated and transparent way to trade Bitcoin, they help to reduce volatility and improve liquidity. Crypto Twitter has been immersed in the speculation and anticipation of the eventual approval of the spot Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States. After some turbulence caused by an alleged fake tweet from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, all 10 spot BitThis could lead to a more stable and mature Bitcoin market, although volatility is still expected.

Halving vs.ETFs: A Comparative Analysis

While both the halving and the ETF approvals are bullish catalysts for Bitcoin, they operate through different mechanisms. Crypto Twitter has been immersed in the speculation and anticipation of the eventual approval of the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the UnitedThe halving directly impacts the supply side, while ETFs primarily influence the demand side.

Supply Shock vs. The Bitcoin Cycle Low Multiple chart divides bitcoin price history into eras . Each era represents around 700 days before a halving, and 700 days after a halving. 1. Era 1's middle point is the 2025 halving 2. Era 2's middle point is the 2025 halving 3. Era 3's middle point is the 2025 halving 4. Era 4's middle point is the 2025 halving.Demand Surge

The halving creates a supply shock by reducing the number of new Bitcoins entering the market.ETFs, on the other hand, create a demand surge by making Bitcoin more accessible to a wider range of investors. After the upcoming halving, it will be 3.125 BTC. This process is set to continue until all 21 million tokens are in circulation. Generally, these events have historically triggered supplyThe combined effect of these two forces could be particularly powerful.

Potential Scenarios

Here are a few potential scenarios for how the halving and ETF approvals could interact:

  • Amplified Bull Run: The increased demand from ETFs, coupled with the reduced supply from the halving, could lead to an even more significant price increase than previous halving cycles.
  • Early Price Surge: The ETF approval has already driven up the price of Bitcoin. The ETF hangover seems to be over now, and attention can now move to the next big event: the Bitcoin halving. The largest Bitcoin event has less than 100 days to go. The previous halving events have directly correlated with Bitcoin s bull runs, but could the spot Bitcoin ETFs influence the price of Bitcoin in the coming halving cycleThe halving might then act as a confirmation of the bullish trend, leading to further gains.
  • Market Correction: It's also possible that the market could experience a correction after the halving, as some investors take profits after the initial surge.

The Miner Perspective

The halving directly impacts Bitcoin miners, who receive fewer Bitcoins for their efforts. The ETF hangover is over, and attention can now shift to the next big event: the Bitcoin halving. The biggest Bitcoin event has less than 100 days to go. The past halvings have directly correlated with Bitcoin s bull runs, but could the spot Bitcoin ETFs influence the price of BTC in this halving cycle, interfering with short- and long-termThis can lead to increased competition and potentially force less efficient miners to shut down. Crypto Twitter has been immersed in the speculation and anticipation of the eventual approval of the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States. After some turbulence caused by an alleged fake tweet from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, all 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved. The ETF hangover is over, and attention can now shift toHowever, if the price of Bitcoin increases significantly after the halving, the remaining miners could still be profitable even with a lower block reward. The Bitcoin halving has proven to be an important benchmark for traders trying to time the market, but how could the new spot BTC ETFs affect this trend?It's important to remember that transaction fees also play a part in miner revenue, which currently make up about 14% of miner revenue and could increase over time.

What to Expect in the Next 100 Days

With less than 100 days until the next Bitcoin halving, here's what to watch for:

Market Sentiment

Keep an eye on market sentiment and investor confidence.The more positive the outlook, the more likely it is that Bitcoin will experience a significant price increase.

ETF Flows

Track the inflows and outflows of Bitcoin ETFs.Strong inflows indicate increasing demand, while outflows could signal a potential correction.

Miner Activity

Monitor the Bitcoin hashrate (the computational power used to mine Bitcoin) and the activity of mining pools.A significant drop in hashrate could indicate that miners are struggling to remain profitable.

Regulatory Developments

Stay informed about any new regulations or policies that could impact the cryptocurrency market. The Bitcoin halving has proven to be an important benchmark for traders trying to time the market, but how could the new spot BTC ETFsRegulatory clarity can boost investor confidence, while unfavorable regulations could dampen enthusiasm.

Strategies for Investors

Navigating the Bitcoin market around the halving can be tricky.Here are a few strategies to consider:

  • Long-Term HODL: If you believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, simply holding your coins through the halving and beyond may be the best strategy.
  • Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This can help to smooth out volatility and reduce risk.
  • Active Trading: More experienced traders may try to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations around the halving by buying low and selling high.However, this strategy is inherently risky and requires a deep understanding of market dynamics.

Risk Management

It's crucial to remember that investing in Bitcoin involves significant risk. Recent: 100 days out: What the Bitcoin halving means after BTC ETF approvals Mannerings says it wasn t until later, when Signal arrived with its improved user experience (UX), that the conceptNever invest more than you can afford to lose, and always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

The Bitcoin Halving in 2025 and Beyond

While the upcoming halving in April 2025 is generating a lot of excitement, it's important to remember that the halving process will continue until all 21 million Bitcoins are in circulation. The Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs approximately every four years, reducing the rate at which new BTC units are generated and earned by miners in the Bitcoin network. Specifically, miners reward for validating and adding new blocks to the blockchain is reduced by half.Each subsequent halving will further reduce the rate of new Bitcoin creation, potentially leading to even greater scarcity and price appreciation over the long term.

Long-Term Scarcity

The long-term scarcity of Bitcoin is a key factor in its value proposition.As the supply of new Bitcoins decreases with each halving, the existing Bitcoins become more valuable.This makes Bitcoin an attractive store of value for investors who are concerned about inflation and the devaluation of fiat currencies.

The Future of Mining

The halving also has implications for the future of Bitcoin mining.As the block reward decreases, miners will become increasingly reliant on transaction fees to remain profitable. After some turbulence caused by an alleged fake tweet from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, all 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved. The ETF hangover is over, and attention can nowThis could lead to higher transaction fees or changes in the mining landscape as miners adapt to the new economic reality.

Addressing Common Questions about the Halving

Here are some frequently asked questions about the Bitcoin halving:

  • What is the exact date of the next Bitcoin halving? The exact date is estimated for April 2025, but it depends on the block mining rate.
  • Will the price of Bitcoin definitely go up after the halving? While historical trends suggest a price increase, there are no guarantees.Market conditions and investor sentiment play a crucial role.
  • How does the halving affect Bitcoin miners? The halving reduces the block reward for miners, potentially impacting their profitability.
  • What are the risks of investing in Bitcoin around the halving? The Bitcoin market can be volatile, and prices can fluctuate significantly.It's important to manage your risk accordingly.
  • Are Bitcoin ETFs a good investment? Whether Bitcoin ETFs are a good investment depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.Do your research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion

The upcoming Bitcoin halving, coupled with the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, presents a unique and potentially transformative moment for the cryptocurrency market. After some turbulence caused by an alleged fake tweet from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, all 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved. The ETF hangover is over, and attention can now shift to the next big event: the Bitcoin halving.The halving will reduce the supply of new Bitcoins, while the ETFs will increase demand by making Bitcoin more accessible to a wider range of investors. Explore the Bitcoin Halving, an event that halves the reward for mining Bitcoin transactions, ensuring its scarcity and long-term sustainability. Understand the halving s impact on Bitcoin's economy, market dynamics, and role in promoting economic freedom.While the historical data suggests a bullish trend after the halving, the influence of ETFs introduces a new dynamic that could either amplify or moderate the traditional price movements.As the market approaches the halving, investors should carefully monitor market sentiment, ETF flows, miner activity, and regulatory developments to make informed decisions. The current reward structure (as of 2025) provides 3.125 bitcoins per block after the April 2025 halving. Previous rewards were 6.25 bitcoins ( ), 12.5 bitcoins ( ), and 25 bitcoins ( ) when the network was younger. This systematic reduction means Bitcoin becomes more scarce over time, with the final bitcoin expected toThe combination of a supply shock from the halving and increased institutional adoption via ETFs makes this halving cycle particularly noteworthy and could reshape Bitcoin's future price trajectory. The study revealed that the mean excess performance the difference between performance X number of days after the halving and X days before the halving, increases significantly 100 days postRemember to always conduct thorough research and manage risk appropriately when investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.

Brian Kelly can be reached at [email protected].

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