BEARISH TD9 SELL SIGNAL HINTS AT CORRECTION AFTER 40% BITCOIN PRICE RALLY

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 22:56 | Written by: Changpeng Zhao

Bearish Td9 Sell Signal Hints At Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price Rally
Bearish Td9 Sell Signal Hints At Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price Rally

Bitcoin's recent impressive rally, a surge of approximately 40%, has sparked considerable excitement and optimism within the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin could be headed for a multiweek correction, according to Katie Stockton.; The strategist said bitcoin was flashing a sell signal, given recent trading patterns. She predicted the cryptoHowever, beneath the surface of this bullish momentum, a potential storm may be brewing.Several technical indicators are flashing warning signs, suggesting that a correction could be imminent.Among these signals, the Bearish TD9 Sell Signal stands out as a particularly noteworthy indicator.This signal, part of the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential system, has historically proven to be a reliable predictor of near-term pullbacks in the Bitcoin price.The TD9 signal is triggered when an asset's price increases for nine consecutive days, each day exceeding the price four days prior. Bitcoin forms a bearish div on 4-hour chart. From a technical perspective, Uptober may begin with a short-term correction for BTC to form a higher low pattern. As illustrated, Bitcoin s 4This pattern indicates an overextended move to the upside, making the asset vulnerable to a correction.

The appearance of the TD9 sell signal, coupled with other bearish indicators like a potential death cross formation and bearish divergences on shorter timeframes, has led prominent crypto analysts to issue warnings about a potential dip in Bitcoin's price. Bitcoin s value fluctuated within a narrow band, ranging from approximately $41,950 to $42,069 within the last hour.Understanding these technical signals and their historical context is crucial for investors and traders looking to navigate the volatile cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin just flashed a TD9 sell signal on the daily timeframe and a confluence of factors are likely to lead to a post-halving sell-off. 0. NEWS. BITCOIN; ETHEREUM;This article delves into the intricacies of the Bearish TD9 Sell Signal, its implications for Bitcoin's price, and strategies for managing risk in the face of a potential correction. Bearish TD9 Sell Signal Hints at Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price Rally posted in: Crypto FeedsWe'll explore historical data, analyze expert opinions, and provide insights into how you can prepare for and potentially profit from a Bitcoin price pullback. Historical data shows that the TD9 signal typically leads to a 12 to 20 percent near-term pullback in the Bitcoin price. The indicator identifies overextended movements to both the upsideIs this just a temporary blip, or a sign of a more significant shift in market sentiment? Bitcoin recently gave a bearish signal, which ultimately failed to produce a meaningful pullback. Due to the technical failure, historical data suggests that in only a matter of a month BTCUSD could set a new all-time high and reach a target of $85K per coin.Let’s find out!

Understanding the TD9 Sequential and Sell Signals

The TD Sequential, developed by Tom DeMark, is a sophisticated technical analysis tool used to identify potential trend exhaustion points.It consists of two primary phases: Setup and Countdown.The Setup phase involves identifying nine consecutive candles (days, hours, etc.) that meet specific criteria to signal a potential exhaustion. Bearish TD9 Sell Signal Hints at Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price RallyThe TD9 sell signal is triggered during the Setup phase. Skip to main content Bitcoin Insider. MenuWhen these conditions are met, it indicates that the upward trend may be losing momentum and a correction is likely.

How the TD9 Sell Signal Works

The TD9 sell signal is not simply about counting nine consecutive up days.The defining characteristic lies in the comparison of each day's closing price to the closing price four days prior. The RSI and MACD both support this bearish outlook. The RSI decreased below 50, while the MACD made a bearish cross. So, the weekly and daily time frame price action both give a bearish Bitcoin prediction, suggesting more downside is likely. Let s look at the wave count to determine if Bitcoin s cycle has ended. Has Bitcoin s Cycle Ended?Specifically, the following must occur:

  1. The price must increase for nine consecutive trading periods (days, hours, etc.).
  2. Each day's closing price must be higher than the closing price four days earlier.

This pattern implies that the buying pressure has been consistently strong for an extended period.However, such relentless upward movement is often unsustainable, leading to an overbought condition. Warning: Trading on leveraged financial instruments may expose you to risk of loss greater than your deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients with the financial means to bear such risk. Trading on foreign exchange instruments (Forex) and contracts for difference (CFDs) is highly speculative and particularly complex and comes with aAs the market becomes saturated with buyers, the likelihood of profit-taking and a subsequent pullback increases significantly.

Interpreting the Signal: More Than Just a Number

While the TD9 sell signal is a valuable tool, it's crucial to understand that it's not a guaranteed predictor of a price decline. The live Bitcoin price today is $104,364.35 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $50,255,072,425.45 USD. We update our BTC to USD price in real-time.It should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and a comprehensive understanding of market conditions.The strength of the signal can be influenced by factors such as trading volume, overall market sentiment, and external events that could impact Bitcoin's price.

For example, a TD9 sell signal that occurs amidst strong positive news or widespread bullish sentiment may be less reliable than one that appears during a period of uncertainty or negative catalysts. Bitcoin (BTC) faces increased bearish pressure, as a divergence on the 4-hour chart suggests a possible correction toward $60,000. Crypto analyst Crypto Bullet tweeted about a bearish divergence at the top, indicating that a further price drop could be imminent.Similarly, high trading volume during the nine-day run-up could indicate genuine buying interest, potentially diminishing the likelihood of a significant correction.

Historical Accuracy of the TD9 Sell Signal for Bitcoin

Historical data suggests that the TD9 sell signal has a relatively strong track record of predicting near-term pullbacks in Bitcoin's price. ارتفع سعر البيتكوين (BTC) إلى 9,065 دولارًا في 1 مايو ، بعد أن بلغ ذروته عند 9,481 دولارًا في اليوم السابق. زيادة سعر البيتكوين بنسبة 35٪ خلال تسعة أيامSeveral analyses have shown that when a TD9 sell signal appears on Bitcoin's chart, a correction of 12% to 20% typically follows in the near term.It's important to note that this is an average, and the actual magnitude of the correction can vary depending on market conditions.

Past Instances and Their Outcomes

Reviewing past instances of TD9 sell signals on Bitcoin's chart can provide valuable insights into their potential impact. Bitcoin's latest rally signals bullish short-term momentum, according to Fairlead Strategies. Technical indicators flashed a buy signal on Tuesday as bitcoin hit a record high of $108,369For example, in April and May of 2020, a TD9 sell signal appeared as Bitcoin rose above $7,125 for nine consecutive days.Following this signal, Bitcoin experienced a noticeable pullback.However, it's equally vital to acknowledge instances where the TD9 sell signal failed to produce a meaningful correction. De 23 de abril a 1 de maio, o BTC permaneceu acima de US$ 7.125 por nove dias consecutivos, levando o TD9 a se acender. Gr fico di rio do Bitcoin imprime um TD9. Fonte: Tradingview. Dados hist ricos mostram que o sinal TD9 normalmente leva a uma retra o de curto prazo de 12 a 20% no pre o do Bitcoin.These ""false signals"" serve as a reminder that no technical indicator is infallible, and risk management is always paramount.

Factors Affecting Signal Reliability

Several factors can influence the reliability of the TD9 sell signal.These include:

  • Market Volatility: High market volatility can lead to erratic price movements, potentially triggering false signals or exaggerating the magnitude of corrections.
  • Trading Volume: Low trading volume can indicate a lack of conviction behind the price movement, making the TD9 signal less reliable.
  • External Events: Unexpected news events, regulatory announcements, or macroeconomic factors can override technical signals and significantly impact Bitcoin's price.

Due to the potential for technical failure, some analysts suggest that if the signal doesn't result in a pullback, BTC could potentially set new all-time highs.

Analyzing the Recent 40% Bitcoin Price Rally

The recent 40% rally in Bitcoin's price has been driven by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, growing mainstream awareness, and positive regulatory developments. Long positions taken on Bitcoin on the popular crypto exchange Bifinex are nearing an all-time high, all while the leading cryptocurrency by market cap No Result View All ResultThe surge fueled optimism and led many investors to believe that Bitcoin was on track to reach new all-time highs. Bitcoin just flashed a TD9 sell signal on the daily timeframe and a confluence of factors are likely to lead to a post-halving sell-off Please note, this is a STATIC archive of website cointelegraph.com from, cach3.com does not collect or store any user information, there is no phishing involved.However, this rapid price appreciation also created an environment ripe for a potential correction.

Key Drivers Behind the Rally

Understanding the drivers behind the recent rally is crucial for assessing the likelihood of a correction. Historically, such formations have been considered bearish signals, with the price potentially suffering once the pattern is confirmed. The other signal that has appeared for the cryptocurrency involves the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential.Some of the key factors include:

  • Institutional Investment: Increased participation from institutional investors, such as hedge funds, asset managers, and corporations, has injected significant capital into the Bitcoin market.
  • Mainstream Adoption: Growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value and a medium of exchange has attracted a broader range of investors.
  • Positive Regulatory Developments: Favorable regulatory developments in key jurisdictions have reduced uncertainty and boosted investor confidence.
  • The Halving: Anticipation of the halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, typically creates supply scarcity, adding to the bullish sentiment.

The Overextended Nature of the Rally

While the factors driving the rally are undoubtedly positive, the rapid pace of the price increase raised concerns about its sustainability. The Bitcoin (BTC) price rose to as high as $9,065 on May 1, after peaking at $9,481 the previous day. The 35% increase in the price of BTC within nine daysA 40% surge in a relatively short period can lead to an overbought condition, making Bitcoin vulnerable to profit-taking and a subsequent correction.The TD9 sell signal merely confirms this thesis.

Potential Impact of the Bitcoin Halving

The Bitcoin halving, a quadrennial event that reduces the block reward for miners by 50%, can exert significant influence on market dynamics.Historically, the halving has been associated with bullish price movements due to the reduction in new Bitcoin supply. The confluence of Bitcoin rejecting at a key trendline dating back to March 12, a TD9 sell signal, the rally stopping right at the point of Bitcoin breakdown in February, and the tendency ofHowever, after the halving, a potential post-halving sell-off can occur as miners adjust to lower rewards and some investors take profits, exacerbating the impact of signals like the TD9.

Confluence of Bearish Signals: TD9 and Beyond

The TD9 sell signal is not the only bearish indicator currently appearing on Bitcoin's chart. p Bitcoin shows strong signs of a post-halving sell off as the TD9 flashed after a sharp 40% rally /p Bearish TD9 Sell Signal Hints at Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price Rally - Sharecast.comOther technical formations, such as a potential death cross and bearish divergences, further support the possibility of a correction. Bearish TD9 Sell Signal Hints at Correction After 40% Bitcoin Price Rally TD9, a sell sign that is a part of the TD9 Sequential system, is triggered when the price of an asset increases nine days in a row above its price four days prior to the nine-day run.When multiple bearish signals align, it strengthens the case for a potential price pullback.

The Death Cross Formation

A death cross is a technical chart pattern that occurs when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day moving average) crosses below a long-term moving average (typically the 200-day moving average).This pattern is widely regarded as a bearish signal, indicating that the market is entering a downtrend. TD Sequential Sell Signal Suggests Potential XRP Price Correction Analyst Ali Martinez has identified a sell signal on XRP price using the TD Sequential indicator. This technical tool, widely recognized for predicting trend reversals, has been reliable in the past when analyzing XRP price movements.While Bitcoin's chart may not always cleanly show the death cross on the daily, the confluence of multiple signals should be noted.

Bearish Divergences

A bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset makes higher highs, while a technical indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), makes lower highs.This divergence suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening and that a reversal may be imminent.

Combining Signals for Increased Accuracy

Relying on a single technical indicator can be risky. An analyst has explained how Bitcoin is forming both a death cross and TD sell signal, which may lead to potential dips in these targets. Bitcoin Looking In Trouble As 12-Hour Chart Forms Two Bearish Signals. In a new post on X, analyst Ali discussed two signals that have recently formed in Bitcoin s 12-hour chart. The first of these is aHowever, when multiple bearish signals appear simultaneously, it increases the probability of a correction.The TD9 sell signal, combined with a death cross and bearish divergences, paints a more compelling picture of potential downside risk.

Expert Analysis and Price Targets

Several crypto analysts have weighed in on the potential implications of the TD9 sell signal and other bearish indicators. Bitcoin Cash BCH $ 397.00 Toncoin TON $ 3.16 Shiba Inu SHIB $ 0.00 Hedera HBAR $ 0.17 Litecoin LTC $ 87.16 Polkadot DOT $ 3.90 Monero XMR $ 324.67 Ethena USDe USDe $ 1.00 Bitget Token BGB $ 4.60 Dai DAI $ 1.00 Pepe PEPE $ 0.00 Pi PI $ 0.62 Aave AAVE $ 251.76 Uniswap UNI $ 6.02 Bittensor TAO $ 367.82 OKB OKB $ 51.40 Aptos APT $ 4.62 Cronos CROTheir analysis provides valuable insights into potential price targets and strategies for navigating a potential correction.

Analyst Perspectives on the Current Situation

Some analysts have warned about the possibility of a 12% to 20% pullback in Bitcoin's price following the TD9 sell signal. The 35% increase in the price of BTC within nine days led a highly accurate sell signal called the TD9 to spark. TD9, a sell sign that is a part of the TD9 Sequential system, is triggered when the price of an asset increases nine days in a row above its price four days prior to the nine-day run.They point to historical data and the confluence of other bearish indicators as justification for their caution.

Conversely, some experts remain optimistic, arguing that the long-term fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong and that any correction will be a temporary buying opportunity. Discover why a prominent crypto analyst said Bitcoin chart is hinting a major 'sell signal' after an impressive rally.They suggest that increased institutional adoption and mainstream awareness will continue to drive demand for Bitcoin in the long run.

Potential Price Targets During a Correction

Determining potential price targets during a correction is crucial for setting stop-loss orders and identifying potential buying opportunities. Bitcoin price targets for 2025 range from $100,000 to $200,000, 2025 Bitcoin chart fractal hints at correction after $100K. suggesting a potential correction of over 40% in 2025.Several technical levels may act as support during a pullback.For example, the 200-day moving average, previous resistance levels, and Fibonacci retracement levels can all serve as potential targets.

A possible target could be near $60,000 if the bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart holds true.

Alternative Scenarios and Counter Arguments

It's important to consider alternative scenarios and counter-arguments.For example, a sudden surge in institutional investment or a positive regulatory announcement could invalidate the bearish signals and propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs.The market is ever-changing, and any strategy must allow for adaptation.In this case, a previous TD9 failure led to speculation of new all-time highs being reached.

Strategies for Managing Risk During a Potential Bitcoin Correction

Regardless of whether the bearish signals prove to be accurate, it's essential to have a risk management strategy in place.Cryptocurrencies are known for their volatility, and protecting your capital is always paramount.Here are some strategies for managing risk during a potential Bitcoin correction:

Setting Stop-Loss Orders

A stop-loss order is an instruction to your broker to automatically sell your Bitcoin holdings if the price falls to a specific level.This helps limit your potential losses during a correction.

Diversifying Your Portfolio

Diversification is a fundamental risk management technique.Instead of putting all your eggs in one basket (Bitcoin), consider allocating your capital to other cryptocurrencies, asset classes, or investment strategies.This can help cushion your portfolio against the impact of a Bitcoin correction.

Hedging Strategies

Hedging involves taking positions that offset the potential losses in your Bitcoin holdings.This can be achieved through various methods, such as buying put options or shorting Bitcoin futures.

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Dollar-cost averaging involves investing a fixed amount of money into Bitcoin at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This strategy helps smooth out the impact of price volatility and can potentially lower your average cost per Bitcoin over time.DCA can be particularly effective during a correction.

Trading the TD9 Sell Signal: Potential Opportunities

While the TD9 sell signal indicates a potential correction, it can also present trading opportunities for those who are prepared to take calculated risks.Here are some potential strategies for trading the TD9 sell signal:

Short Selling Bitcoin

Short selling involves borrowing Bitcoin and selling it on the open market, with the expectation of buying it back at a lower price in the future.If Bitcoin's price declines as predicted, the short seller profits from the difference between the selling price and the buying price.However, short selling is a risky strategy, as losses can be unlimited if the price rises instead of falling.

Buying the Dip

A more conservative approach is to wait for the correction to occur and then buy Bitcoin at a lower price.This strategy involves identifying potential support levels and waiting for the price to reach those levels before entering a long position.

Using Options to Profit from Volatility

Options contracts can be used to profit from increased volatility during a correction.For example, buying put options can provide downside protection while allowing you to profit if Bitcoin's price declines.Alternatively, selling covered calls can generate income while holding Bitcoin.

Future Outlook: Is This Correction a Blip or a Trend Reversal?

The long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains a subject of debate.Some analysts believe that the current correction is merely a temporary blip in an otherwise bullish trend.They point to factors such as institutional adoption, mainstream awareness, and the limited supply of Bitcoin as reasons for their optimism.

Long-Term Bullish Catalysts

Several long-term catalysts could continue to drive Bitcoin's price higher, including:

  • Continued Institutional Adoption: As more institutions allocate capital to Bitcoin, demand for the cryptocurrency will likely increase.
  • Increasing Mainstream Awareness: As Bitcoin becomes more widely recognized and accepted, more individuals will likely invest in it.
  • The Limited Supply of Bitcoin: The fixed supply of 21 million Bitcoins makes it a scarce asset, which could appreciate in value as demand increases.

Potential Risks and Challenges

Despite the bullish outlook, several risks and challenges could weigh on Bitcoin's price, including:

  • Regulatory Uncertainty: Unfavorable regulatory developments could dampen investor sentiment and lead to price declines.
  • Competition from Other Cryptocurrencies: New cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies could emerge, potentially challenging Bitcoin's dominance.
  • Security Risks: Security breaches and hacks could compromise the integrity of the Bitcoin network and lead to price declines.

Conclusion: Navigating the Potential Bitcoin Correction

The appearance of the Bearish TD9 Sell Signal, coupled with other bearish indicators, suggests that a correction in Bitcoin's price may be imminent following its impressive 40% rally.While the magnitude and duration of the correction are uncertain, it's essential for investors and traders to be prepared.By understanding the TD9 sell signal, analyzing historical data, considering expert opinions, and implementing risk management strategies, you can navigate this potential correction with greater confidence and potentially profit from the opportunities it presents.

Whether this correction is a short-term blip or a sign of a larger trend reversal remains to be seen.However, by staying informed, managing risk, and adapting to changing market conditions, you can position yourself for success in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency landscape.Remember, the cryptocurrency market is volatile, and losses can be incurred.Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

What are your thoughts on the TD9 sell signal?Are you preparing for a correction, or do you believe the rally will continue?Share your insights in the comments below!

Changpeng Zhao can be reached at [email protected].

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