3 KEY METRICS SHOW BULLS CONTROL BITCOIN PRICE DESPITE $12K RESISTANCE

Last updated: June 20, 2025, 00:41 | Written by: Fred Ehrsam

3 Key Metrics Show Bulls Control Bitcoin Price Despite $12K Resistance
3 Key Metrics Show Bulls Control Bitcoin Price Despite $12K Resistance

Bitcoin, the king of cryptocurrencies, often whipsaws traders with its notorious volatility. The StealthEX CEO added that a dovish shift in the policy could change this bias, and Bitcoin s price could break the $115,000 resistance. BTC Price Prediction: Short-Term Relief. From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows that Bitcoin s price is trying to break the supply wall at $107,743. On two previous occasions before reachingWhile recent price action has seen Bitcoin struggle to decisively break through the $12,000 resistance level, a closer look beneath the surface reveals a more compelling narrative.Despite a temporary setback where Bitcoin's price dipped as much as 10% in a week, scaring many day traders, key indicators suggest that the bulls are still firmly in control.This article delves into three critical metrics that support this bullish outlook, providing a comprehensive analysis for both seasoned investors and those new to the crypto space.

We'll unpack the significance of on-chain data, derivatives market sentiment, and long-term holder behavior to demonstrate why the current price consolidation is likely a temporary pause before another potential rally.Forget the short-term FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt); let's dive deep and uncover the underlying strength that positions Bitcoin for future growth. Bitcoin price still struggles to overcome the $12K hurdle but 3 key metrics show bulls are in control. Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped by as much as 10% this week and while this might be scary for day traders, the 3-day chart shows the downside move hardly made a dent on the current market structure. This MoreUnderstanding these metrics can empower you to make informed decisions and navigate the volatile world of cryptocurrency with greater confidence.

Deciphering the Bitcoin Price Struggle: Beyond the $12K Hurdle

For quite some time now, the $12,000 mark has been a significant psychological and technical barrier for Bitcoin.Repeated attempts to push through this level have met resistance, leading some to believe that the bullish momentum is waning.However, it's crucial to remember that price is only one piece of the puzzle.To truly understand the market's direction, we need to look at the underlying fundamentals and the behavior of various market participants.

The recent dip, although concerning to some, needs to be put into perspective. The analysis of Bitcoin's price trajectory over the next 30 days indicates a potential decline, with predictions placing the price around $89,806. This estimate comes amidst fluctuating market conditions, with significant support and resistance levels at play.As the 3-day chart reveals, this downward movement barely makes a dent in the overall market structure. Bitcoin price climbs above $87K amid renewed liquidity and gold s historic rally. But $91K remains a key hurdle, with bulls eyeing $150K and analysts warning of short-term volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $87,000 in the Asian session on Apr. 21, marking its highest price since early Apr.Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience, quickly bouncing back from these dips, which speaks volumes about the underlying demand and investor confidence.

Metric 1: The Strength of On-Chain Data

On-chain data provides a transparent and immutable record of all Bitcoin transactions.Analyzing this data can offer valuable insights into the network's health, user activity, and overall market sentiment. 3 key metrics show bulls control Bitcoin price despite $12K resistanceSeveral on-chain metrics currently paint a bullish picture, suggesting that the recent price consolidation is a sign of strength, not weakness.

UTXO Age Distribution: Long-Term Holders Remain Steadfast

One of the most compelling on-chain indicators is the distribution of Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) by age.A UTXO represents the amount of Bitcoin remaining after a transaction.The fact that a significant percentage of UTXOs – specifically, over 63% – haven't been touched in over a year is remarkable.This is unprecedented and signals strong conviction among long-term holders.

These holders weathered the storm of the ""Black Thursday"" crash in March, which saw Bitcoin's price plummet by over 50%. 3 key metrics show bulls control Bitcoin price despite $12K resistance Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped by as much as 10% this week and while this might be scary for day traders, the 3-day chart shows 3 key metrics show bulls controlThe fact that they didn't flinch and sell their holdings during such a dramatic downturn demonstrates their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's long-term potential.This behavior acts as a strong buffer against significant price drops, as these seasoned investors are less likely to panic-sell during periods of volatility.

Active Addresses and Transaction Volume

While the number of active addresses and transaction volume can fluctuate, sustained levels above certain thresholds often indicate healthy network activity. Bitcoin price still struggles to overcome the $12K hurdle but 3 key metrics show bulls are in control. Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped by as much as 10% this week and while this might be scary forIncreases in these metrics suggest growing adoption and utilization of the Bitcoin network, further supporting a bullish outlook. The RSI s decline from 82 to 52 between December 3 and December 5 suggests a potential for a deeper pullback, but as long as XRP s price holds above key support levels at $2.05 and $1.68, theMonitoring these trends in conjunction with price action can provide a more comprehensive understanding of market sentiment.

Metric 2: Decoding Derivatives Market Sentiment

The derivatives market, particularly Bitcoin options, provides a valuable window into the expectations and hedging strategies of larger traders and arbitrage platforms.By analyzing the put/call ratio, implied volatility, and other metrics, we can gauge the overall sentiment and risk appetite of these sophisticated market participants.

Options Market: A Lack of Fear Signals Confidence

Interestingly, the options market showed little sign of panic during the recent price dip.This suggests that large traders and arbitrage platforms, who are typically highly sensitive to market fluctuations, remained relatively calm.This absence of fear is a strong indicator that these sophisticated investors don't anticipate a significant or prolonged downturn.

A high put/call ratio, for example, would indicate a strong demand for put options (contracts that allow investors to sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price), signaling bearish sentiment. Gr fico Bitcoin de 3 dias, USD. Fonte: TradingView. O gr fico acima ilustra como os ltimos dez dias de desempenho negativo s o insignificantes de uma perspectiva mais ampla. O Bitcoin (BTC) acumulou um ganho de 48% no acumulado do ano e n o d mostras de enfraquecimento. A maior queda di ria nos ltimos cinco meses foi de -6,4% em 2 deConversely, a low put/call ratio suggests bullishness, as investors are more likely to purchase call options (contracts that allow investors to buy Bitcoin at a predetermined price).

Funding Rates and Open Interest

Monitoring funding rates on perpetual swap contracts and open interest in futures contracts can also provide insights into market sentiment. This post was originally published on this site Bitcoin price still struggles to overcome the $12K hurdle but 3 key metrics show bulls are in control.Extremely positive funding rates often indicate an overheated market ripe for a correction, while declining open interest alongside rising prices can suggest weakening momentum.Conversely, negative or neutral funding rates and increasing open interest can signal a more sustainable bullish trend.

Metric 3: The Significance of Market Structure on the 3-Day Chart

Short-term price movements can be misleading.To get a clearer picture of the overall trend, it's essential to zoom out and analyze Bitcoin's price action on a higher timeframe chart, such as the 3-day chart.This perspective helps to filter out the noise and identify the dominant trend.

Contextualizing Recent Price Drops

As previously mentioned, the recent 10% price drop, while alarming to some, appears insignificant when viewed on the 3-day chart. Bitcoin price still struggles to overcome the $12K hurdle but 3 key metrics show bulls are in control. Read More: 3 key metrics show bulls control Bitcoin price despite K resistance Like 0 Thanks!Bitcoin has racked up a substantial 48% gain year-to-date, demonstrating its robust performance and underlying strength. Bitcoin (BTC) is well within a bull market, but certain metrics suggest that the cryptocurrency may have reached a short-term top. This means that BTC may experience a significant price correction before another rally ensues.This broader perspective highlights the resilience of the bullish trend and suggests that the recent dip is likely a temporary consolidation before another leg up.

Furthermore, analyzing historical price data reveals that Bitcoin has experienced similar pullbacks in the past, followed by even stronger rallies.The largest daily drop in the previous five months, for example, was -6.4% on August 2nd. 3 key metrics show bulls control Bitcoin price despite $12K resistanceSource: CointelegraphPublished onThese historical patterns suggest that volatility is inherent in Bitcoin's price action and that short-term dips shouldn't necessarily be interpreted as a sign of a trend reversal.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Identifying key support and resistance levels on the 3-day chart is crucial for understanding potential price targets and areas where the market might encounter significant buying or selling pressure.A successful breakout above the $12,000 resistance level would likely pave the way for further gains, while a break below key support levels could signal a potential trend reversal.

Navigating Bitcoin Volatility: Practical Tips for Investors

Bitcoin's volatility can be both a blessing and a curse.While it presents opportunities for significant gains, it also carries the risk of substantial losses.Here are some practical tips for navigating Bitcoin's volatility:

  • Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $110,750 resistance. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Gains. Bitcoin price found support near the $106,650 zone and recently started an upside correction. BTC traded above the $107,500 and $108,000 resistance levels.Diversify your investments across different asset classes to mitigate risk.
  • Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Invest a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This strategy helps to smooth out the impact of volatility over time.
  • Set Stop-Loss Orders: Use stop-loss orders to automatically sell your Bitcoin if the price falls below a certain level.This can help to limit your potential losses.
  • Do Your Research (DYOR): Stay informed about the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market.Understand the fundamentals of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies before investing.
  • Hold for the Long Term (HODL): Bitcoin's long-term performance has been impressive. Bitcoin continues to show signs of price consolidation, with its value hovering just below the $87,000 mark. As of today, BTC is trading at approximately $86,990, reflecting a 0.8% decline over the past 24 hours.Despite the slight dip, the broader picture shows that Bitcoin has stabilized above $85If you believe in its long-term potential, consider holding your Bitcoin for the long term, even during periods of volatility.

The Future of Bitcoin Price: What's Next?

Predicting the future price of Bitcoin with certainty is impossible.However, based on the analysis of these three key metrics, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic.While short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying strength of on-chain data, the lack of fear in the derivatives market, and the overall market structure on the 3-day chart suggest that the bulls are still in control. XRP has experienced significant volatility in recent days after a dramatic rally in November with its price retreating from recent highs. However, while the XRP price correction is concerning, on-chain metrics suggest that bulls are still in control. What s behind the XRP pullback? XRP s price has experienced a sharp 25% drop since reaching a multi-year [ ]The $12,000 resistance remains a significant hurdle, but a successful breakout could trigger another significant rally.

Some analysts have even suggested more ambitious targets, envisioning Bitcoin potentially breaking $115,000 in the future. This website is for Private Investors only. I am a private investor I am not a private investor I am not a private investorHowever, such predictions should be taken with a grain of salt, as the cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable.External factors, such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic events, and technological advancements, can also significantly impact Bitcoin's price.

Conclusion: Key Takeaways and the Bullish Bitcoin Narrative

Despite facing resistance at the $12,000 level and experiencing temporary price dips, Bitcoin's overall bullish narrative remains intact. Key Takeaways: BTC dipped 3.2%, falling below $103K despite bullish macro headlines. De-risking ahead of the May 13 CPI report likely contributed to the correction. Profit-taking, weak momentum buyers, and sell-wall resistance capped BTC near $106K. On-chain metrics remain strong, suggesting a bullish consolidationBy analyzing on-chain data, derivatives market sentiment, and the 3-day chart, we can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market's underlying dynamics. Bitcoin price still struggles to overcome the $12K hurdle but 3 key metrics show bulls are in control. READ MORE Cointelegraph By MarThe steadfast behavior of long-term holders, the absence of fear in the options market, and the robust market structure all point to continued strength in the Bitcoin market.

Remember that volatility is a natural part of the cryptocurrency market.Don't let short-term price fluctuations cloud your judgment.Focus on the long-term fundamentals and the underlying strength of the Bitcoin network.By understanding these key metrics and adopting a disciplined investment strategy, you can navigate the volatile world of cryptocurrency with greater confidence and potentially reap the rewards of Bitcoin's continued growth.Now is the time to research and understand the underlying strength of the Bitcoin network to make informed investment decisions. Bitcoin price dropped by as much as 10% this week and while this might be scary for day traders, the 3-day chart shows the downside move hardly made a dent on the current market sConsider adding Bitcoin to your portfolio.

Fred Ehrsam can be reached at [email protected].

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