In its base case scenario

for the UK to avert a recession. The UK economy has already contracted in Q3 2025, and while it avoided a technical recession in Q4 2025, the outlook remains weak with December GDP

The UK is Expected to Slide into a More ‘Significant’

In its base case scenario, Goldman expects the incoming recession to be relatively mild given fiscal support, excess savings and strong labour market momentum.

The UK economy will slip

UK economy to enter recession in fourth quarter of this year

UK economy could slip into recession in Q4, says

The UK economy will slip into recession at the end of this year amid surging inflation, according to Goldman Sachs. The bank said in a research note that it now expects

Goldman expects households

Goldman expects households’ saving rate to fall well below its “equilibrium rate” to a record low 3.5 per cent in the second quarter of 2025. It forecasts real disposable

UK economy to enter recession in Q4, says Goldman Sachs

Goldman now sees UK economy entering recession in

UK economy to enter recession in fourth quarter:

Investment Strategy Group: Snapshot Eurozone & UK