100 DAYS TO THE HALVING — 5 THINGS TO KNOW IN BITCOIN THIS WEEK

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 20:06 | Written by: Dan Larimer

Bitcoin is at a fascinating crossroads.As we stand a mere 100 days away from the next highly anticipated halving event, the cryptocurrency landscape is buzzing with activity. Biggest CME gap ever at $85K: 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week February in charts: SEC drops 6 cases, memecoin craze cools and more SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and moreWhile the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF has dominated headlines, it's crucial to understand that this is just one piece of a much larger, more intricate puzzle. Bitcoin (BTC) starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come. The United States is due to decide on and should reportedly allow its first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). Due by Jan. 10, the [ ]The market is influenced by a confluence of factors, ranging from macroeconomic data releases to on-chain indicators and the ever-present ebb and flow of market sentiment.Understanding these influences is key to navigating the coming weeks.Forget the singular focus on the ETF; let's dive deep into the five critical aspects of Bitcoin that demand your attention this week as we countdown to the halving. Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come.The United States is due to decide on and should reportedly allow its first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).Due by Jan. 10, the event comesWhether you're a seasoned trader or new to the world of crypto, this comprehensive guide will equip you with the knowledge to make informed decisions in this dynamic environment. Bitcoin bulls build momentum after a week of uncertainty can a after halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week just below the extreme geed zone at 73/100. Just days agoAre you ready to cut through the noise and uncover the real drivers of Bitcoin's price action? Bitcoin (BTC) starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come. The United States is due to decide on and should reportedLet's begin!

1. Airbnb Swings to Bigger-Than-Expected Profit, Sending Stock Soaring. FebruThe Looming Bitcoin Halving: Scarcity and Potential Price Surge

The Bitcoin halving, estimated to occur around May 12th, is a programmed event that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half.This mechanism is built into Bitcoin's code to control the supply of new coins and create scarcity over time.Currently, miners receive 6.25 BTC per block, but after the halving, this will be reduced to 3.125 BTC. Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action this week. Bitcoin ( BTC ) starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come.The primary impact?A significant reduction in the rate at which new Bitcoins enter circulation.

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have been followed by substantial price increases.The reasoning is simple: reduced supply coupled with consistent or increasing demand leads to higher prices.Consider this: each halving effectively doubles the cost of producing new Bitcoin, making it more expensive for miners to operate.

What to Expect in the Lead Up to the Halving?

Increased Volatility: Expect potential price swings as the market anticipates the supply shock.
Miner Behavior: Pay attention to how miners adjust their strategies.Some may exit the network if profitability declines, potentially impacting network hashrate.
Market Sentiment: Monitor overall sentiment for ""halving hype,"" which can drive speculative buying.

While past performance is never a guarantee of future results, the historical data surrounding Bitcoin halvings suggests that this event should be on every investor's radar.This is not just a technical event; it's a fundamental shift in the economics of Bitcoin.

2. 15 subscribers in the VirtualCoinCap community. Real-time Cryptocurrency Market Prices, Charts, Blockchain Cryptocurrency News, PortfolioThe ETF Decision: A Potential Game-Changer

The potential approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States is arguably the most discussed topic in the crypto space right now. Bitcoin ( BTC ) starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come. The UnitedThe Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been deliberating on various ETF applications for years, and a decision is anticipated soon.An approved ETF would allow institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency. BTCUSD Bitcoin 100 days to the halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action this week.This could unlock a massive influx of capital into the market.

The anticipated decision is expected to come down by January 10th, the date by which at least one application must be acted upon.However, the SEC could still delay or reject the applications, leading to potential market volatility.The expectation is generally that some form of ETF will be approved, at some point.If this comes to pass the effect will be a major boost for Bitcoin adoption as institutional investors are allowed easier access.

Potential Impacts of ETF Approval:

Increased Liquidity: An ETF would provide a readily accessible and regulated way for investors to buy and sell Bitcoin, increasing market liquidity.
Institutional Investment: Large institutions that are currently hesitant to invest directly in Bitcoin due to regulatory concerns may be more willing to invest through an ETF.
Price Appreciation: Increased demand from institutional investors could drive up the price of Bitcoin.

Potential Impacts of ETF Rejection:

Price Correction: Rejection of an ETF could lead to a significant price correction, as market expectations are dashed.
Negative Sentiment: Rejection could damage market sentiment and slow down the adoption of Bitcoin.

The ETF decision is a pivotal moment for Bitcoin. Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD starts the second week of 2025 at a key moment in its history one which may shape BTC price action for a long time to come.The United States is due to decide on and should reportedly allow its first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).With a decision due by Jan. 10Regardless of the outcome, expect significant market volatility in the days and weeks surrounding the announcement.

3.Macroeconomic Data: The Fed and Inflation's Impact on Bitcoin

While internal factors like the halving and ETF decisions are significant, macroeconomic data plays a crucial role in influencing Bitcoin's price. 100 days to the halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this weekBitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC pThe United States Federal Reserve (the Fed) and its monetary policy decisions have a direct impact on risk assets, including Bitcoin.Key economic indicators to watch include:

Inflation Rate (CPI): Higher-than-expected inflation can lead the Fed to raise interest rates, making risk assets like Bitcoin less attractive.
Unemployment Rate: A strong job market can give the Fed more leeway to tighten monetary policy.
GDP Growth: Economic growth can boost investor confidence, leading to increased demand for risk assets.

Bitcoin is often seen as an inflation hedge, meaning that it's expected to maintain its value during periods of high inflation.However, in the short term, rising interest rates can negatively impact Bitcoin's price as investors move towards safer, interest-bearing assets.

How to Trade Around Macroeconomic Data Releases:

Stay Informed: Keep track of the economic calendar and be aware of upcoming data releases.
Analyze the Data: Understand how different economic indicators impact Bitcoin's price.
Manage Risk: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses during periods of high volatility.

Understanding the interplay between macroeconomic forces and Bitcoin's price is essential for making informed trading decisions.

4. Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action this week. FTSE 100. 7,694.19 (0.06%) Dow Jones. 37,683.01On-Chain Indicators: Glimpses into Bitcoin's Inner Workings

On-chain indicators provide valuable insights into the health and activity of the Bitcoin network. 100 days to the halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action this week.These indicators analyze data directly from the Bitcoin blockchain to reveal trends and patterns that can help predict future price movements. Bitcoin traders have plenty to contend with and not just the ETF. U.S. macro data is due, offering an update on the fight against inflation and potential volatility for risk assets. However, with on-chain indicators pointing higher, confidence in upside continuation for BTCUSD is building in step.Some key on-chain indicators to monitor include:

Active Addresses: The number of unique addresses sending or receiving Bitcoin.An increasing number of active addresses suggests growing network usage and adoption.
Transaction Volume: The total amount of Bitcoin transferred on the network.A rising transaction volume can indicate increased buying or selling pressure.
Miner Reserves: The amount of Bitcoin held by miners.Miners selling off their reserves can put downward pressure on the price.
Exchange Flows: The amount of Bitcoin flowing into or out of cryptocurrency exchanges. Bitcoin has a new countdown after the halving as the days of a sub-$100,000 BTC price are numbered, a new analysis suggests. Bitcoin (BTC) begins the first week of its new halving epoch inInflows to exchanges often indicate selling pressure, while outflows suggest accumulation.
Hodl Waves: Shows the distribution of Bitcoin held by different age groups. BTCUSD Bitcoin 100 days to the halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week. Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action thisAn increase in older coins being moved can signify a change in long-term holder behavior.

Analyzing these indicators can provide a more comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's market dynamics, helping traders identify potential buying or selling opportunities.

Example: Using Exchange Flows

Let's say you observe a significant outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges. 100 days to the halving 5 things to know in Bitcoin this weekThis suggests that investors are moving their Bitcoin off exchanges, presumably to hold it for the long term. Bitcoin is gearing up for the February monthly close with BTC price action at a crossroads can the highs hold?Still above $50,000, the largest cryptocurrency has lost bullish momentum over theThis could be a bullish signal, indicating that investors are confident in Bitcoin's future price appreciation.

5.Market Sentiment: The Emotional Rollercoaster of Crypto

Market sentiment, the overall attitude of investors towards Bitcoin, can have a significant impact on its price.Positive sentiment can drive prices higher, while negative sentiment can lead to sell-offs. Among them was commentator Matthew Hyland, who noted that Bitcoin s 10-week simple moving average (SMA) remained intact through the recent dip. BTC/USD 1-day chart with 10-week SMA. SourceMeasuring market sentiment can be tricky, but here are some tools and techniques to consider:

Fear and Greed Index: A popular index that measures market sentiment on a scale of 0 to 100, with 0 representing extreme fear and 100 representing extreme greed. While curiously around 'when is bitcoin halving' engulfs the curious investors, Bitcoin miners are on course to enjoy its final month of 6.25 BTC block subsidies before April s halving.High greed levels can indicate a market top, while high fear levels can indicate a market bottom.The index currently shows that Bitcoin is just below the extreme greed zone at 73/100.
Social Media Analysis: Monitoring social media platforms like Twitter and Reddit for mentions of Bitcoin and analyzing the overall sentiment expressed in these posts.
News Headlines: Paying attention to the tone and coverage of Bitcoin in mainstream news outlets.
Technical Analysis: Observing price charts and identifying patterns that suggest bullish or bearish momentum.

It's crucial to remember that market sentiment can be highly volatile and can change quickly.Therefore, it's essential to use a combination of sentiment indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions.

Example: Using the Fear and Greed Index

If the Fear and Greed Index is consistently above 75, indicating extreme greed, it might be a good time to take profits or reduce your exposure to Bitcoin.Conversely, if the index is consistently below 25, indicating extreme fear, it might be a good time to start accumulating Bitcoin.

Navigating Bitcoin's Complex Landscape: Key Takeaways

As we approach the Bitcoin halving in 100 days, it's vital to recognize the multifaceted nature of the market.The potential ETF approval, while significant, is just one piece of the puzzle.Factors such as macroeconomic data, on-chain indicators, and market sentiment all play crucial roles in shaping Bitcoin's price action.Don't get caught up in the hype surrounding any single event.Instead, focus on understanding the underlying fundamentals and market dynamics.

Here's a recap of the key takeaways:

The Halving: A programmed event that reduces the supply of new Bitcoin, potentially leading to price increases.
The ETF Decision: A potential game-changer that could unlock significant institutional investment.
Macroeconomic Data: The Fed's monetary policy decisions and economic indicators like inflation can impact Bitcoin's price.
On-Chain Indicators: Valuable insights into the health and activity of the Bitcoin network.
Market Sentiment: The overall attitude of investors towards Bitcoin, which can drive price movements.

By staying informed, analyzing the data, and managing your risk, you can navigate the complex world of Bitcoin and make informed investment decisions.Remember, knowledge is power in the crypto market, and a well-rounded understanding is the key to long-term success. Bitcoin is dominated by the ETF narrative, but that is far from the only thing impacting BTC price action this week. source:Happy trading!