37% EXPECT BITCOINS HASHRATE TO BE HIGHER AFTER HALVING: POLL

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 20:28 | Written by: Elizabeth Stark

37% Expect Bitcoins Hashrate To Be Higher After Halving: Poll
37% Expect Bitcoins Hashrate To Be Higher After Halving: Poll

The anticipation surrounding Bitcoin's halving events is always palpable within the cryptocurrency community.Scheduled approximately every four years, these events reduce the block reward given to miners by 50%, impacting the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market. The halving, which happens roughly every four years, the latest of which is expected this week, is a change in bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology designed to reduce the rate at which newWith the next halving expected in April 2025, the community is buzzing with predictions and analyses. The recent surge in Bitcoin's value by approximately 37% to $37,000 over the past month has incentivized miners to accelerate the production and sale of new coins.Adding fuel to the fire, a recent poll conducted by cryptocurrency portfolio tracking application, Blockfolio, revealed that roughly 37% of respondents expect Bitcoin's hashrate to be higher one month after the block reward halving than it currently is. About 37% of the cryptocurrency community expects Bitcoin s hashrate to be higher one month after the block reward halving than it currently is, according to a recent poll. Cryptocurrency portfolio tracking application, Blockfolio, polled its users on April 27.This sentiment raises important questions about the future of Bitcoin mining, network security, and the overall price trajectory of the world's leading cryptocurrency. However, when zooming out to post-halving, we see higher returns compared to pre-halving. Before Bitcoin had reached a market cap of over $150 million, the first halving took place. Roughly a year later, bitcoin s price had rallied approximately 9,100% and its market cap peaked at just over $13.7 billion.But what exactly drives this optimism, and what are the potential factors that could influence Bitcoin's hashrate in the wake of the halving? The 2025 Bitcoin halving has cut miner rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, reducing the influx of new Bitcoin. While this scarcity aims to boost prices, miners face profit challenges, leading to potential market shifts. Understanding how this halving impacts supply, miner behavior, and price trendsLet's delve into the intricacies of Bitcoin halving, hashrate dynamics, and the expectations surrounding the upcoming event.

Understanding Bitcoin Halving and Its Impact

The Bitcoin halving is a pre-programmed event designed to control the supply of Bitcoin and maintain its scarcity. Accordingly, it is anticipated that the miners culls will be between 3-7%, following the halving event, due to the drop in rewards for miners that may have made mining obsolete economically.It happens every 210,000 blocks mined, which occurs approximately every four years.During a halving, the reward miners receive for validating transactions and adding new blocks to the blockchain is cut in half.

The Mechanics of Halving

Initially, miners received 50 BTC per block.After the first halving in November 2025, the reward decreased to 25 BTC. Bitcoin halving is an event during which the mining reward is reduced by 50%. It happens every 210,000 blocks mined, or about every four years. The next Bitcoin halving event will take place in April of 2025. In this guide, we ll tell you how to prepare.The second halving in July 2025 further reduced it to 12.5 BTC, and the most recent halving in 2025 lowered it to 6.25 BTC.The upcoming halving in 2025 will reduce the reward to 3.125 BTC per block.This decrease in reward directly impacts miners' revenue and can influence their behavior and the overall network hashrate.

Historical Price Performance After Halving

Historically, Bitcoin's price has tended to increase after halving events.After the first halving in 2025, Bitcoin's price rose from around $12 to over $120 five months later. If you plan on trading around bitcoin halving using the bitcoin dominance indicator, look for surges or drops six to 12 months before and after halving. If Bitcoin dominance surges, it might indicate accumulation, which could lead to a price rise. These are only a handful of indicators.Similarly, after the second halving in 2025, the price doubled to approximately $1,280 within eight months.This historical data fuels much of the bullish sentiment surrounding halvings, with many anticipating a new all-time high in 2025 following the event.

  • Halving 1 (2025): Price rose from ~$12 to ~$120.
  • Halving 2 (2025): Price doubled to ~$1,280.
  • Halving 3 (2025): (Further analysis needed to determine exact price movement).

Bitcoin Hashrate: A Key Indicator of Network Strength

Hashrate is a crucial metric for understanding the security and resilience of the Bitcoin network. We would like to show you a description here but the site won t allow us.It represents the total computational power being used to mine Bitcoin and secure the blockchain. Cerca de 37% da comunidade de criptomoedas espera que a taxa de bits do Bitcoin seja maior um m s ap s o halving, de acordo com uma pesquisa recente.O aplicativo de rastreamento de portf lio de criptomoedas Blockfolio entrevistou seus usu rios em 27 de abril.A higher hashrate indicates a more secure network, as it becomes increasingly difficult for malicious actors to attack or manipulate the blockchain.

Factors Influencing Hashrate

Several factors can influence Bitcoin's hashrate:

  • Mining Profitability: Higher Bitcoin prices and lower electricity costs make mining more profitable, attracting more miners and increasing the hashrate.
  • Hardware Efficiency: Advancements in mining hardware (ASICs) lead to greater hashing power per unit of energy, encouraging miners to upgrade their equipment.
  • Difficulty Adjustment: Bitcoin's difficulty adjustment mechanism ensures that the block creation rate remains relatively constant. A Bitcoin halving event occurs about every four years when the reward for mining is cut in half. Halvings reduce the rate at which new coins are created and thus lower the available amount of newWhen hashrate increases, the difficulty also increases, making it harder to mine new blocks.
  • Geopolitical Factors: Regulations and energy policies in different countries can impact mining operations and, consequently, the global hashrate.

The Post-Halving Hashrate Dip

Historically, Bitcoin's hashrate has often experienced a temporary dip following a halving event. 37% Expect Bitcoin's Hashrate to be Higher After Halving: PollThis is primarily due to the reduced block reward, which can make mining unprofitable for less efficient miners.These miners may be forced to shut down their operations, leading to a decrease in the overall hashrate.

Following Bitcoin's third halving, mining revenue was halved, and the network's strength, as measured by hashrate, decreased. Bitcoin halving history. Halving occurs approximately every four years, with the first happening on Nov. 28, 2025. There have been two other BTC halvings: the second that took place on J, and the third that occurred on . Before the first halving, Bitcoin block rewards stood at a princely 50 BTC.Based on the three-day simple moving average, Bitcoin's hashrate registered at about 550 EH/s at a certain time, highlighting this potential post-halving decline.

Why 37% Expect a Higher Hashrate After the Halving

Despite the historical trend of a post-halving hashrate dip, the poll indicating that 37% of the crypto community expects a *higher* hashrate one month after the 2025 halving suggests a degree of optimism and belief in the network's long-term resilience.Several factors might contribute to this expectation:

Improved Mining Technology

Advancements in mining hardware are constantly pushing the boundaries of efficiency. Which leads us to the next major metric that the Halving has impacted: Hashrate. Over Q , Bitcoin s 7-day average hashrate increased 19% to 611 EH/s, and it would increase another 6% in April to an all-time high of 650 EH/s. With the dust settled after the Halving, Bitcoin s hashrate has fallen 10% from its all-time high to 580 EH/s.The development of more powerful and energy-efficient ASICs could allow miners to maintain profitability even with a reduced block reward. Bitcoin price predictions point to a new all-time high in 2025, following the 2025 Bitcoin Halving. Benefits of the Bitcoin Halving. Bitcoin s Halving brings several advantages, including increasing scarcity and a positive effect on price. Following the first halving in 2025, Bitcoin s price rose from $12 to more than $11,000. While much ofThis new hardware could allow even smaller, ""domestic"" miners to participate in Bitcoin mining again, boosting the distributed nature and overall resilience of the network.

Increased Bitcoin Price

The expectation of a price increase following the halving is a major driver of optimism. It's worth noting that Bitcoin s price has historically sat consistently higher after each halving. Before the 2025 halving, for instance, Bitcoin s value generally hovered at around $600. Whereas after the halving, its value rose to about $18,000 and then hovered between $3,500 and $12,000 until the subsequent halving in 2025.If the price of Bitcoin rises significantly after the halving, it would offset the reduced block reward and make mining more profitable, incentivizing miners to increase their hashing power.

History shows that Bitcoin's price has historically sat consistently higher after each halving.Before the 2025 halving, for instance, Bitcoin's value generally hovered at around $600.Whereas after the halving, its value rose to about $18,000 and then hovered between $3,500 and $12,000 until the subsequent halving in 2025.

Strategic Miner Adjustments

Miners may be strategically planning for the halving by upgrading their equipment, optimizing their energy consumption, and securing more favorable electricity rates.These preparations could enable them to remain competitive and maintain their hashing power even with a lower block reward.

Long-Term Investment Perspective

Many miners view Bitcoin mining as a long-term investment, not just a short-term profit-making venture. Just before the upcoming block reward halving, with only 72 blocks left until reaching block height 840,000.They may be willing to endure a temporary dip in profitability after the halving, anticipating that the long-term appreciation of Bitcoin will eventually make their operations highly profitable.

Preparing for the 2025 Bitcoin Halving

The 2025 Bitcoin halving presents both challenges and opportunities for miners, investors, and the broader crypto community.Preparing for this event is crucial for navigating the potential market shifts and maximizing long-term benefits.

For Miners:

  • Upgrade Hardware: Invest in the latest generation of ASICs to improve efficiency and reduce energy consumption.
  • Optimize Energy Consumption: Explore opportunities to secure cheaper electricity rates, such as renewable energy sources or locations with lower energy costs.
  • Diversify Revenue Streams: Consider participating in mining pools or offering other services to supplement mining rewards.
  • Monitor Market Trends: Stay informed about Bitcoin price movements, hashrate fluctuations, and regulatory changes to make informed decisions.

For Investors:

  • Conduct Thorough Research: Understand the historical impact of halvings on Bitcoin's price and market dynamics.
  • Manage Risk: Diversify your portfolio and avoid putting all your eggs in one basket.
  • Consider Long-Term Investment: Bitcoin is a volatile asset, so be prepared for potential price fluctuations.Consider a long-term investment strategy.
  • Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with news and analysis from reputable sources.

The Role of Bitcoin Dominance

The Bitcoin dominance indicator can offer insights into market sentiment around the halving.Look for surges or drops six to 12 months before and after the halving.If Bitcoin dominance surges, it might indicate accumulation, which could lead to a price rise.However, remember these are just indicators, and other factors also play a crucial role.

Potential Scenarios Post-Halving

Several potential scenarios could unfold following the 2025 Bitcoin halving, each with its own implications for the market and the network:

Scenario 1: Hashrate Increases, Price Rises

In this scenario, the optimistic expectations of 37% of the crypto community come to fruition. After bitcoin s first halving in November 2025, bitcoin s price rose from $12.35 to $127 five months later. After the second halving in 2025, bitcoin s price doubled to $1,280 within eightImproved mining technology, increased Bitcoin price, and strategic miner adjustments lead to a higher hashrate, further securing the network. Halving Effect on The Price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin halving is always highly anticipated within the crypto industry. Many are bullish on the price as the issuance of new coins is reduced, they expectThe reduced supply of new Bitcoin contributes to a price rally, benefiting both miners and investors.

Scenario 2: Hashrate Decreases, Price Remains Stable

In this scenario, the hashrate initially dips due to less efficient miners shutting down, but the price remains relatively stable. The fourth bitcoin halving occurred on Friday at a little after 8:09 p.m. Eastern, dropping the issuance rate of new bitcoin to 3.125 roughly every ten minutes.The network adjusts, and the remaining miners become more profitable. 37% Expect Bitcoin s Hashrate to be Higher After Halving: Poll bitcoin btc ethThis scenario could lead to a more centralized mining landscape but doesn't necessarily impact the overall security of the network if the hashrate remains above a critical threshold.

Scenario 3: Hashrate Decreases, Price Falls

In this scenario, the hashrate decreases significantly, and the price of Bitcoin also falls.This could trigger a negative feedback loop, where lower prices further reduce mining profitability, leading to even more miners shutting down.This scenario is less likely but possible if unforeseen circumstances negatively impact the market.

Scenario 4: Volatility and Uncertainty

Regardless of the long-term outcome, the period immediately following the halving is likely to be characterized by increased volatility and uncertainty. The second halving (July 2025): With bitcoin firmly established in the public consciousness, the second halving reduced the block reward to 12.5 bitcoins. This period saw the rise ofMarket participants will be closely monitoring the hashrate, price movements, and other key indicators to gauge the impact of the halving.This period could present both opportunities and risks for traders and investors.

The Impact on Mining Profitability After 2025

The question of what will happen with mining profitability after the 2025 Bitcoin halving is a critical one for the industry. Dice que el nuevo hardware permitir a los mineros dom sticos participar en la miner a de Bitcoin de nuevo. Bitcoin Cash (BCH) realiz su propio halving a principios de este mes. Poco despu s del halving, la red registr una ca da del 60% en la tasa de hash, pasando de 4.36 EH/s a 1.6 EH/s enThe halving directly cuts miner rewards, reducing the influx of new Bitcoin. Did you know that Bitcoin transactions on the blockchain reached around 500,000 per day across 2025? The demand for Bitcoin is growing. One of the ways this surging demand is being managed is through Bitcoin's unique and algorithmically programmed halving events.While this scarcity aims to boost prices, miners face profit challenges, leading to potential market shifts.

While the reward decreases, the transaction fees miners earn from validating transactions play an increasingly important role. Based on the three-day simple moving average, Bitcoin's hashrate has continued its downward trend, registering at about 550 EH/s.As Bitcoin adoption grows, and the network experiences more transactions, the revenue from transaction fees can help offset the reduced block reward.

Conclusion: Navigating the Halving and Beyond

The upcoming 2025 Bitcoin halving is a significant event with the potential to reshape the cryptocurrency landscape. The high R-squared values in Sections 3.4 Miners revenue before and after halving, 3.7 Unspent transaction output before and after halving may raise concerns about potential overfitting in the OLS analyses. To address this concern and ensure the robustness of the results, we repeat the analysis using LASSO regression instead of OLSWhile 37% of the community expects a higher hashrate post-halving, the actual outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including mining technology, Bitcoin price, and market dynamics.Preparing for the halving is crucial for miners, investors, and anyone interested in the long-term future of Bitcoin. The bitcoin mining industry is extremely competitive, with miners sometimes operating on razor thin margins. Scheduled to occur next month, around April 15, this halving will see the currentBy understanding the mechanics of halving, the importance of hashrate, and the potential scenarios that could unfold, individuals can make informed decisions and navigate the evolving cryptocurrency market with confidence.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin halving reduces the block reward every four years, impacting supply.
  • Hashrate reflects network security and is influenced by mining profitability.
  • Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to rise after halving events.
  • Preparing for the halving involves upgrading hardware, optimizing energy, and diversifying investments.
  • The period following the halving is likely to be volatile and uncertain.

Ultimately, the success of Bitcoin after the 2025 halving will depend on its continued adoption, technological advancements, and the resilience of its decentralized network.By staying informed and adapting to the changing market conditions, the crypto community can navigate the halving and contribute to the long-term growth and stability of Bitcoin.

Elizabeth Stark can be reached at [email protected].

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