ANALYSTS SAY BITCOIN BOTTOM IS IN AS BTC BOUNCES BACK TO $38,000

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 19:50 | Written by: Brad Garlinghouse

Analysts Say Bitcoin Bottom Is In As Btc Bounces Back To $38,000
Analysts Say Bitcoin Bottom Is In As Btc Bounces Back To $38,000

Is the Bitcoin rollercoaster finally slowing down?After a turbulent few weeks that saw BTC dip below $40,000, and even briefly touch $38,000, the leading cryptocurrency has staged a recovery, sparking debate among analysts whether the elusive bottom has been reached.This resurgence to the $38,000 mark has reignited the bullish sentiment in some corners of the market, with several experts suggesting that the worst might be over. Bitcoin's price rebounded over 9% from last week's lows, suggesting a potential local bottom at $38,000, according to CryptoQuant. Short-term Bitcoin holders sold their assets at a loss when Bitcoin briefly touched $38,000, a typical indicator of price bottoms.The recent volatility, partly fueled by post-ETF approval corrections, has shaken out some short-term holders, potentially paving the way for a more sustainable upward trend. Bitcoin price retests a major support/resistance zone at $38,000 as technical analysts and traders suggest that the bottom is in.But is this a true sign of a bottom, or just a temporary reprieve before another potential dip? Renowned analyst CrediBULL Crypto anticipates a possible surge in Bitcoin s value, eyeing the $40,000 threshold after a recent dip to $38,000. However, CrediBULL cautiously warns against the risk of slipping below $36,000. Quick 6 minute $BTC video update. Is the bottom in? I think there is a decent chance it is. Let's take a closer look.This article delves into the latest analysis, examining the technical indicators, expert opinions, and underlying market dynamics to provide a comprehensive perspective on the current state of Bitcoin and whether the bottom truly is in.

Bitcoin's $38,000 Retest: A Key Support Level

The $38,000 price level is proving to be a crucial battleground for Bitcoin.After falling below $40,000 on January 23rd, BTC quickly found support around $38,000, demonstrating its significance as a potential floor. The founders of analytics firm Glassnode say that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely about to correct significantly after an over-extended move to the upside.This level has historically acted as both a support and resistance zone, making its current role even more critical in determining Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. However, the bitcoin price quickly rebounded back about $38,000 today, and several market analysts remain confident about bitcoins near- and long-term futures, propped up by growingA decisive break below this level could signal further downside, while a sustained hold could indicate a stronger foundation for future growth.

Why $38,000 is Important

  • Historical Significance: This price point has been a pivot point in the past, acting as both resistance during upward trends and support during pullbacks.
  • Technical Indicator: Many traders use this level to gauge market sentiment and potential entry or exit points.
  • Psychological Barrier: Round numbers like $38,000 often carry psychological weight, influencing investor behavior.

Expert Opinions: A Mixed Bag of Optimism and Caution

While the recent bounce has spurred some optimism, expert opinions remain divided.Some analysts believe the recent dip has shaken out weaker hands, creating a healthier market structure.Others caution that further downside is possible, citing potential macroeconomic headwinds and the lingering effects of the post-ETF correction. Without ETF hype buoying the Bitcoin market, a post-approval correction has already shaved more than 10% off the cryptocurrency s price, but many analysts expect to see further losses before it rebounds. Having fallen below $40,000 on Tuesday, January 23, BTC is now on track to test the next support level at $38,000.It's crucial to weigh these perspectives carefully before making any investment decisions.

The Bullish Case for Bitcoin

Several factors support the argument that the bottom is in for Bitcoin:

  • Short-Term Holder Capitulation: Data from CryptoQuant indicates that short-term Bitcoin holders sold their assets at a loss when Bitcoin briefly touched $38,000. Analysts say Bitcoin 'bottom is in as BTC bounces back to $38,000. Bitcoin price retests a major support/resistance zone at $38,000 as technical analysts and traders suggest that the bottom is in.This is a typical indicator of price bottoms, as weak hands are shaken out of the market.
  • Renewed Investor Interest: Despite the recent volatility, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, particularly following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
  • Technical Indicators: Some technical analysts are pointing to bullish divergences and other indicators that suggest a potential trend reversal.

The Bearish Case Against a Bottom

Despite the optimistic viewpoints, several factors suggest the possibility of further downside:

  • Post-ETF Correction: The initial hype surrounding the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has subsided, leading to a correction in price.Many analysts believe this correction may not be fully complete.
  • Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Rising interest rates and other macroeconomic headwinds could put pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets.
  • Glassnode's Caution: The founders of analytics firm Glassnode have expressed concerns about a significant correction after Bitcoin's over-extended move to the upside.

CrediBULL Crypto's Perspective: A Cautious Optimism

Renowned analyst CrediBULL Crypto offers a balanced view, anticipating a possible surge in Bitcoin's value towards the $40,000 threshold after the recent dip.However, CrediBULL cautiously warns against the risk of slipping below $36,000.This highlights the importance of monitoring price action closely and being prepared for potential volatility.

CrediBULL's analysis underscores the delicate balance between bullish and bearish forces currently at play in the Bitcoin market.While the potential for a rally to $40,000 exists, the risk of further downside to $36,000 cannot be ignored.This cautious approach is prudent given the inherent uncertainties in the cryptocurrency market.

Understanding the Post-ETF Correction

The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs was initially seen as a major catalyst for further price appreciation.However, the subsequent correction has surprised some investors.Understanding the dynamics of this post-ETF correction is crucial for navigating the current market environment.

Why the Correction?

Several factors contributed to the post-ETF correction:

  1. Profit-Taking: Some investors who bought Bitcoin in anticipation of the ETF approval took profits after the initial surge, putting downward pressure on prices.
  2. ""Sell the News"" Event: The approval of the ETFs was a widely anticipated event, and some traders adopted a ""sell the news"" strategy, selling their holdings after the announcement.
  3. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Outflows: The conversion of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF resulted in significant outflows as investors redeemed their shares.

How Long Will the Correction Last?

The duration of the correction is uncertain.Some analysts believe it may already be nearing its end, while others anticipate further downside.Monitoring trading volume, on-chain data, and macroeconomic indicators can provide valuable insights into the correction's progress.

Analyzing On-Chain Data for Clues

On-chain data can provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network and the behavior of its participants.Analyzing metrics such as transaction volume, active addresses, and miner activity can help identify potential trends and turning points in the market.

Key On-Chain Metrics to Watch

  • Transaction Volume: A sustained increase in transaction volume can indicate growing adoption and demand for Bitcoin.
  • Active Addresses: An increase in the number of active addresses suggests greater user engagement with the Bitcoin network.
  • Miner Activity: Monitoring miner revenue and hash rate can provide insights into the health and security of the Bitcoin network.

Navigating the Volatility: Strategies for Investors

The Bitcoin market is known for its volatility, and the recent price swings have underscored the importance of having a sound investment strategy.Here are some strategies that investors can consider to navigate the current market environment:

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Dollar-cost averaging involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price of Bitcoin.This strategy can help mitigate the risk of buying at the top and smooth out the impact of volatility over time.

Diversification

Diversifying your investment portfolio across different asset classes can help reduce overall risk.Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket, especially in a volatile asset like Bitcoin.

Risk Management

Set clear risk management parameters, such as stop-loss orders, to limit potential losses.It's also important to only invest what you can afford to lose.

Common Questions About Bitcoin and Market Bottoms

Is Bitcoin a good investment?

Bitcoin's potential as a long-term investment is a subject of ongoing debate.While some view it as a store of value and a hedge against inflation, others consider it a speculative asset with significant risks.Ultimately, the decision of whether to invest in Bitcoin depends on your individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and understanding of the cryptocurrency market.

How do I know when the Bitcoin bottom is really in?

Predicting the exact bottom of the Bitcoin market is notoriously difficult.No single indicator can guarantee a bottom.Instead, consider a confluence of factors, including technical analysis, on-chain data, macroeconomic conditions, and expert opinions.Look for signs of strong support, decreasing selling pressure, and increasing buying volume.

What are the risks of investing in Bitcoin?

Investing in Bitcoin involves several risks, including price volatility, regulatory uncertainty, security breaches, and potential loss of capital.It's crucial to be aware of these risks before investing and to take appropriate risk management measures.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Bitcoin

The future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, but the cryptocurrency continues to evolve and mature.The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs is a significant milestone that could pave the way for greater institutional adoption.However, challenges remain, including regulatory scrutiny and competition from other cryptocurrencies.

Whether or not the current bounce at $38,000 definitively marks the bottom for Bitcoin remains to be seen.The market is still subject to various factors that can influence its direction, from macroeconomic trends to regulatory developments.Keeping a close watch on market indicators, expert analysis, and on-chain data is essential for making informed investment decisions.

Conclusion: The Bottom Line on Bitcoin's Bottom

In conclusion, while the recent bounce back to $38,000 has fueled speculation that the Bitcoin bottom is in, it's crucial to approach this with cautious optimism.The $38,000 level is a significant support zone, and the capitulation of short-term holders suggests potential strength.However, the post-ETF correction, macroeconomic uncertainties, and warnings from analysts like Glassnode indicate that further downside remains a possibility.Here's what to take away:

  • $38,000 is a key level: Watch for sustained breaks above or below this price point.
  • Expert opinions are divided: Weigh bullish and bearish perspectives carefully.
  • On-chain data provides valuable insights: Monitor key metrics to gauge market health.
  • Volatility is inherent: Implement sound risk management strategies.

Ultimately, the decision of whether to buy, sell, or hold Bitcoin depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.Stay informed, be prepared for volatility, and invest responsibly.If you are considering investing in Bitcoin, do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor to ensure it aligns with your investment goals.Now is a good time to review your cryptocurrency holdings and determine if any adjustments are needed based on your risk tolerance and financial goals.

Brad Garlinghouse can be reached at [email protected].

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