ANALYSTS SAY THIS KEY METRIC SUGGESTS AN ALTCOIN SEASON IS AT HAND

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 22:12 | Written by: Mike Novogratz

Analysts Say This Key Metric Suggests An Altcoin Season Is At Hand
Analysts Say This Key Metric Suggests An Altcoin Season Is At Hand

The cryptocurrency market is a constantly shifting landscape, and recent trends have analysts buzzing about the potential for a significant shift in power. SOLUSD Solana Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an altseason has started.For months, Bitcoin has reigned supreme, dominating market capitalization and dictating the overall direction of the crypto sphere.However, whispers of an altcoin season, a period where alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) outperform Bitcoin, have been growing louder.A confluence of factors, including a series of new all-time highs achieved by various altcoins and a noticeable drop in Bitcoin's dominance, is fueling this speculation. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand 1:51 PM cointelegraph, crypto, crypto news A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an altseason has started.This exciting development could signal a major opportunity for investors willing to diversify their portfolios and explore the potential of these emerging digital assets.But what exactly constitutes an altcoin season, and what metrics are analysts using to predict its arrival?What are the risks and rewards associated with participating in this potential shift in the market?Join us as we delve into the data, analyze the trends, and explore what this could mean for the future of crypto investing. As shown in the chart below, the total market capitalization of the altcoin market has risen 80% since July 20. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin dominance rate is down 10% since July 30. Bitcoin dominance vs total altcoin market capitalization 1-day chart. Source: TradingViewThis analysis suggests we could see a push toward 64.75% in the short term before a more decisive reversal occurs. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an alt season has started.This means, buckle up, because the wild ride might have just begun.

What is an Altcoin Season?

An altcoin season, often referred to as ""altseason,"" is a period in the cryptocurrency market where altcoins experience significant price appreciation and outperform Bitcoin. The leading community for cryptocurrency news, discussion, and analysis. Advertisement Coins. 0 coins. Premium Powerups Explore Gaming. Valheim GenshinDuring this time, investors typically shift their focus and capital from Bitcoin to altcoins, seeking higher potential returns.Understanding this cyclical nature of the market is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an alt season has started. Please note, this is a STATIC archive of website cointelegraph.com from October 2025, cach3.com does not collect or store any user information, there is no phishing involved.It's not simply about altcoins going up in value; it's about them outperforming the market leader, Bitcoin.

Think of it like this: Bitcoin is the established king of the crypto jungle. Altseason signals emerge as Bitcoin dominance weakens and technicals show momentum. Analysts expect altcoins to rally after Fed rate cuts and Bitcoin s $90K stabilization. TOTAL2 and BTC.D charts hint at a coming altseason as macro conditions shift bullish.During a Bitcoin season, it maintains its dominance.But during an altcoin season, the underdogs get their chance to shine, showcasing their unique technologies and potential to disrupt various industries.While defining its beginning and ending can be subjective, the underlying premise remains the same: altcoins are taking the lead.

Key Metrics Pointing Towards Altcoin Season

Analysts utilize several key metrics to gauge the likelihood of an altcoin season. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand Written by Richard Ingram Posted in Cryptocurrency Comments 0 Bitcoin s (BTC) 65% recovery from sub $29,500 on July 20 to a swing high at $48,200 on Aug. 14 took less than a month and helped bring fresh bullish momentum back to the crypto market and traders who were dreadingThese indicators provide valuable insights into market sentiment and the flow of capital within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. The cryptocurrency market might be on the verge of a major shift, with altcoins finally stepping out of Bitcoin s shadow. Market analysts and on-chain experts are now increasingly confident that an Altcoin Season a period where alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin is not only approaching but could become the most significant yet.Let's examine some of the most prominent ones:

  • Bitcoin Dominance: This metric tracks the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization held by Bitcoin.A declining Bitcoin dominance often signals that investors are diversifying into altcoins, driving their prices up.
  • Altcoin Market Capitalization (ALTCAP): The total market capitalization of all altcoins.A significant increase in ALTCAP indicates a growing interest in and investment in altcoins.
  • Altcoin Outperformance: The number of altcoins outperforming Bitcoin over a specific period (e.g., the past 30, 60, or 90 days).A higher number suggests a strengthening altcoin market.
  • Technical Indicators: Indicators like the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) are used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in altcoins, which can signal potential breakout opportunities.
  • TOTAL2 Chart Analysis: The TOTAL2 chart represents the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an alt season has started. Bitcoin s (BTC) 65% recovery from sub-$29,500 on July 20 to a swing high of $48,200 on Aug. 14 took less than a month and helped bring fresh bullish momentum MoreAnalyzing this chart can provide insights into the overall strength of the altcoin market and potential future movements.

Bitcoin Dominance and its Significance

The decline in Bitcoin dominance is perhaps the most widely cited indicator of an impending altcoin season.When Bitcoin dominance decreases, it suggests that investors are taking profits from Bitcoin and reallocating them to altcoins.This shift in capital flow can fuel significant price surges in altcoins, creating opportunities for substantial gains.

As mentioned in the provided snippets, Bitcoin's dominance rate had been rising but fizzled out in late July as several altcoin projects rallied.This highlights the dynamic nature of the market and the importance of constantly monitoring these key metrics. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that anMany analysts believe that a sustained break below a certain Bitcoin dominance threshold (often around 50%) is a strong confirmation of an altcoin season.

Altcoin Market Capitalization as a Bellwether

The Altcoin Market Cap (ALTCAP) is another crucial indicator to watch. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand. New.A rising ALTCAP indicates that new money is flowing into the altcoin market, suggesting increased investor confidence. Historical patterns, strong technical indicators, and shifting market dynamics all hint at a period of accelerated altcoin performance. An analysis from Joao Wedson shows that 31 out of 57 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 2 months, a critical metric in identifying early-stage Altcoin Seasons.Some analysts even use ALTCAP to predict the duration and intensity of the altcoin season.

The provided information suggests that ALTCAP started a five-wave upward movement in April, potentially indicating a strong uptrend. Bitcoin dominance vs. total altcoin market capitalization,1-day chart. Source: TradingView Data from TradingView shows that the dominance rate of Bitcoin had been on the rise in recent weeks, but this trend fizzled out for Bitcoin on July 30 as a number of altcoin projects rallied due to a marketwide oversold bounce, new partnerships andHowever, the snippet also mentions that ALTCAP needs to reach 75% for a full-fledged altcoin season to be declared. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at handThis underscores the importance of not relying on a single metric but rather considering the overall picture.

The Role of Technical Indicators and Chart Analysis

Technical analysis plays a significant role in predicting altcoin season. Apesar desses fortes desempenhos, interessante notar que o Altcoin Season Index est, na verdade, em seu ponto mais baixo em 2 anos, conforme destacado no tweet abaixo. Os ltimos 30 dias foram amig veis s Altcoin, mas o Altcoin Season Index (90 dias) o mais baixo em 2 anos.Traders and analysts use various technical indicators and chart patterns to identify potential entry and exit points for altcoins.These tools help them assess the momentum, volatility, and overall strength of individual altcoins.

The Stochastic RSI, as highlighted in the snippets, is one such indicator.It measures the momentum of an asset by comparing its closing price to its price range over a specific period.When the Stochastic RSI reaches overbought levels, it could signal a potential pullback, while oversold levels might indicate a buying opportunity.However, just like other metrics, it should not be used as a sole basis for decision-making.

Furthermore, analysts use charts like TOTAL2 (Total market cap of all crypto excluding Bitcoin) and BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) to see patterns that could predict an altseason.

Factors Contributing to Altcoin Season

Several factors can contribute to the start and continuation of an altcoin season. As shown in the chart below, the total market capitalization of the altcoin market has risen 80% since July 20. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin dominance rate is down 10% since July 30. Bitcoin dominance vs. total altcoin market capitalization,1-day chart. Source: TradingViewThese factors often interact with each other, creating a positive feedback loop that drives altcoin prices higher.Some key factors include:

  • Bitcoin's Price Consolidation: After a significant Bitcoin rally, its price often enters a period of consolidation or sideways trading. Bitcoin ($96,354.00 ) dominance vs. total altcoin market capitalization,1-day chart. Source: TradingView Data from TradingView shows that the dominance rate of Bitcoin ( $96,354.00 ) had been on the rise in recent weeks, but this trend fizzled out for Bitcoin ( $96,354.00 ) on July 30 as a number of altcoin projects rallied due to a marketwideThis allows investors to look for other opportunities, and altcoins often become attractive.
  • New Technological Developments: The emergence of new and innovative altcoin projects can attract investor attention and drive demand. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an alt season has started.Projects with unique use cases or disruptive technologies are often at the forefront of an altcoin season.
  • Market Sentiment: Positive news and sentiment surrounding altcoins can create a fear of missing out (FOMO), leading to increased buying pressure and price appreciation.
  • Macroeconomic Factors: Economic policies and global economic conditions can also play a role. Analysts say this key metric suggests an altcoin season is at hand A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that anFor example, potential Fed rate cuts, mentioned in one snippet, could create a more bullish environment for altcoins.

Bitcoin Consolidation and Altcoin Growth

As mentioned earlier, Bitcoin's consolidation after a major price increase often provides the catalyst for an altcoin season. Secondo The Moon, analista su Twitter, solitamente le altcoin season iniziano dopo grandi movimenti rialzisti da parte di Bitcoin seguiti da momenti di stallo: La stagione delle altcoin sta avvenendo proprio adesso, esattamente come avevo previsto!!! The altcoin season is happening right now exactly as I predicted!!! pic.twitter.comWhen Bitcoin is trading sideways, investors start looking for opportunities to generate higher returns.This is when altcoins, with their often smaller market capitalizations and higher volatility, become more appealing. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an altseason has started. Continue reading Analysts say this key metricTraders on Twitter, like The Moon, often refer to this sequence of events.

This dynamic is driven by the concept of risk-reward. Bitcoin s (BTC) 65% restoration from sub-$29,500 on July 20 to a swing excessive of $48,200 on Aug. 14 took lower than a month and helped deliver contemporaryWhile Bitcoin is considered a relatively safer investment within the crypto space, its potential for exponential growth is lower compared to many altcoins. Additionally, analyst Michael van de Poppe noted that the Altcoin Season Index indicated a lack of altcoin season. Registering a value of 47, fluctuating below 50, this index signals a predominance of Bitcoin over altcoins. A score below 75 on this index suggests that Bitcoin retains more than 50% of the total market dominance.When Bitcoin's price stabilizes, investors are more willing to take on the higher risk associated with altcoins in exchange for the possibility of greater rewards.

Technological Innovation and Disruptive Altcoins

New and innovative altcoin projects are often the driving force behind altcoin seasons.These projects introduce new technologies, solve existing problems, and disrupt traditional industries.For example, Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) have been key drivers of altcoin growth in recent years.

Projects with unique value propositions and strong development teams are more likely to attract investor attention and experience significant price appreciation during an altcoin season. However, for a full-fledged altcoin season to be declared, this figure needs to rise to 75%. Adding to the optimism, another key metric that analysts are watching is the stochastic relative strength index (RSI).It is crucial to conduct thorough research and due diligence before investing in any altcoin, as not all projects will be successful.

Navigating the Altcoin Season: Risks and Rewards

Investing in altcoins during an altcoin season can be highly rewarding, but it also comes with significant risks. This suggests we could see a final push toward 64.75% in the short term before a more decisive reversal takes hold. Altcoins Could Break Out. The next chart, the Altcoin Market Cap (ALTCAP), points to an altcoin season in the second half of 2025. ALTCAP started a five-wave upward movement (green) in April and is currently in an extended wave three.It's crucial to understand these risks and rewards before allocating capital to altcoins.

Potential Rewards

  • Higher Returns: Altcoins often have the potential for much higher returns compared to Bitcoin, especially during an altcoin season.
  • Diversification: Investing in a basket of altcoins can diversify your portfolio and reduce your overall risk.
  • Exposure to Innovative Technologies: Altcoins provide exposure to new and emerging technologies, potentially positioning you at the forefront of innovation.

Potential Risks

  • Higher Volatility: Altcoins are generally more volatile than Bitcoin, meaning their prices can fluctuate dramatically in short periods.
  • Lower Liquidity: Some altcoins have lower trading volumes and liquidity, making it difficult to buy or sell them quickly without affecting the price.
  • Scams and Fraud: The altcoin market is prone to scams and fraudulent projects, which can result in significant financial losses.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for altcoins is still evolving, which can create uncertainty and potentially impact their value.

Strategies for Investing in Altcoins During Altseason

If you're considering investing in altcoins during an altcoin season, it's crucial to have a well-defined strategy.Here are some tips to help you navigate the market effectively:

  1. Do Your Research: Thoroughly research each altcoin before investing.Understand its technology, use case, team, and market capitalization.
  2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. A series of new all-time highs from altcoins and a drop in the Bitcoin dominance metric has many analysts convinced that an alt season has started. Bitcoin s (BTC) 65% recovery from sub-$29,500 on July 20 to a swing high of $48,200 on Aug. 14 took less than a month and helped bring fresh bullish momentum [ ]Diversify your investments across multiple altcoins to reduce your risk.
  3. Set Realistic Expectations: Altcoin prices can be highly volatile.Be prepared for potential losses and don't invest more than you can afford to lose.
  4. Use Stop-Loss Orders: Implement stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses in case the market turns against you.
  5. Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market.This will help you make informed investment decisions.
  6. Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Dollar-cost averaging involves investing a fixed amount of money into an altcoin at regular intervals, regardless of its price.This can help you mitigate the impact of volatility.

When Will the Next Altcoin Season Start? According to Cointelegraph: The crypto market is showing signs of recovery after a recent sell-off, and analysts suggest that an altcoin season could be imminent based on three key metrics.Predictions and Considerations

Predicting the exact start date of an altcoin season is impossible, as the cryptocurrency market is inherently unpredictable.However, by monitoring the key metrics and factors discussed above, you can increase your chances of identifying potential opportunities.

Some analysts believe that the second half of 2025 could see a significant altcoin rally, based on historical patterns and market cycles.Others point to the recent weakening of Bitcoin dominance and the strong performance of certain altcoins as signs that an altcoin season is already underway.

Ultimately, the timing of the next altcoin season will depend on a combination of factors, including Bitcoin's price action, technological developments in the altcoin space, and overall market sentiment.Stay informed, do your research, and be prepared to adapt to changing market conditions.

Conclusion: Preparing for Potential Altcoin Gains

The cryptocurrency market is dynamic, and the potential for an altcoin season is a tantalizing prospect for investors.By understanding the key metrics, recognizing the contributing factors, and developing a well-informed investment strategy, you can position yourself to potentially capitalize on this exciting market phase. Het herstel van 65% van Bitcoin (BTC) van minder dan $ 29,500 op 20 juli naar een swing high van $ 48,200 op 14 augustus duurde minder dan een maand en zorgde voor een nieuw bullish momentumWhile the risks are substantial, the rewards can be significant for those who approach the market with caution, diligence, and a long-term perspective.

Key takeaways from this analysis include the importance of monitoring Bitcoin dominance, tracking the Altcoin Market Cap, and utilizing technical indicators. Altcoin season is happening soon: Analysts say this key metric suggests Bitcoin s (BTC) 65% recovery from sub-$29,500 on July 20 to a swing high of $48,200 on Aug. 14 took less than a month and helped bring fresh bullish momentum back to the crypto market and to traders who were dreading theRemember that diversification is key, and thorough research is essential before investing in any altcoin.As analysts observe 31 out of 57 altcoins outperforming Bitcoin over the past two months, it is clear indicators point to a potential altcoin surge.While a score below 75 on the Altcoin Season Index suggests that Bitcoin retains more than 50% of the total market dominance, trends point to change.However, be prepared for volatility, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.With careful planning and execution, you can navigate the altcoin market effectively and potentially reap the rewards of the next altcoin season.The crypto market might be on the verge of a major shift, with altcoins finally stepping out of Bitcoin's shadow.

Mike Novogratz can be reached at [email protected].

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