AAVE PRICE RISKS A 25% PLUNGE AS A CLASSIC BEARISH REVERSAL PATTERN EMERGES

Last updated: June 19, 2025, 22:13 | Written by: Charlie Lee

Is the Aave bull run about to hit a major roadblock?Recent technical analysis paints a concerning picture for the popular DeFi token, Aave (AAVE). Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70? Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two ascending, converging trendlines. As it happens, theAfter a period of upward momentum, signs are emerging that suggest a significant price correction could be on the horizon. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70?This analysis points towards the formation of a classic bearish reversal pattern, potentially triggering a substantial sell-off and a 25% price plunge. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern.Is AAVE headed to $70?Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two asThis article will dive deep into the specifics of this bearish pattern, explore other factors contributing to the potential downturn, and analyze whether AAVE is headed towards a $70 price target.With the cryptocurrency market known for its volatility, understanding these technical indicators is crucial for investors looking to navigate the potential risks and opportunities that lie ahead. The daily correlation coefficient between AAVE and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 stood at 0.91 as of May 17, underscoring that the two markets have been moving in a near-perfect tandem.We'll also discuss AAVE's correlation with the Nasdaq 100 and how it influences price movement and whether this correlation amplify any potential negative trend.This is crucial to understand the broader market context affecting AAVE.

Decoding the Bearish Reversal Pattern: The Rising Wedge

The primary cause for concern surrounding AAVE's price lies in the formation of a well-known bearish reversal pattern called a rising wedge.Understanding how this pattern works is key to anticipating potential price movements.

What is a Rising Wedge?

A rising wedge pattern surfaces when the price of an asset, in this case, AAVE, rises within a narrowing range defined by two ascending, converging trendlines. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70? Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two ascending, converging trendlines.Imagine squeezing a balloon – as you compress the sides (the converging trendlines), the pressure inside builds. Social icon element need JNews Essential plugin to be activated. HOME; CRYPTO NEWS; MARKET ANALYSIS. FEAR GREED INDEX; HEAT MAP; CRYPTO TWITTER; ASHTRO CRYPTOSimilarly, in a rising wedge, despite the price making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening.

Here's a breakdown of the key characteristics:

Ascending Trendlines: Both the upper and lower trendlines are sloping upwards.
Converging Trendlines: The trendlines are gradually getting closer together, forming a wedge shape.
Decreasing Volume: Often, but not always, volume tends to decrease as the pattern develops, indicating waning buying pressure.

How Does the Rising Wedge Signal a Bearish Reversal?

The rising wedge pattern is considered bearish because it typically forms after an uptrend and signals a potential reversal of that trend.The converging trendlines represent a loss of momentum, suggesting that buyers are becoming exhausted. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Dubbed aEventually, the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming the pattern and triggering a sell-off.

In AAVE's case, the emergence of this rising wedge pattern raises serious concerns about the sustainability of its recent uptrend. BTCUSD Bitcoin Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges A handful of concerning factors, plus AAVE's correlation with the Nasdaq, increases the possibility of the altcoin undergoing another massive sell-off.Traders should be wary and prepared for a potential breakdown.

AAVE's Correlation with the Nasdaq 100: Amplifying the Risk

Beyond the bearish rising wedge pattern, another factor adding to AAVE's vulnerability is its strong correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. AAVE has undergone a significant multi-month correction since its $394 peak in mid-December, culminating in a sharp 25% decline since Sunday.This correlation means that AAVE's price often moves in tandem with the Nasdaq, making it susceptible to broader market sentiment and economic trends affecting tech stocks.

Understanding the Correlation

As of May 17, the daily correlation coefficient between AAVE and the Nasdaq 100 stood at a high 0.91. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70? Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two ascending, converging trendlines.A correlation coefficient of 1 indicates a perfect positive correlation, meaning the two assets move in lockstep.A correlation of 0.91 suggests a very strong positive relationship.

This strong correlation implies that if the Nasdaq experiences a downturn due to factors like rising interest rates, inflation concerns, or disappointing earnings reports, AAVE is likely to follow suit. Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal Coin SurgesThis amplifies the potential for a significant price drop, especially when combined with the bearish signals from the rising wedge pattern.

Why Does This Correlation Exist?

Several factors could contribute to AAVE's correlation with the Nasdaq:

Risk-On/Risk-Off Sentiment: Both tech stocks and cryptocurrencies are often considered riskier assets. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern.Dubbed a rising wedgeDuring periods of economic uncertainty, investors tend to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, leading to sell-offs in both markets.
Institutional Investment: The increasing institutional investment in cryptocurrencies may be contributing to the correlation. [ ] XRP overtakes USDT as third-largest crypto after 10% price surge in 24 hours Market Analysis [ ] Is This Correction the Calm Before a Storm to $5,000?Institutional investors often use similar risk management strategies across different asset classes, leading to correlated trading behavior.
Algorithmic Trading: Algorithmic trading systems that automatically execute trades based on market conditions could also contribute to the correlation.These systems may be programmed to react similarly to certain market events across different asset classes.

The Potential for a 25% Plunge: Analyzing the Price Targets

The technical analysis suggests that a breakdown from the rising wedge pattern could trigger a significant price decline for AAVE. Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges.The potential downside target is estimated to be around 25% from the point of the breakdown.

Calculating the Downside Target

The typical method for calculating the downside target after a rising wedge breakdown involves measuring the widest part of the wedge and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern.Dubbed a rising wedge Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emergesThis projection provides an estimate of the potential price decline.

However, it's crucial to remember that this is just an estimate. A handful of concerning factors, plus AAVE s correlation with the Nasdaq, increases the possibility of the altcoin undergoing another massive sell-off. 0. NEWS.The actual price movement could be influenced by various factors, including:

Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies can significantly impact AAVE's price.
News and Events: Positive or negative news related to AAVE, the DeFi sector, or the broader cryptocurrency market can affect the price.
Trading Volume: High trading volume during the breakdown can amplify the price movement.
Support Levels: Key support levels could provide some buffer against the decline.

Is AAVE Headed to $70?

The analysis also raises the question of whether AAVE could potentially fall to $70.While the 25% decline projected from the rising wedge breakdown doesn't necessarily guarantee a $70 price target, it highlights the possibility of a significant downward movement.

If the bearish scenario plays out and AAVE breaks down from the rising wedge, reaching $70 would likely depend on the strength of the selling pressure and the presence of support levels along the way. Cointelegraph By Yashu Gola Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70? Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two ascending, [ ]Breaking through those supports would increase the likelihood of reaching the lower target.

AAVE's Multi-Month Correction: A Look Back

To further understand AAVE's current situation, it's important to consider its recent price history. Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges. Crypto News.AAVE has undergone a significant multi-month correction since reaching its peak of around $394 in mid-December.This correction culminated in a sharp 25% decline since the previous Sunday, indicating heightened selling pressure.

Analyzing the Correction

This multi-month correction reflects the broader market downturn that has impacted many cryptocurrencies.Several factors contributed to this downturn, including:

Rising Interest Rates: Concerns about rising interest rates have led investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Inflation Concerns: High inflation rates have eroded purchasing power and led to concerns about a potential recession.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrencies has created apprehension among investors.
Terra (LUNA) Collapse: The collapse of the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem significantly impacted market sentiment and triggered a widespread sell-off.

The fact that AAVE has been in a correction for several months underscores the fragility of its current price and its vulnerability to further declines.

Other Concerning Factors: The Bigger Picture

While the rising wedge pattern and the correlation with the Nasdaq are significant concerns, several other factors contribute to the overall bearish outlook for AAVE.

DeFi Sector Challenges

The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, in general, has faced challenges recently.These challenges include:

Regulatory Scrutiny: Increased regulatory scrutiny of DeFi protocols is creating uncertainty and potentially hindering growth.
Security Risks: DeFi protocols are vulnerable to hacks and exploits, which can lead to significant losses for users.
High Gas Fees: High transaction fees on the Ethereum network can make DeFi applications expensive to use.
Complexity: The complexity of DeFi protocols can make them difficult for average users to understand and use.

These challenges can negatively impact the overall demand for DeFi tokens like AAVE.

Overall Market Sentiment

The overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies remains cautious. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. Is AAVE headed to $70? Dubbed a rising wedge, the pattern surfaces when the price rises inside a range defined by two ascending, converging trendlines.The fear and greed index often reflects a state of fear or neutrality, indicating a lack of strong bullish conviction among investors.This cautious sentiment can limit the upside potential for AAVE and increase its susceptibility to negative news and events.

Navigating the Risks: Strategies for Investors

Given the potential risks outlined above, investors holding AAVE or considering investing in it should carefully consider their risk tolerance and implement appropriate risk management strategies.

Risk Management Strategies

Here are some strategies to consider:

Set Stop-Loss Orders: Place stop-loss orders to limit potential losses in case of a price decline. Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges AAVE Bearish Classic emerges PATTERN plunge price reversal risks Technical evaluation suggests {that aA stop-loss order automatically sells your AAVE holdings if the price falls below a certain level.
Reduce Exposure: Consider reducing your overall exposure to AAVE if you are uncomfortable with the level of risk.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Diversify your portfolio by investing in other cryptocurrencies and asset classes to reduce your overall risk.
Stay Informed: Stay informed about the latest news and developments related to AAVE, the DeFi sector, and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Consider Short Positions (Advanced): For experienced traders, consider opening a short position on AAVE to profit from a potential price decline. Technical analysis suggests that a recent uptrend in the price of Aave (AAVE) is showing signs of exhaustion based on the early development of a classic bearish reversal pattern. IsHowever, shorting can be risky and should only be done with a thorough understanding of the risks involved.

Due Diligence is Key

Before making any investment decisions, it's crucial to conduct thorough due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Conclusion: Preparing for Potential Downturn

In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests that Aave (AAVE) faces significant risks of a potential price decline.The emergence of a classic rising wedge bearish reversal pattern, coupled with AAVE's strong correlation with the Nasdaq 100, increases the possibility of a substantial sell-off.A correction of 25% or more could be in store if the pattern confirms with a breakdown.While the market can be unpredictable, understanding these factors and implementing appropriate risk management strategies is crucial for investors.Keep a close eye on AAVE's price action, market sentiment, and any relevant news or events that could impact its future performance.Is AAVE headed to $70?Only time will tell, but being prepared is the best strategy.If you are an AAVE holder, consider setting stop-loss orders to protect your investment.If you are considering buying AAVE, wait for confirmation of a trend reversal or a more favorable entry point.Always do your own research before investing in any cryptocurrency.