LOOKS BAD — BITCOIN FUTURES ECHO DAYS BEFORE MARCH CRASH, SAYS TRADER

The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, is once again on high alert. The bitcoin price is stuck under $100,000 per bitcoin after rocking past the closely-watched level in the aftermath of Trump s election victory (even as Wall Street giant Goldman Sacks revealsRecent developments in Bitcoin (BTC) futures are drawing stark comparisons to the period leading up to the infamous March crash, sending shivers down the spines of investors. Analysis of futures behavior is strongly reminiscent of the days before BTC fell to $3,600, Cointelegraph Markets filbfilb warns. Bitcoin (BTC) futures were worrying analysts on July 10 as volume data suggested serious weakness and the potential for a major pullback. Uploading a weekly chart of CME Group s Bitcoin futures to Twitter, Cointelegraph Markets analyst MoreA prominent trader, among others, has voiced serious concerns, pointing to unsettling similarities between current market behavior and the lead-up to the dramatic downturn that saw Bitcoin plummet to as low as $3,600.This alarming analysis, coupled with other bearish indicators, suggests that the digital asset could be facing significant headwinds in the near future.

But what exactly are these troubling signs? Predicting Bitcoin's price is a complex task, influenced by many connected factors. This article looks at the key things that can affect the future value of BTC, from halving cycles and macroeconomic conditions to adoption rates and tech changes.What are the experts saying, and how can investors navigate this potentially treacherous landscape? Analysis of futures behavior is strongly reminiscent of the days before BTC fell to $3,600, Cointelegraph Markets filbfilb warnsWe'll delve into the analysis of Bitcoin futures, examine the warnings from veteran traders and crypto analysts, and explore the broader factors contributing to the current market uncertainty.Understanding these elements is crucial for anyone looking to protect their investments and make informed decisions in the volatile world of cryptocurrency.

Warning Signs in Bitcoin Futures

Bitcoin futures are contracts that allow traders to speculate on the future price of Bitcoin. Pavel Nikienkov (@pavelravaga), co-founder and Project Manager of @zano_project, lays out a persuasive argument to BTCTN s @_dsencil for why privacy projectsThey are a crucial indicator of market sentiment and can often foreshadow significant price movements. 2025 Bitcoin crash. Bitcoin had a monster rally in 2025, surging from $13 in January to an all-time high of $1,100 by December. But what goes up must come down, and by early 2025, Bitcoin had lost nearly 50% of its value, falling below $500. What caused it?Recently, analysts have observed worrying trends in Bitcoin futures data, sparking fears of a potential market correction. Powerful tools, designed for the advanced trader. Powerful analytical tools with the safety and security of Coinbase deliver the ultimate trading experience. Tap into sophisticated charting capabilities, real-time order books, and deep liquidity across hundreds of markets. Start tradingThese trends echo patterns seen before previous crashes, particularly the one in March.

Decreasing Volume and Open Interest

One of the primary concerns is the declining volume and open interest in Bitcoin futures. Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding futures contracts.A decrease in both volume and open interest suggests that fewer traders are actively participating in the market, indicating weakening momentum and a lack of conviction. Veteran trader Peter Brandt is warning of a Bitcoin crash. He responded to an HTL-NL market analysis which showed a possible BTC drop to $76,700 or $70,000. Brandt said This is not an unreasonable expectation and the selling pressure will increase in the short term.This can be a precursor to a significant price drop as bullish sentiment fades.

Cointelegraph Markets analyst filbfilb, known for his astute market analysis, has been particularly vocal about the concerning trends in Bitcoin futures. Looks Bad Bitcoin Futures Echo Days Before March Crash, Says Trader Analysis of futures behavior is strongly reminiscent of the days before BTC fell to $ 3,600, Cointelegraph Markets filbfilb warns.In a recent Twitter post, he highlighted the similarities between the current market situation and the period before Bitcoin's crash.He didn't mince words, describing the climate as ""Looks Bad,"" underscoring the severity of the situation.

Echoes of the Past: The March Crash

The comparison to the March crash is particularly unnerving.Back then, a combination of factors, including global economic uncertainty and market manipulation, led to a rapid and devastating decline in Bitcoin's price.The current analysis of futures behavior strongly resembles the patterns observed before that crash. Analysis of futures behavior is strongly reminiscent of the days before BTC fell to $3,600, Cointelegraph Markets filbfilb warns. Bitcoin futures were worrying analysts on July 10 as volume data suggested serious weakness and the potential for a major pullback.Key similarities include:

• Decreasing trading volumes
• A lack of strong bullish momentum
• An increase in short positions

These factors combined create a precarious situation where the market is vulnerable to a sudden and sharp correction.

Expert Opinions and Market Predictions

Beyond the analysis of Bitcoin futures, several prominent traders and analysts have also issued warnings about a potential Bitcoin crash. 'Looks Bad' Bitcoin Futures Echo Days Before March Crash, Says TraderTheir insights provide a broader perspective on the factors contributing to the current market uncertainty.

Peter Brandt's Bearish Outlook

Veteran trader Peter Brandt, known for his experience and expertise in technical analysis, has warned of a potential Bitcoin crash. Bitcoin experienced one of its most brutal crashes ever in 2025, with the BTC price plummeting below $20,000 in June after peaking at $68,000 in 2025.June 2025 has become the worst month forResponding to an HTL-NL market analysis, Brandt suggested that a drop to $76,700 or even $70,000 is not an unreasonable expectation. Looks Bad Bitcoin Futures Echo Days Before March Crash, Says TraderHe emphasized that selling pressure is likely to increase in the short term, further exacerbating the downward trend.

Glen Goodman's Flash Crash Warning

Glen Goodman, author of ""The Crypto Trader,"" has also raised concerns about a potential Bitcoin correction following its all-time high.Goodman suggests that a flash crash, a sudden and dramatic price decline, could be on the horizon. There are five key warning signs when Bitcoin is nearing a price peak, and one of those indicators is already flashing red, according to onchain data service CryptoQuant.In a Nov. 19 X postHe advises investors to be cautious and prepared for potential volatility.

Analyst Concerns Regarding Volume Data

Analysts on July 10th expressed concern about the state of Bitcoin futures because the volume data suggested weakness and the possibility of a major pullback. Search the world's information, including webpages, images, videos and more. Google has many special features to help you find exactly what you're looking for.A sudden downturn, where Bitcoin’s price plummets sharply and rapidly, may occur.This is partly due to the complex, sometimes unpredictable, dynamics of futures markets.

External Factors Fueling the Fear

While the analysis of Bitcoin futures and expert opinions paint a concerning picture, it's essential to consider the broader external factors that could contribute to a market downturn.

Rising Inflation and Economic Uncertainty

Global inflation continues to be a significant concern, with many countries experiencing rising consumer prices. Pre-market stock trading coverage from CNN. View pre-market trading, including futures information for the S P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average.This inflationary pressure could lead to tighter monetary policies from central banks, such as raising interest rates.Higher interest rates can make riskier assets like Bitcoin less attractive to investors, potentially triggering a sell-off.

Potential Binance Sell-Offs

Regulatory scrutiny and legal challenges faced by cryptocurrency exchanges, particularly Binance, also contribute to market uncertainty. 'Looks Bad' Bitcoin Futures Echo Days Before March Crash, Says Trader Bitcoin (BTC) futures were worrying analysts on July 10 as volume data suggested serious weakness and the potential for aPotential sell-offs of Bitcoin holdings by Binance, whether forced by regulatory action or driven by market sentiment, could further exacerbate the downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.This is based on the assumption that Binance is a major holder of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Whales Taking a Breather

Recent data suggests that Bitcoin whales, large holders of Bitcoin, have slowed down their accumulation, indicating a change in investor behavior. In May, 2025, from his bedroom in London, Navinder Sarao, helped cause panic in U.S. markets. Bloomberg s Liam Vaughan tells the story of The Flash Crash TraAccording to onchain data service CryptoQuant, Bitcoin whales are ""mostly staying flat,"" hinting that their behavior may mean they’re waiting for even lower prices.Brian from BeInCrypto corroborated this sentiment, and IntoTheBlock reported that the Bitcoin large holders netflow has plummeted by over 600% in the past 30 days.

Navigating the Volatile Market: Strategies for Investors

Given the potential for a Bitcoin crash, investors need to adopt prudent strategies to protect their investments and minimize potential losses.

Risk Management: Stop-Loss Orders and Position Sizing

Risk management is paramount in a volatile market.Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit potential losses by automatically selling your Bitcoin if the price falls below a predetermined level.Proper position sizing, which involves allocating a small percentage of your portfolio to Bitcoin, can also mitigate the impact of a significant price drop.

Diversification: Spreading Your Investments

Diversification is another crucial strategy.Spreading your investments across different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and real estate, can reduce your overall portfolio risk. Bitcoin vadeli işlemler, 10 Temmuz itibarıyla hacim verilerinin ciddi bir zayıflık ve gerileme potansiyeli g stermesi nedeniyle analistleri endişelendiriyor. Cointelegraph Piyasalar analisti filbfilb, CME Grubu'nun Bitcoin vadeli işlemler haftalık tablosunu paylaştığı g nderide mevcut durumla ilgili s zlerini sakınmadı.By not putting all your eggs in one basket, you can cushion the impact of a potential Bitcoin crash.

Staying Informed: Monitoring Market Trends

Staying informed about market trends and developments is essential. According to The Street, she drew parallels between today s market and March 2025, when Bitcoin futures plummeted by 85% in just one day, sparking one of the biggest liquidation events in crypto history. During that crash, Bitcoin s market value dropped by nearly $40 billion, sinking to around $107 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.Monitoring news, analyzing charts, and following expert opinions can help you make informed decisions and adjust your strategy as needed. Bitcoin s price has taken a hit, dropping below $94,000 on Dec. 29 after reaching an all-time high of $108,000 just weeks earlier. The cryptocurrency has fallen 2% in the past 24 hours and 3%Reputable sources like CoinDesk, Cointelegraph, and Bloomberg can provide valuable insights.

Long-Term Perspective: Focusing on Fundamentals

While short-term volatility can be unnerving, it's important to maintain a long-term perspective.Focusing on the fundamental value of Bitcoin, such as its limited supply and potential for future adoption, can help you weather the storm and avoid making impulsive decisions based on fear. Bitcoin futures were worrying analysts on July 10 as volume data suggested serious weakness and the potential for a major pullback.Uploading a weekly chart of CME Group s Bitcoin futures to Twitter, Cointelegraph Markets analyst filbfilb did not mince his words describing the current climate.If you believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, consider viewing dips as buying opportunities.

Could Bitcoin Really Crash to $3,500?

One of the more alarming predictions circulating is that Bitcoin could crash to as low as $3,500. Bitcoin whales seem to have taken a bit of a breather and aren t accumulating at the moment (mostly staying flat), Brian told BeInCrypto. The decline in Bitcoin s large holders netflow corroborates Brian s position. According to IntoTheBlock, the metric has plummeted by over 600% in the past 30 days. Bitcoin Large Holders Netflow.While this scenario seems extreme, it's not entirely unfounded.During the March crash, Bitcoin experienced a dramatic decline, and similar market conditions could potentially lead to a similar outcome.This dramatic number was put forth when Bitcoin was trading at much lower values than present. Gr fico futuro de Bitcoin da CME com as semelhan as de mar o destacadas. Fonte: filbfilb/ Twitter. A o de pre o mista. O Bitcoin viu uma a o de pre o mista esta semana, com movimentos para US$ 9.500 que foram ditados pelos mercados de a es. Uma queda no final da quinta-feira, 9 de julho, levou o BTC / USD de volta a US$ 9.000.Predicting an exact price target is almost impossible, however.

However, it's important to note that the cryptocurrency market has matured significantly since then.Increased institutional adoption, greater regulatory clarity, and growing mainstream awareness could provide some support for Bitcoin's price. Crypto analysts warn Bitcoin could crash soon as interest and trading volume decline, signaling a weakening market trend. Rising inflation and potential Binance sell-offs add pressure, with Bitcoin s next support at $85K if the bearish outlook holds.A crash to $3,500 is unlikely, but market corrections of significant magnitude are very real possibilities.

Examining Historical Bitcoin Crashes

To better understand the potential for a Bitcoin crash, it's helpful to examine historical examples. Los futuros de Bitcoin preocupaban a los analistas el 10 de julio, ya que los datos de volumen suger an serias debilidades y el potencial de un importante retroceso. Al subir un gr fico semanal de los futuros de Bitcoin de CME Group a Twitter, el analista de Cointelegraph Markets, filbfilb, no se arrepinti de sus palabras que describen elBitcoin has experienced several significant crashes throughout its history. On June 6, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 5.2% to $100,400 before rebounding above $103,200. Over $324 million in Bitcoin longs were liquidated, contributing to a 5% market decline.These crashes often resulted from a combination of factors, including:

• Market manipulation
• Regulatory announcements
• Black swan events
• Overleveraged trading

The 2025 Bitcoin Crash: A Cautionary Tale

One of Bitcoin's most brutal crashes took place in 2025, with the price plummeting below $20,000 in June after peaking at $68,000 earlier that year. Bitcoin crashed to a 2025 low this week. However, Bitcoin still has a chance to reach $200,000, Bernstein says. Bitcoin will reach $200,000 despite this week s crash. Bernstein offered that prediction after Donald Trump s threatened tariffs against Canada and Mexico triggered the total cryptoAs reported, the Bitcoin had a monster rally in 2025, surging from $13 in January to an all-time high of $1,100 by December, but soon after that had lost nearly 50% of its value falling below $500.The market value dropped by nearly $40 billion, sinking to around $107 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Examining the causes and consequences of these past crashes can provide valuable insights into the potential risks and opportunities in the current market.

Frequently Asked Questions about Bitcoin Crashes

Given the current market uncertainty, many investors have questions about Bitcoin crashes and how to prepare for them.

What causes a Bitcoin crash?

A Bitcoin crash can be caused by various factors, including market manipulation, regulatory announcements, economic uncertainty, and black swan events.Overleveraged trading and excessive speculation can also contribute to a rapid price decline.

How can I protect my Bitcoin investment during a crash?

To protect your Bitcoin investment during a crash, implement risk management strategies such as stop-loss orders and proper position sizing. Glen Goodman, 'The Crypto Trader' author, gives some warning signs of a Bitcoin correction following it's all time high, and says in the not so distant future we may see a flash crash.Diversification and staying informed about market trends are also crucial. Die Bitcoin-Futures deuten wom glich auf einen baldigen Crash von Bitcoin hin, der den Kurs zur ck bis auf 3.500 US-Dollar absenken k nnte. Die j ngsten Entwicklungen der Bitcoin-Futures lassenMaintaining a long-term perspective and avoiding impulsive decisions based on fear can help you weather the storm.

Is it possible for Bitcoin to recover after a crash?

Yes, Bitcoin has historically recovered after crashes. Where the stock market will trade today based on Dow Jones Industrial Average, S P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures and implied open premarket values. Commodities, currencies and global indexes also shown.While past performance is not indicative of future results, Bitcoin's resilience and potential for future adoption suggest that it could recover from future downturns.However, the recovery timeline can vary depending on market conditions and other factors.

What is the best strategy for buying Bitcoin during a crash?

Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a popular strategy for buying Bitcoin during a crash.DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This approach can help you mitigate the risk of buying at the top and take advantage of potential price rebounds.

The Future of Bitcoin: Resilience or Further Decline?

The current market conditions and warning signs in Bitcoin futures undoubtedly raise concerns about a potential crash.While the probability of a crash to $3,500 might be low, the potential for significant price corrections remains a real possibility.However, some still predict Bitcoin will reach $200,000 in the future.Ultimately, predicting the future of the Bitcoin market is an extremely complex task.

Whether Bitcoin can weather the storm and continue its growth trajectory depends on various factors, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and market sentiment.Investors need to stay informed, adopt prudent risk management strategies, and maintain a long-term perspective to navigate the volatile world of cryptocurrency successfully.

Ultimately, staying informed, managing risk, and focusing on the long-term potential are the keys to navigating the ever-evolving cryptocurrency landscape.As always, conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.