ARE BITCOIN FUTURES A DAMP SQUIB?

Last updated: June 20, 2025, 00:31 | Written by: Anthony Di Iorio

Are Bitcoin Futures A Damp Squib?
Are Bitcoin Futures A Damp Squib?

The world of cryptocurrency is known for its dramatic highs and lows, its fervent communities, and its constant evolution.Amidst all this, Bitcoin futures emerged as a potential game-changer, promising to bring a new level of legitimacy and institutional investment to the digital asset space. Appetite for Bitcoin Futures Is Growing . After all the fanfare, fevered anticipation, and breathless media coverage, Bakkt s launch of bitcoin futures on Monday was a damp squib. Despite the rollout of physically delivered BTC futures going without a hitch, volumes were low, while the less said about bitcoin s price in the aftermath, theThe initial launch of Bitcoin futures was met with considerable fanfare, triggering market excitement and predictions of unprecedented growth.The anticipation was palpable, with mainstream media outlets providing breathless coverage and analysts forecasting a paradigm shift. After all the fanfare, fevered anticipation, and breathless media coverage, Bakkt s launch of bitcoin futures on Monday was a damp squib. Despite theHowever, the reality that followed often fell short of these lofty expectations, with some launches being described as a ""damp squib"" due to unexpectedly low trading volumes and underwhelming price action. After all the fanfare, fevered anticipation, and breathless media coverage, Bakkt s launch of bitcoin futures on Monday was a damp squib. Despite the rollout of physically delivered BTC futures goingSo, are Bitcoin futures genuinely a disappointment, or is there more to the story than meets the eye? CME Futures PREMIUM Bitcoin Will Continue To Grow The PREMIUM between Bitcoin's CME Futures and spot price is still on. This means that Bitcoin continues bullish. In a previous article, I used this signal to predict a bullish breakout and bullish continuation. When there is a bullish bias Bitcoin becomes more expensive on CME vs spot, itThis article delves into the complex landscape of Bitcoin futures, examining their history, performance, potential, and the factors that influence their success.We'll explore whether they've lived up to the initial hype and what the future holds for these intriguing financial instruments.

A Rocky Start: The Early Days of Bitcoin Futures

The introduction of Bitcoin futures was undoubtedly a landmark moment for the cryptocurrency.The launch of futures contracts by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) in late 2017 marked a significant step towards mainstream adoption. The inauguration of Donald Trump as the next president of the United States passed off without the merest mention of Bitcoin or crypto. After a spectacular rally into the event, the Bitcoin price fell more than $7,000 from the new all-time high of $109,300, to end the day at $102,150.In fact, leading up to the launch on CBOE, Bitcoin experienced a massive rally, with its price nearing a record high of $7,000 as investors eagerly bought in anticipation of this paradigm shift.

However, this initial excitement soon gave way to a more sobering reality.The launch wasn't without its initial hurdles. The inauguration of Donald Trump as the next president of the United States passed off without the merest mention of Bitcoin or crypto. After a spectacular rally into the event, the Bitcoin price fellThe CBOE website famously crashed due to the high traffic volume, which, ironically, could be seen as an indicator of demand.However, the subsequent performance was less than stellar.While the introduction of Bitcoin futures did add a new dimension to the market, allowing investors to speculate on Bitcoin's price without directly owning the cryptocurrency, the trading volumes in the initial days were not as impressive as many had hoped.

The launch of Bakkt’s physically delivered Bitcoin futures in 2019 also faced similar challenges. Bitcoin and Its Future Prospects: Between Hopes and Realities. Despite the prevailing skepticism, the crypto community keeps an eye on Bitcoin s halving, scheduled for next year, as a potential bullish catalyst. JP Morgan considers this argument unconvincing.Despite being a highly anticipated event, the initial trading volumes were relatively low, and the price of Bitcoin didn't experience the significant boost that some had predicted. An investor with a large Bitcoin investment can sell a small number of Bitcoin futures contracts to take out an insurance policy against a crash in the Bitcoin market.This led to some analysts labelling the launch a ""damp squib,"" highlighting the discrepancy between the hype and the actual market response.

Factors Contributing to the Underwhelming Performance

Several factors contributed to the initial underwhelming performance of Bitcoin futures. Bitcoin halving: Will the cryptocurrency surge or will it be a damp squib? People who mine the cryptocurrency will receive 3.125 Bitcoins for their effort, down from the 6.24These include:

  • Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies remains uncertain in many jurisdictions. The live Bitcoin price today is $104,364.35 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $50,255,072,425.45 USD. We update our BTC to USD price in real-time.This lack of clarity can deter institutional investors who require a well-defined legal framework before entering the market.
  • Volatility: Bitcoin's inherent volatility can make futures trading risky, discouraging some investors. The inauguration of Donald Trump as the next president of the United States passed off without the merest mention of Bitcoin or crypto. After a spectacularThe potential for significant price swings can lead to substantial losses, particularly for those who are not experienced in trading futures contracts.
  • Complexity: Futures contracts can be complex financial instruments, and not all investors are familiar with how they work.This complexity can create a barrier to entry for some potential traders.
  • Market Manipulation Concerns: The cryptocurrency market has been plagued by concerns about market manipulation, which can undermine investor confidence. The hotly anticipated rollout of exchange traded funds linked to ether, the world s second-largest cryptocurrency, in the US has turned into a damp squib, with modest investor interest.These concerns can make investors hesitant to trade Bitcoin futures, particularly if they believe that the market is susceptible to manipulation.

The Evolution of Bitcoin Futures: A Growing Appetite

Despite the initial challenges, the appetite for Bitcoin futures has steadily grown over time. Bitcoin exhibits a damp squib performance on Donald Trump's inauguration day, shedding over $7,000.The introduction of Bitcoin futures ETFs in the U.S. in 2021 was a pivotal moment, expanding market access and providing a regulated framework for Bitcoin futures trading.These ETFs allowed investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin futures without directly owning the underlying asset, making it easier for a wider range of investors to participate in the market. Never miss an opportunity with high impact economic event coverage, expert commentary, videos and more from our global market analysts.The 2025 U.S. launch of the first Bitcoin futures ETF expanded market access by offering a legal framework for Bitcoin futures trading.

These futures contracts enable both speculative gains on Bitcoin's price and risk management, without the need for direct ownership.This has broadened the appeal of Bitcoin futures to a wider range of investors.

One key indicator of growing interest is the premium between Bitcoin's CME futures and spot price. blockchain courant. Daily News for Happy Humpday!A positive premium often indicates a bullish sentiment, suggesting that investors are willing to pay more for Bitcoin futures than for Bitcoin in the spot market.This premium has been a reliable signal of bullish trends in the past.

Benefits of Trading Bitcoin Futures

Bitcoin futures offer several potential benefits to traders and investors:

  • Price Discovery: Futures markets can contribute to price discovery by providing a platform for buyers and sellers to express their opinions on the future value of Bitcoin.
  • Risk Management: Futures contracts can be used to hedge against price risk.For example, an investor with a large Bitcoin investment can sell a small number of Bitcoin futures contracts to protect against a potential price decline. 6.8M subscribers in the CryptoCurrency community. The leading community for cryptocurrency news, discussion, and analysis.This acts as an insurance policy against a crash in the Bitcoin market.
  • Leverage: Futures contracts offer leverage, allowing traders to control a large position with a relatively small amount of capital. No an ncio dos futuros de Bitcoin, o pre o foi direcionado para um novo recorde hist rico de US $ 7.000. Na semana que antecedeu o come o com a CBOE, o Bitcoin teve um rali monstruoso quando as pessoas compraram antes desse movimento de mudan a de paradigma, ent o os futuros foram iniciados e o site caiu.While leverage can amplify profits, it can also amplify losses, so it's important to use it cautiously.
  • Access to Institutional Investors: The availability of Bitcoin futures has made it easier for institutional investors to participate in the cryptocurrency market.This increased institutional involvement can lead to greater liquidity and price stability.

Are Ether Futures Following the Same Path?

The rollout of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to Ether (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, has also faced a similar fate to Bitcoin futures.The launch of these Ether futures-based ETFs turned out to be something of a damp squib, registering just 0.2% of the trading volume seen when Bitcoin futures ETFs were launched. Are Bitcoin Futures a Damp Squib? There was much fanfare and market movement at the dawn of futures, but the trading volume was unexpectedly low. Total views . 113 Total shares .This suggests that the challenges faced by Bitcoin futures are not unique and that other cryptocurrency derivatives may also experience similar difficulties in gaining traction.

Bitcoin Halving: A Potential Catalyst?

The crypto community keeps a close eye on Bitcoin's halving events as potential bullish catalysts.The halving, which occurs roughly every four years, reduces the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks, effectively decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation.The next halving is scheduled for next year.

The theory is that reduced supply will lead to increased demand and, consequently, a higher price.However, JP Morgan considers this argument unconvincing. Appetite for Bitcoin Futures Is Growing bitcoin cryptoWhether the halving will indeed spark a significant price surge remains to be seen, but it's certainly a factor that many investors are watching closely.

Understanding Bitcoin's Unique Characteristics

Bitcoin has several unique characteristics that set it apart from traditional assets. The much-anticipated launch of ether futures-based ETFs turned out to be something of a damp squib, registering just 0.2% of the trading volume seen whenThese include:

  • Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any single entity, such as a government or central bank. The supply of 21 million bitcoins is expected to be fully mined by 2140, in theory making bitcoin resistant to inflation, a property that some investors also attribute to gold. Bitcoin is a truly non-inflationary asset, analysts at Invesco, one of the firms that received ETF approval on Wednesday, said in a report last year.This decentralization makes it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
  • Limited Supply: The supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins, making it a scarce asset. En el anuncio de los futuros de Bitcoin, el precio se encamin hacia un nuevo r cord hist rico de $7,000.En la semana previa a su comienzo con el CBOE, Bitcoin particip en un repunte monstruoso cuando las personas compraron antes de este movimiento de cambio de paradigma, luego los futuros se activaron y el sitio web colaps .This scarcity is expected to make Bitcoin more valuable over time.According to analysts at Invesco, Bitcoin is a truly non-inflationary asset. Unraveling the Bitcoin Futures Landscape. The 2025 U.S. launch of the first Bitcoin futures ETF expanded market access by offering a legal framework for Bitcoin futures trading. These futures contracts enable both speculative gains on Bitcoin's price and risk management, without the need for direct ownership. Unique Characteristics of BitcoinThe supply of 21 million bitcoins is expected to be fully mined by 2140, in theory making Bitcoin resistant to inflation, a property that some investors also attribute to gold.
  • Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger known as the blockchain.This transparency makes it easy to track the movement of Bitcoin and verify its authenticity.

Common Questions About Bitcoin Futures

What are Bitcoin futures?

Bitcoin futures are contracts that obligate the buyer to purchase or the seller to sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price and date in the future.They allow investors to speculate on the future price of Bitcoin without actually owning the cryptocurrency.

How do Bitcoin futures work?

Bitcoin futures are traded on regulated exchanges such as the CME.Investors can buy or sell futures contracts based on their expectations of Bitcoin's future price.The price of the futures contract is determined by supply and demand in the market.

What are the risks of trading Bitcoin futures?

Trading Bitcoin futures carries several risks, including price volatility, leverage, and regulatory uncertainty.It's important to understand these risks before trading futures contracts.

What are the benefits of trading Bitcoin futures?

The benefits of trading Bitcoin futures include price discovery, risk management, leverage, and access to institutional investors.Futures contracts can be used to hedge against price risk or to speculate on future price movements.

Where can I trade Bitcoin futures?

Bitcoin futures are traded on various regulated exchanges, including the CME and Bakkt.It's important to choose a reputable exchange that offers a secure and reliable trading platform.

The Impact of Global Events on Bitcoin

It's important to note that global events can significantly impact Bitcoin's price and, consequently, the performance of Bitcoin futures.For example, during the inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States, Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, shedding over $7,000 in value.This demonstrates the sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to geopolitical events and broader economic trends.

Conclusion: Bitcoin Futures – A Work in Progress

So, are Bitcoin futures a damp squib?The answer is not a simple yes or no.While the initial launches of Bitcoin futures may have fallen short of expectations, they have evolved and matured over time.The growing appetite for Bitcoin futures, as evidenced by increasing trading volumes and the introduction of Bitcoin futures ETFs, suggests that they are becoming an increasingly important part of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

However, it's important to acknowledge that challenges remain.Regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and concerns about manipulation continue to be factors that can impact the performance of Bitcoin futures.Investors should carefully consider these risks before trading futures contracts.

Ultimately, the success of Bitcoin futures will depend on several factors, including the continued growth of the cryptocurrency market, increased institutional adoption, and the development of a more robust regulatory framework.While they may not have delivered on the initial hype, Bitcoin futures are far from a failure.They are a work in progress, with the potential to play a significant role in the future of cryptocurrency finance. Key takeaways: Bitcoin futures are not a complete failure, but their success has been less dramatic than initially predicted.They offer both opportunities and risks, and their future will depend on the evolution of the broader cryptocurrency market and regulatory environment.

Are you ready to explore the world of Bitcoin futures?Remember to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.Start by researching reputable exchanges and familiarizing yourself with the basics of futures trading.Happy trading!

Anthony Di Iorio can be reached at [email protected].

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