THE BILL MOVES

Last updated: June 16, 2025, 06:13  |  Written by: Brian Kelly

The Bill Moves
The Bill Moves

The Federal Reserve Is Nearly

It's a foregone conclusion that the Federal Reserve will launch a new monetary easing cycle on Wednesday by announcing a cut to the federal funds rate (FFR). But a weighty

The Federal Reserve is nearly as likely to deliver an outsized interest-rate cut next week as a more-usual-sized reduction, trading in rate-futures contracts suggested on Friday

The Fed cuts by 50bps, but why rush? - Monex Europe

Everything Lower Will Force A

Fed Watch - Fed cuts by 50 bps to orchestrate soft landing - ABN

Everything lower will force a recession much more likely. Second step needs to be another 50 bps too. A half-point rate cut could send a very negative signal, indicating the Fed's

That expectation, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool, is set for a 50% chance of a 25 basis point (bps) cut for this September meeting and a 50% chance of a 50bps cut

According To The Cme Fedwatch

The update to the dot-plot likely reveals the FOMC members' initial stance going into the meeting; ten members signaled a rate of 4.5 or below by year end, requiring a 50

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s currently a 27.7% chance for a no-rate hike. On the contrary, there’s a 72.3% possibility for a 25 BPS incline. Source: CME

Here are the pros and cons if the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis

Expect Higher

Expect higher-than-usual volatility around the Fed decision, with the potential for Powell to moderate whatever the decision is in his press conference. USD/JPY may see the

Making Sense of the Fed’s Rate Cut by a 50bps vs. 25bps

The Bps Cut Debate Implies the Fed Has Already Failed

Ahead Of Today

A 50BPS Drop or 25BPS Hike: What to Expect From the FOMC

Rate Cut Decision: How 25 or 50 BPS Could Shake the Stock Market

Ahead of today’s decision, of the 113 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, only 9 had expected a 50bp cut. All but one of the remainder expected the FOMC to ease rates by just

In Its Much

Will the Fed cut by 25 bps or 50 bps? - Forex Factory

Fed seen nearly as likely to cut rates by 50 bps as 25 bps

In its much-awaited first rate cut of the post-pandemic economic cycle, the FOMC cut the Fed Funds target rate by 50 bps to a range of 4.75%–5.00%. Prior to Wednesday

Brian Kelly can be reached at [email protected].

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