ALTCOINS TO STAY CHOPPY UNTIL BITCOIN HITS EXUBERANT MOVE — ANALYST

Last updated: June 20, 2025, 00:01 | Written by: Brad Garlinghouse

Altcoins To Stay Choppy Until Bitcoin Hits Exuberant Move — Analyst
Altcoins To Stay Choppy Until Bitcoin Hits Exuberant Move — Analyst

The cryptocurrency market is a rollercoaster, and right now, altcoin enthusiasts might be feeling a bit queasy.While Bitcoin has been making headlines, hinting at a renewed bull run, the altcoin market remains a mixed bag of potential and volatility. Altcoins will keep swinging between big rallies and pullbacks until Bitcoin confirms a breakout past the $100,000 mark, according to a crypto analyst.According to Pav Hundal, lead analyst at Swyftx, the much-anticipated altseason, where altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin, is waiting in the wings, but its launch is contingent on one crucial event: an ""exuberant move"" from Bitcoin. BTCUSD Bitcoin Altcoins to stay choppy until Bitcoin hits exuberant move Analyst. Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal says that an 'exuberant move' from Bitcoin is needed to kick off theThis means a strong, decisive break above the $100,000 mark. 😲 Altcoins will remain volatile until Bitcoin hits an exuberant move above $100,000, according to Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal. Bitcoin dominance, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total crypto market, might reach % before declining and allowing for an altcoin season. Institutional investors driving the current Bitcoin rally have little interestThink of it like waiting for the green light at a drag race; the engines are revving (some altcoins are even showing impressive bursts of speed), but everyone's poised, ready to launch only when Bitcoin gives the signal. Altcoins will swing between big rallies and pullbacks until Bitcoin confirms a breakout past the $100,000 mark, according to a crypto analyst. We re really waiting to see that exuberant move, and then we ll look at that rotation of capital, crypto exchange Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph at Aus Crypto Con 2025.This article will delve into why this Bitcoin breakout is so vital for altcoins, what ""choppy"" conditions mean for investors, and how to navigate this uncertain period.We'll explore the factors influencing this market dynamic and offer insights into preparing for the potential altcoin surge that could follow Bitcoin's anticipated surge. The cryptocurrency market could be on the verge of the much-awaited altcoin season (altseason), much to the delight of speculative traders, but the determining factors might have changed, according to a prominent market analyst. Stablecoin liquidity to determine next altseason Table of Contents show 1 Stablecoin liquidity to determine next altseason 2 Altseason is close [ ]So, buckle up, because we're about to dissect the current state of the crypto market and what it means for your altcoin investments.

The Bitcoin Dominance Theory and Altcoin Season

The key to understanding why altcoins are currently experiencing volatility lies in Bitcoin's dominance. Bitcoin dominance is a metric that measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal suggests that altcoins will continue to experience volatility until Bitcoin surpasses $100,000. While some altcoins are performing well, most will likely remain unstable during this period. Hundal noted that Bitcoin recently reached $99,605 but later fell to $96,476. He mentioned that altcoinsIn simpler terms, it indicates how much of the overall crypto market's value is held in Bitcoin.When Bitcoin dominance is high, it suggests that investors are primarily focused on Bitcoin, often considered the safest and most established cryptocurrency.Conversely, a decline in Bitcoin dominance often signals a shift towards altcoins, as investors become more willing to take on the increased risk associated with smaller, less established cryptocurrencies.

Hundal suggests that Bitcoin dominance needs to reach a certain peak before it begins to decline, paving the way for an altcoin season.This makes sense because as Bitcoin ascends, fueled by institutional investment, the initial focus remains on the flagship cryptocurrency. In a Cointelegraph interview at Aus Crypto Con, Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal said altcoins will remain choppy until Bitcoin hits an exuberant move.These larger investors often prefer the security and familiarity of Bitcoin. Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal said an exuberant move from Bitcoin is needed to kick off the anticipated altcoin season.However, once Bitcoin's growth begins to plateau, investors tend to look for opportunities in altcoins, seeking higher potential returns.This rotation of capital is what drives altcoin season. cointelegraph.com: Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal says that an exuberant move from Bitcoin is needed to kick off the highly anticipated altcoin season.But until Bitcoin establishes a clear and convincing move beyond the $100,000 barrier, much of the capital remains hesitant to shift into altcoins on a grand scale.

Understanding ""Exuberant Move""

The term ""exuberant move"" is critical here. Altcoins will remain choppy Hundal said that while there are diamonds in the rough outperforming Bitcoin (BTC), like several memecoins, most altcoins will likely remain choppy until Bitcoin passes the six-figure price level. On Nov. 23, Bitcoin narrowly missed $100,000, reaching $99,605.It's not simply about Bitcoin briefly touching $100,000; it's about a sustained and confident breakout.Think of it as a decisive victory, not a fleeting lead. Altcoins will keep swinging between big rallies and pullbacks until Bitcoin confirms a breakout past the $100,000 mark, according to a crypto analyst. We re really waiting to see that exuberantThis sustained move signals a shift in market sentiment, demonstrating strong and consistent demand for Bitcoin.This confirmation is crucial for altcoins because it alleviates the fear that Bitcoin might suddenly correct, dragging the entire market down with it.

Why is this confidence important?Because altcoins are generally more volatile than Bitcoin. Altcoins will keep swinging between big rallies and pullbacks until Bitcoin confirms a breakout past the $100,000 mark, according to a crypto analyst. We re really waiting to see that exuberant move, and then we ll look at that rotation of capital, crypto exchange Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph at Aus Crypto Con 2025.Investors are less willing to take the risk of investing in altcoins if they are unsure about the overall market stability. Altcoins to stay choppy until Bitcoin hits exuberant move Analyst cointelegraph.com 11 m cointelegraph.comA strong Bitcoin performance provides that stability, giving investors the confidence to explore the altcoin market.

The Current State of the Altcoin Market: Choppiness and Opportunity

So, what does ""choppy"" actually mean for altcoin investors?It means periods of significant price swings – both upwards and downwards. Hundal said that while there are diamonds in the rough outperforming Bitcoin, like several memecoins, most altcoins will likely remain choppy until Bitcoin passes the six-figure priceYou might see an altcoin surge 20% one day, only to drop 15% the next. Related: Altcoins to stay choppy until Bitcoin hits exuberant move Analyst For example, the combined altcoin trading volume for Bitcoin pairs has remained significantly low over the lastThis volatility makes it challenging to predict short-term price movements, leading to increased risk for traders. Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal says that an exuberant move from Bitcoin is needed to kick off the highly anticipated altcoin season. source:Essentially, gains are not guaranteed, and losses can be substantial.

  • Sudden Pumps and Dumps: Expect to see altcoins experience quick, unpredictable price surges (pumps) followed by sharp corrections (dumps).
  • Low Liquidity Risks: Some altcoins, particularly those with lower market capitalization, can suffer from low liquidity. Related: Altcoins to stay choppy until Bitcoin hits exuberant move Analyst . For example, the combined altcoin trading volume for Bitcoin pairs has remained significantly low over the last few weeks despite an uptick in Ether ( ETH ) price over the same period.This means it can be difficult to buy or sell large quantities of the coin without significantly affecting the price.
  • Increased Trading Stress: The volatile nature of the altcoin market during this ""choppy"" period can lead to increased stress and anxiety for traders.

However, even within this volatility, there are opportunities.Hundal points out that some altcoins, including certain memecoins, have been outperforming Bitcoin.These ""diamonds in the rough"" demonstrate that there are still gains to be made, even in a choppy market.But identifying these winners requires careful research and a high tolerance for risk.It's like panning for gold; you might have to sift through a lot of sediment before finding a nugget.

Institutional Investment and its Impact

The current Bitcoin rally is largely fueled by institutional investors, such as hedge funds and publicly traded companies. The analyst also suggested that while several coins, including some memecoins, have been outperforming the top cryptocurrency, altcoins will remain shaky until BTC manages an exuberant move during the bull run. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $99,655 on November 5, which was a little shy of $100,000.These investors are drawn to Bitcoin's increasing legitimacy and potential as a store of value. Altcoins to stay choppy until Bitcoin hits exuberant move Analyst 📈 Swyftx Altcoins Bitcoin Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal suggests that the altcoin market will remain volatile until Bitcoin experiences a significant price rise, termed an exuberant move.However, they typically have less interest in altcoins, particularly those with smaller market capitalizations.This focus on Bitcoin by institutional investors contributes to the current Bitcoin dominance and the delayed altcoin season.

As institutional investors continue to accumulate Bitcoin, it strengthens Bitcoin's position as the leading cryptocurrency. TradingView India. Altcoins will swing between big rallies and pullbacks until Bitcoin confirms a breakout past the $100,000 mark, according to a crypto analyst. We re really waiting to see that exuberant move, and then we ll look at that rotation of capital, crypto exchange Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal told CointThis, in turn, creates a more stable foundation for the entire market.Once these institutions are comfortable with their Bitcoin holdings, they may begin to explore other investment opportunities, including altcoins.This is when we could see a significant shift in capital towards the altcoin market.

Navigating the Choppy Waters: Strategies for Altcoin Investors

So, how can you navigate this ""choppy"" period and position yourself for potential gains when Bitcoin finally hits that ""exuberant move""?Here are some strategies to consider:

  1. Do Your Research (DYOR): This is paramount.Don't invest in any altcoin without thoroughly researching its fundamentals, team, technology, and market potential.Look at their whitepapers, development activity on Github, and community engagement.
  2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket.Diversify your altcoin investments across different projects and sectors to mitigate risk.
  3. Manage Your Risk: Only invest what you can afford to lose.The altcoin market is highly volatile, and there is a risk of significant losses.Use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses.
  4. Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with the latest news and developments in the cryptocurrency market.Follow reputable analysts, news sources, and community forums.
  5. Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Instead of trying to time the market, consider dollar-cost averaging.This involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price.This can help to smooth out the volatility and reduce your overall risk.
  6. Be Patient: The altcoin market can be unpredictable.Don't get discouraged by short-term price fluctuations.Focus on the long-term potential of your investments.

Spotting ""Diamonds in the Rough""

Identifying altcoins with the potential to outperform Bitcoin requires a keen eye and a deep understanding of the market.Here are some factors to consider when searching for ""diamonds in the rough"":

  • Strong Fundamentals: Look for altcoins with strong fundamentals, such as innovative technology, a clear use case, and a dedicated team.
  • Active Community: A vibrant and engaged community is a good sign that the project is gaining traction.
  • Positive News and Developments: Pay attention to positive news and developments related to the altcoin, such as partnerships, product launches, and regulatory approvals.
  • Technical Analysis: Use technical analysis to identify altcoins that are showing signs of potential breakout.Look for patterns such as ascending triangles, bullish flags, and breakouts from consolidation ranges.

Stablecoin Liquidity and Altseason: Another Key Indicator

While Bitcoin's ""exuberant move"" is a crucial trigger, stablecoin liquidity also plays a vital role in determining when altseason truly kicks off.Stablecoins, like USDT and USDC, are cryptocurrencies pegged to a stable asset, typically the US dollar.They act as a bridge between fiat currency and the crypto market, providing traders with a safe haven during periods of volatility.

Increased stablecoin liquidity indicates that there is more capital available to flow into the crypto market, including altcoins.When traders feel confident about the market outlook, they are more likely to convert their stablecoin holdings into altcoins, driving up prices.Conversely, a decline in stablecoin liquidity suggests that traders are becoming more cautious and are moving their funds into stablecoins to protect against potential losses.

Therefore, keep an eye on stablecoin liquidity as an additional indicator of when altseason might begin.A combination of Bitcoin's ""exuberant move"" and increased stablecoin liquidity could signal the start of a significant altcoin rally.

What if Bitcoin Doesn't Break $100,000?

It's crucial to acknowledge the possibility that Bitcoin might not break the $100,000 barrier anytime soon.In this scenario, the altcoin market could remain choppy for an extended period.It's also possible that altcoins could experience localized rallies based on project-specific news and developments, but a widespread altseason would likely remain elusive.

In this case, a more conservative investment approach might be warranted.This could involve focusing on altcoins with strong fundamentals, limiting your risk exposure, and being prepared to hold your investments for the long term.

Common Questions About Altcoin Season

  • What is Altcoin Season? Altcoin season, or altseason, is a period when altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation.
  • How Long Does Altcoin Season Last? The duration of altcoin season can vary, ranging from a few weeks to several months.
  • What Factors Trigger Altcoin Season? Several factors can trigger altcoin season, including Bitcoin's performance, stablecoin liquidity, and overall market sentiment.
  • Is Altcoin Season Guaranteed? No, altcoin season is not guaranteed.The cryptocurrency market is unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that altcoins will outperform Bitcoin.

Looking Ahead: Preparing for the Future

The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and it's essential to stay informed and adapt your investment strategies accordingly.Whether Bitcoin breaks the $100,000 barrier or not, the altcoin market will continue to offer opportunities for investors who are willing to do their research and manage their risk.

Remember that the key to success in the altcoin market is to be patient, disciplined, and adaptable.Don't get caught up in the hype, and always make informed investment decisions based on your own research and analysis.

Conclusion: Key Takeaways and Actionable Advice

In conclusion, the altcoin market currently finds itself in a state of anticipation, waiting for Bitcoin to make a decisive move.According to Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal, this ""exuberant move"" – a sustained breakout above $100,000 – is the key catalyst that will unlock the potential of altcoins and usher in altseason.Until then, expect continued volatility and choppiness.However, even amidst the uncertainty, opportunities exist for astute investors who are willing to do their due diligence and identify ""diamonds in the rough."" Remember these key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin's ""Exuberant Move"" is Crucial: Altcoins are likely to remain volatile until Bitcoin breaks decisively above $100,000.
  • Bitcoin Dominance Matters: Monitor Bitcoin dominance to gauge the potential for capital rotation into altcoins.
  • Stablecoin Liquidity is a Key Indicator: Increased stablecoin liquidity can signal the start of altseason.
  • Do Your Research (DYOR): Thoroughly research any altcoin before investing.
  • Manage Your Risk: Only invest what you can afford to lose.

So, what's the actionable advice?Start your research now.Identify altcoins with strong fundamentals, innovative technology, and active communities.Prepare your portfolio and be ready to act when Bitcoin finally gives the green light.Remember, knowledge is power in the crypto market.Stay informed, stay disciplined, and you'll be well-positioned to capitalize on the next altcoin surge.

Brad Garlinghouse can be reached at [email protected].

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